was it last year or the year before that the Chargers went into Denver, controlled the ball and kept Manning off the field, and won outright? Same way the Chargers beat the Seahawks this yr, except SD is even more acquainted with Denver
Ace's Myline thread has the Chargers -5.5, I can see why cappers would see the value in a tough Chargers team getting over a TD in a divisional game, but at the same time it wouldn't shock me if the Broncos blow em out
Ace's Myline thread has the Chargers -5.5, I can see why cappers would see the value in a tough Chargers team getting over a TD in a divisional game, but at the same time it wouldn't shock me if the Broncos blow em out
It blows my mind how people refuse to actually think about questions people post about specific games half the time when these questions are directly related to how heavily a side is being wagered, line movement etc. People just come in threads and give reasons supporting gambles the have already laid that don't harken back to the question being asked at all. They are just trying to rationalize their decisions. Anyway, I haven't played this game yet and am not sure what I am doing, but to your question; The public is not betting Denver in this game. The chargers are being bet at a higher clip, ticket count wise but not by a ton. The line is being driven by something, is it a lot of heavy sharp Denver money.. idk. But i will say that when a game looks this easy with the chargers getting all these points it rarely is. For example last Thursday: we had much more posts with people taking NE with a very similar line than we have taking Denver. We still had plenty of NYJ bets as well, but there are all Chargers tonight. The talent gap between the Broncos and Chargers is greater in my opinion than that of NE and NYJ, so why are people hesitant tonight when they weren't last week? Have they learned a lesson from last weak and are now trying to take the opposite approach? I don't know. Are these two games related at all, probably not. But these are some thoughts going through my head right now regarding your question.
Another thought. A combination response to Stax and crazykind. We have a scenario in which people have seen the Broncos hammer someone and the Chargers lose at home to a very competitive Chiefs team. So initially you might think, oh the average Joe sees this thinks Denver are fucking amazing and lays a bet down. I think everyone remembers last years Chargers vs Denver games. They played them close and tough both times. So you think, oh look at me, I'm not gonna fall for that again and lay a Chargers bet. This is starting to become Denver or no play for me
Another thought. A combination response to Stax and crazykind. We have a scenario in which people have seen the Broncos hammer someone and the Chargers lose at home to a very competitive Chiefs team. So initially you might think, oh the average Joe sees this thinks Denver are fucking amazing and lays a bet down. I think everyone remembers last years Chargers vs Denver games. They played them close and tough both times. So you think, oh look at me, I'm not gonna fall for that again and lay a Chargers bet. This is starting to become Denver or no play for me
i get your point AJ, but the original post was about the majority of the forums, not the majority of the public, and all 3 replies stayed on this topic so im not sure it applies here - i took the question as rhetorical anyway
this is an easy game to overthink - following line moves and money is tricky even if you have a reliable source of that info, which is a big if...sharps may have an edge and win more than they lose, but they can't prevent a turnover, dropped pass, or big penalty - thats why they play the game!
im taking the points for some action on Thursday night, nothing big...i agree with your angle, just can't go against my gut
this is an easy game to overthink - following line moves and money is tricky even if you have a reliable source of that info, which is a big if...sharps may have an edge and win more than they lose, but they can't prevent a turnover, dropped pass, or big penalty - thats why they play the game!
im taking the points for some action on Thursday night, nothing big...i agree with your angle, just can't go against my gut
