Cincy +7 I really like. I can't see Byu running away because I just don't think they are good enough on both sides of the ball to beat a team like Cincy by more than a td... Cincy is explosive no matter who's at QB and those senior WR are nasty... They literally reel everything in. What I'm about to say will probably make everyone scream lol but I truly believe that Cincy stretches the field vertically better than any team in the country.... Yes even better than Baylor, tcu, Texas tech, etc etc... Those other teams may have more prolific dominating WRs, but Cincy just creates havoc on secondary's with all their combination routes and vertical speed. You can't cover all those dudes 10-30 yards downfield. On top of that, both QBs have shown more than enough ability to hit those guys in stride 30+ yards thru the air.... That's seriously stretching the field. That's just my opinion tho, take it for what it's worth.
as for Boise state...... I'm not a fan of the Broncos but numbers don't lie, they dominate the line of scrimmage and shut down the running game. They play some weak ass teams but they do their part and play like they should every game, making them one of the most consistent teams in the country. You know what type of performance you're going to get with Them each week regardless of their opponent. Thank Chris Peterson for that. Normally I love great defenses catching points at home, I think they are Very live dogs. In this situation tho I'm going to go against my instinct. Here's why.....
boise state has a legit defense and probably better defense than Utah state who for the last 5 years has had on of the most complete defenses in the country. Utah state is at home and this game means a lot in terms of conference standings and the mountain division standings, so it's appealing to take them at +9 right now at betonline but the Broncos have just been mollywhopping people lately. Over the last four games Boise state is 4-0 with 2 shutouts.... Over those four games they have allowed a total of 24 points on defense and scored 204 points on offense.... Holy shitballs...
The he weather looks cool and clear tonight in Logan Utah and little wind of any at all. Keeton is out I believe for the Aggies so I can't expect their offense to be dialed in... Everything in my gut says take the home dog here but momentum and confidence are the two biggest factors people overlook when betting sports. Boise state has all of the momentum and waaaaayyyyy more confidence.
Im going against my liking of home dogs with a good defense and playing the team with the much hotter hand tonight. Bol to you sir
boise -9