Anyone know this guy???

sds · Sep 15, 2003

A guy named "DannyMay" posted this on the Newbie forum. Anyone know him or able to validate his claims as a capper? Can someone watch these picks and let me know how it goes (I am a horseguy!) Here is his post to a guy who said he lost $3K betting as his "initiation"......

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote">quote:<HR>First off, I know I am going to get fried by this forum for what I am about to say here. I dont care. Let them make all the remarks they want because one week from now I will be the one saying I told you so.

Normally I agree you should not chase, but this is a rare opportunity. I have a play for you that WILL win. No doubt about it. It WILL win. You need to sell you car, you computer ( you can call the play in ), ask your parents for an advance on next semesters tuition, pawn everything you own. I am NOT KIDDING man. Your job is to get hold of all the money you can and quickly before these lines go down.

Put everything on this play

Monkey Teaser ( 13 points)

Kansas City NFL + 3 1/2
New York Giants NFL + 2 1/2
Buffalo NFL + 15 1/2
Bowling Green CF + 28 1/2

Bet everything you can on this teaser and you WILL get your $3000 back and then some. This is -120 most places, so if you can get hold of $12,000 you can win $10,000. Also not every book takes these plays, make sure they offer 13 points teasers before you send money. I would suggest TCBets. This place takes them, they are safe and offer a decent bonus.

This teaser WILL win. You heard me correct. It WILL win. Sell whatever you can by tonights kickoff and have this play in. I will come back next monday morning to bask in the glow of this winner.

Do it man - CARPE DIEM Man. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Any thoughts about this.

sds

Jazz · Sep 15, 2003

yes - anyone following those instructions to the letter need to get help for compulsive gambling based on advice from ANYONE telling them to bet a 4 game teaser by dumping as much cash as you can find on it.

secondly, I don't care if a burning bush told me to take this play, I'd put the bush out with a hose and tell it to calm down.

Third, and most importantly, if it seems too good to be true, IT IS

There is absolutely nothing guaranteed in sports - absolutely nothing. A guarantee that does not include putting up the guarantor's money in escrow, to pay off those who lose, is no real guarantee - it is only an opinion.

Bottom line - use your head.

sds · Sep 15, 2003

Thanks Jazz,
I am well aware of your warnings and agree 100%. I just want you to know of some of the "advice" that us "newbies" are receiving on that board. This guy loses $3000 in a week at this and he gets advice like THAT!!!??? lmao
Right or wrong, it is bad advice.
Secondly, I STILL want someone to check his picks for me if you can

And you SHOULD read my response to him prior to asking you

thanks

sds

Jazz · Sep 15, 2003

yeah, I can remember to check those

Journeyman · Sep 15, 2003

I never knew DannyMay to be this way...

sds · Sep 15, 2003

In my time here I have never seen his name. I found it to be the most ridiculous suggestion to a guy who just lost his proverbial shirt. What says "chase your losses" better then that piece of advice!!??

cheers

sds

WalkofLife · Sep 15, 2003

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote">quote:<HR>secondly, I don't care if a burning bush told me to take this play, I'd put the bush out with a hose and tell it to calm down.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

LMFAO!!!

For the newbies reading this crap, never dump everything you have on 1 bet. That's a sure formula to get whacked. Remember there are no a absolute truths and that's specially true in sports. And as an advice, the best anybody can do when wagering is:

Bet flat.
Bet straight.
And never bet more than 2% of your bankroll.
And of course have a bankroll.

Peace

Java · Sep 15, 2003

Any newbies following advice like this will never last long enough to become oldbies.

sds · Sep 15, 2003

Pretty good advice I'd say Java. Why would anyone post that though???

sds

DannyMay · Sep 15, 2003

sds and Jazz,

When this teaser hits I want you both to make home video recordings of yourselves singing " Danny May is the greatest. I will never doubt his greatness again. He is always right. He is better than Beantown Jim"I want the videos posted on therx so everyone can see them. Woo Hoo. I will be rich next Sunday Night. I have it all on this teaser.

I will Grin when this teaser Wins.

DannyMay · Sep 15, 2003

sds,

Do yourself a favor and dont check the accuracy of these picks. You will be kicking yourself in the arse.

sds · Sep 15, 2003

Who would I be "doing the favour"??

Regardless, WHY would anyone blindly take your advice? IF I was to give you 6 horses ,would you bet your life savings on them? Even If I said "100% no fail" like you did??
lmao
we all know the answer to that

sds

DannyMay · Sep 15, 2003

Holy Sh*T,

I just went over to MW and guess what - BeanTown Jim has giving his play of the year.He says the Boys are gonna win outright. Now I am F*cking Scared about the Giants play.

Damn I have it all on the opposite side of BeanTown.Maybe the Boys will only win by 1 or 2. Otherwise, I am screwed already. Oh BeanTown, why didnt you tell me earlier.

P.S. Tom Green is coming to Muncie later this week.

Jazz · Sep 15, 2003

Danny: why would I bother to dispute your pick? If you know me at all, you know I don't do any of that kind of thing.

I'm disputing your rationality by your giving someone new to betting, who just lost $3,000 and has to work for another month to make that up, the kind of 'advice' you dumped in the Newbies forum. That's why I posted there as well. Don't try to make this an 'I told You So' topic - it's not - you may well win. But I consider it a type of malicious post to purport to someone pretty desperate that this is 'guaranteed'. At first I thought you were joking - hell, maybe you ARE - but I'm now decently sure you're not.

That's too bad, Danny, though we've had a few disagreements politically (lol), I've respected most of what you've posted on sports and gambling ... until now.

DannyMay · Sep 15, 2003

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote">quote:<HR>Originally posted by sds:

IF I was to give you 6 horses ,would you bet your life savings on them? Even If I said "100% no fail" like you did??

<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Hell yes sds. I would gladly bet it all on your 6 plays. Can you give them to me next week ? I seem to have my life savings tied up until Sunday Night.SdsI know I will never hear the end of this if I lose 1 of these plays, you better be ready to tell me I was right. Off to watch the game now.

DannyMay · Sep 15, 2003

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote">quote:<HR> Don't try to make this an 'I told You So' topic - it's not <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Naah. Naah. I told you so. Ha ha. I was right and you were wrong. Ha Ha.

sds · Sep 15, 2003

No Danny,
I am bigger than that.
This isn't about your picks, or "right or wrong", it is like Jazz said - it is about bad advice. Very off the cuff to a guy who COULD be rather shaken up and desperate right now. I thought that it was simply a poor judgement call on your part. Incidentally, I HOPE you do win......I never wish anything bad on fellow gamblers
cheers
sds

Railbird · Sep 15, 2003

Kelly criteria is garbage, you still go broke just takes longer, good strategy is to make a score and get out, spend the dough on something, and then make another score, if you go broke with agressive play, go to work for awhile.

Jazz · Sep 15, 2003

lol - you're a character, Bird, though I agree the Kelly Criteria is garbage - but betting aggressively (as per DM's recommendation) is 3 yards under the garbage dump.

Jazz · Sep 15, 2003

I'm going to re-post my original post, because it bears re-reading after the Cowboys incredibly improbable victory over the Giants tonight ...

original post by DannyMay:

Put everything on this play

Monkey Teaser ( 13 points)

Kansas City NFL + 3 1/2
New York Giants NFL + 2 1/2
Buffalo NFL + 15 1/2
Bowling Green CF + 28 1/2

Bet everything you can on this teaser and you WILL get your $3000 back and then some. This is -120 most places, so if you can get hold of $12,000 you can win $10,000. Also not every book takes these plays, make sure they offer 13 points teasers before you send money. I would suggest TCBets. This place takes them, they are safe and offer a decent bonus.

This teaser WILL win. You heard me correct. It WILL win. Sell whatever you can by tonights kickoff and have this play in. I will come back next monday morning to bask in the glow of this winner.

posted September 15, 2003 05:49 PM

Jazz

yes - anyone following those instructions to the letter needs to get help for compulsive gambling based on advice from ANYONE telling them to bet a 4 game teaser by dumping as much cash as you can find on it.

secondly, I don't care if a burning bush told me to take this play, I'd put the bush out with a hose and tell it to calm down.

Third, and most importantly, if it seems too good to be true, IT IS

There is absolutely nothing guaranteed in sports - absolutely nothing. A guarantee that does not include putting up the guarantor's money in escrow, to pay off those who lose, is no real guarantee - it is only an opinion.

Bottom line - use your head.

[This message was edited by Jazz on September 16, 2003 at 01:17 AM.]