Yes, Dante, I do. I'm actually playing Boston and the under as a 2 team parlay. I love when books allow this - it actually is a sort of correlated parlay being that if the home team wins they only bat 8 times (except for extra inning games of course). What I also like about the under here is Tim Welke calling balls and strikes - 2.22 K's/BB for the last 4 seasons and a over/under record of 106-138 since 1997.
Nice win BG. That being said, I still feel I had this game capped correctly (Boston/u10 parlay). 13 runs in 12 innings is equivalent to 9.2 in 8 1/2 with the home team winning. In other words, I'd make the same bet today if the circumstances were the same.
Speaking of today's game...
I absolutely LOVE the OVER (o10.5 +101) in this matchup tonight. Daniel Cabrera has only given up 5 ER's in his last 4 starts, however 3 of those 4 games were against light hitting Minnesota and Tampa Bay and in the 4th he was knocked out in the 2nd inning by the Yanks after giving up 2 hits and 6 walks thru 1 2/3. Cabrera's problem all year has been his control. He is one of the few starting pitchers in MLB to have more walks than K's this year (83/71). And it is only getting worse - in his last 8 starts Cabrera has walked 34 batters in 36 innings while striking out only 21. Adding to Cabrera's problems is that he will be facing the very patient Bosox hitters. Only the Yanks and Giants (Barry Bonds) have more walks in all of baseball than the Sox. And as if that is not bad enough, Gary Cederstrom will be calling balls and strikes. Cederstrom's small strikezone (1.73 K/BB career and 1.62 K/BB the last 2 years), combined with his over/under record of 146-108 will make tonight's game a nightmare for Cabrera. As a matter of fact, it won't get any better for the O's even if Cabrera leaves early. The staff as a whole leads the league in walks and it isn't even close - they have 63 more than the 2nd worst club. There's more. Both these clubs LOVE hitting against righthanders. The O's average nearly 6 runs/game on the road vs righties and the Sox put up an insane 6.8 per game at home. Add in a very positive ballpark factor of over 1 run per game and note that both these teams are poor defensively (4th and 6th in the league in errors), and it all adds up to one of my highest rated plays of the year.
Speaking of today's game...
I absolutely LOVE the OVER (o10.5 +101) in this matchup tonight. Daniel Cabrera has only given up 5 ER's in his last 4 starts, however 3 of those 4 games were against light hitting Minnesota and Tampa Bay and in the 4th he was knocked out in the 2nd inning by the Yanks after giving up 2 hits and 6 walks thru 1 2/3. Cabrera's problem all year has been his control. He is one of the few starting pitchers in MLB to have more walks than K's this year (83/71). And it is only getting worse - in his last 8 starts Cabrera has walked 34 batters in 36 innings while striking out only 21. Adding to Cabrera's problems is that he will be facing the very patient Bosox hitters. Only the Yanks and Giants (Barry Bonds) have more walks in all of baseball than the Sox. And as if that is not bad enough, Gary Cederstrom will be calling balls and strikes. Cederstrom's small strikezone (1.73 K/BB career and 1.62 K/BB the last 2 years), combined with his over/under record of 146-108 will make tonight's game a nightmare for Cabrera. As a matter of fact, it won't get any better for the O's even if Cabrera leaves early. The staff as a whole leads the league in walks and it isn't even close - they have 63 more than the 2nd worst club. There's more. Both these clubs LOVE hitting against righthanders. The O's average nearly 6 runs/game on the road vs righties and the Sox put up an insane 6.8 per game at home. Add in a very positive ballpark factor of over 1 run per game and note that both these teams are poor defensively (4th and 6th in the league in errors), and it all adds up to one of my highest rated plays of the year.
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k: WOOHOO BUDDY. I WENT WITH YA ..
