Anyone like the REDS tomorrow?

[letsgohoosiers]

Seems like every time a team has an emotional win, they typically come back and are flat the next game. I didn't see San Diego sweeping a Reds team that is better than them.

Because Peavy is on the mound, you're getting GREAT numbers if you're a Reds backer. He's had little run support all year (22 runs in 8 games - 2.75 rpg), and the Padres are 2-6 with him starting. Alternatively, the Reds are 5-2 in games that Arroyo starts. They give him solid run support, 5.7 runs per game.

The Padres are 4-10 after a win this season, losing their last 7 until last night. The Reds are 12-6 after a loss this season.

It makes a lot of sense to me at +140.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

I also think the Braves are worth a shot.

They lost 12-0 yesterday yet opened as -200 today. Hmmmm.

I checked out the past history when a team lost 12+ to 0 and opened as -150 or larger favorites the next day:

<table bgcolor="#ffffff"><tbody> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">view</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">09-01-2004</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">home</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">Yankees</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">[SIZE=-1]Hernandez - R[/SIZE]</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">Indians</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">[SIZE=-1]Sabathia - L[/SIZE]</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">5-3</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">2</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">W</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-1.5</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">U</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">9-6</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">0-0</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-190</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">9.5</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">9</td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">view</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">06-02-2007</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">home</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">Phillies</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">[SIZE=-1]Hamels - L[/SIZE]</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">Giants</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">[SIZE=-1]Lowry - L[/SIZE]</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">5-2</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">3</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">W</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">-2.0</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">U</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">6-5</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">0-1</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">-170</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">9.0</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">9</td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">view</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">07-13-2007</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">home</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">Angels</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">[SIZE=-1]Escobar - R[/SIZE]</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">Rangers</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">[SIZE=-1]Millwood - R[/SIZE]</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">2-1</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">1</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">W</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-5.5</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">U</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">7-6</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">1-0</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-200</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">8.5</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">9</td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">view</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">04-25-2009</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">home</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">White Sox</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">[SIZE=-1]Buehrle - L[/SIZE]</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">Blue Jays</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">[SIZE=-1]Burres - L[/SIZE]</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">10-2</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">8</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">W</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">2.0</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">O</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">13-7</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">0-1</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">-155</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#e6e6e6">10.0</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f0f0f0">9</td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">
</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">05-17-2009</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">home</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">Braves</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">[SIZE=-1]Lowe - R[/SIZE]</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">Diamondbacks</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">[SIZE=-1]Garland - R[/SIZE]</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">
</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">
</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">
</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">
</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">
</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">
</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">
</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-190</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#f5f5f5">8.0</td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[billhill999]

Derek Lowe is a nice pitcher and all, but come on 2-1 fave?
This game should be -175, max.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Derek Lowe is a nice pitcher and all, but come on 2-1 fave?
This game should be -175, max.

Very true.

 

[msmith2179]

I like the Reds. But what do you think about the under? After playing a 16 inning game.

 

[ZJP6050]

i liked them the last two nights, and they fucked me

 

[moocow]

i liked them the last two nights, and they fucked me

Yep i hope they get swept today for losing my monies the past 2 games against shit pitching. Harang vs Correia and Volquez vs Greer both losses..what a sick joke^<<^