Mind if I get a hold of this week's GS? I would greatly appreciate it:
USC_TheReal@yahoo.com
Much thanks.
USC_TheReal@yahoo.com
Much thanks.
Damnit, I just realized that email acct. is not active due to inactivity. I'm really sorry, could you send it again, but send it to:
tgb1614@hotmail.com
Thanks man. I'm an idiot.
tgb1614@hotmail.com
Thanks man. I'm an idiot.
Gold Sheet Write-Ups
THURSDAY, AUGUST 28
*BUFFALO 27 - Utep 21--Bull recruiting has been upgraded dramatically, and Buffalo is one of MAC's most experienced teams with 18 regulars returning, plus some impressive newcomers and vet starters returning from injuries. Conversely, UTEP seems to be on the downside of the curve, as the defense is coming off its worst season under HC Mike Price, who has fallen several notches in prestige. Bull QB Willy (68% LY), RB James Starks (1103 YR; 14 TDs) and a vet OL are reasons to believe Buffalo offense can win this game. Meanwhile, UTEP QB Vittatoe was very productive last season, but he's one of just 3 returning starters (lost 5 of his top 6 receivers and RB Marcus Thomas, who accounted for 1166 YR & 18 scores). Experience edge and possible Miner lookahead to rare visit by Texas point to Bull win. (FIRST MEETING)
*Vanderbilt 20 - MIAMI-OHIO 16--Granted, Vandy in heavy-duty rebuild mode on both lines. But SEC sources insist HC Johnson recruiting a higher caliber of athletes these days, and Dores do have pair of mobile QBs (sr. Nickson & jr. Adams) with starting experience. And reports indicate playmaking DBs D.J. Moore & Jamie Graham could emerge as surprise weapons offensively. Miami-O hasn't covered its last 6 as chalk and appears short of playmakers needed to lift attack that scored only 19 ppg LY. CABLE TV--ESPNU
(07-VANDY 24-Miami-O. 13...V.24-16 V.54/290 M.27/26 M.18/37/0/212 V.11/19/1/121 V.3 M.0)
(07-VANDERBILT -13' 24-13...SR: Vanderbilt 2-1)
*SOUTH CAROLINA 35 - North Carolina State 14--With seasoned South Carolina (16 starters back) eager to eradicate bitter taste of a painful 5-game losing streak to end '07 campaign, don't mind laying price vs. retooling NCS contingent (just 9 starters back). Wolfpack's untested RS frosh QB Wilson will be hard-pressed to move the chains, especially with the WR corps banged up (most seasoned wide-out Bowens out for year with preseason injury). And capable NCS RBs likely held in check by a seriously-improved (under new d.c. Ellis Johnson), rock-ribbed '**** front 7, featuring now-healthy LB J. Brinkley (missed final 8 games with injury LY) and LB E. Norwood (school-record 19½ TFL LY). USC's dual threat QB Beecher (plays designed for his running skills) & a deep stable of WRs burn a green State 2ndary (2 RS frosh start!). Note, Tom O'Brien's squad suffered its last 6 losses year ago by 17 pts. or more. CABLE TV--ESPN (DNP...SR: North Carolina State 26-25-4)
Wake Forest 26 - BAYLOR 20--Beginning of the Art Briles era at Baylor. And the word from Waco is that the offense-minded HC has big plans for speedy, run-pass, true frosh QB Robert "Rambo" Griffin (a talented 400 meter hurdler; went through spring ball) in the Bears' new, multiple-formation offense, even though holdover jr. Blake Szymanski (22 TDP LY) might get the start. The continuity edge obviously goes to Wake and HC Grobe with jr. QB Riley Skinner (72% LY) orchestrating the Deacons' deceptive offense. But the early spread is roomy enough to make true-believin' Baylor worth a gamble. (DNP...SR: Baylor 4-0)
*Oregon State 24 - STANFORD 17--By focusing solely upon returning starters, Stanford (which returns almost all of its defensive regulars from LY) would rate edge, especially since OSU breaking in an entirely new front 7 after leading nation in rush "D" in '07. But Pac-10 insiders report Mike Riley's new defenders possess the same sort of quicks that completely overwhelmed Cardinal OL the past two seasons, and jury still out on Stanford QB Pritchard after series of uneven performances LY. As long as Beaver QB Moevao doesn't self-destruct, OSU continues recent series edge. CABLE TV--ESPN2
(07-ORE. ST. 23-Stan. 6...O.15-12 O.44/173 S.24/5 S.16/32/2/189 O.14/21/0/142 O.0 S.2)
(07-OSU -13' 23-6 06-Osu -14' 30-7 05-Stanford +6 20-17...SR: Stanford 47-24-3)
ADDED GAME
*MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 24 - Troy 23--They're been plotting an ambush in Murfreesboro since short-handed MTSU was walloped by Troy at end of last season. And this time, Blue Raiders have dynamic QB Dasher (missed almost all of '07 game with injury) available, while Trojans in adjustment phase minus guru o.c. Franklin (off to Auburn) and graduated QB Haugabook.
(07-TROY 45-Mts 7...T.37-12 T.56/263 M.28/93 T.24/39/2/288 M.18/28/1/116 T.0 M.1)
(07-TROY -12' 45-7 06-Troy +8 21-20 05-Mts -7 17-7...SR: Middle Tennessee St. 12-3)
FRIDAY, AUGUST 29
*Temple 19 - ARMY 17--Let's get this straight. Temple is 2-29 straight-up in its last 31 road games, and we're supposed to stand in line to lay a TD with it at Army? No thanks! Al Golden has applied the paddles to the patient, shouted "Clear," and has managed to elicit a pulse from the Owls, but let's not get crazy. Not that West Point is going to shake down the thunder any time soon, either, but certainly the Black Knights figure to give a focused effort for HC Stan Brock, who's battling cancer. Army is inexperienced, but Temple starting QB Adam DiMichele has thrown as many interceptions as TDs in his career, including a pair in last year's 37-21 loss at Michie. Temple is improved, but the Owls are moving in "baby steps" and giving few indications they can win on the road, much less cover a significant number.
(07-ARMY 37-Temple 21...T.25-14 A.39/154 T.40/104 T.24/43/2/359 A.11/26/1/175 A.2 T.3)
(07-ARMY -6 37-21...SR: Army 4-1)
*Smu 38 - RICE 35--Rapid renaissance possible for SMU under former Hawaii HC June Jones, who coaxed 9 victories out of Warriors in his first campaign at Honolulu after UH had gone winless the prior season. His robust Red Gun attack figures to lay waste in the defense-shy C-USA, starting with small, slow Rice stop unit (league-worst 43 ppg & 511 ypg LY!). And insiders say Jones pleasantly surprised by defensive talent he inherited. No big shock if true frosh Mustang QBs Bo Levi Mitchell & Braden Smith able to outduel Rice's do-it-all sr. signal caller Chase Clement. TV--ESPN
(07-Rice 43-SMU 42...R.30-25 S.50/320 R.26/181 R.35/53/1/364 S.13/31/2/165 R.1 S.0)
(07-Rice +6' 43-42 06-RICE P 31-27 05-SMU -7' 27-7...SR: SMU 44-39-1)
SATURDAY, AUGUST 30
UNDER THE TOTAL MICHIGAN 14 - Utah 13--Michigan has too many question marks for us to lay even a small number with "Rich-Rod's" crew in this one. The fact the Wolverines lost loads of talent on offense is well documented, and those losses make us think Michigan's early-season "under" tendencies (11-2 "under" last 3 yrs. before Oct. 1) will continue. Utah has offensive balance in QB B. Johnson (67%) and RB Mack (1204 YR LY) to keep powerful Michigan defensive front somewhat off balance, but that group is being touted as one of the best at the school in recent years. Utes have won 6 straight bowl games and covered 6 of last 7 against ranked foes (Michigan is No. 24 in the USA Today Poll). New coach, new players, new offense equals a slow start in Ann Arbor.
(DNP...SR: Michigan 1-0)
NORTHWESTERN 31 - Syracuse 23--Hard to make a strong case for laying double digits with Northwestern in this one. Wildcats are just 3-14 in last 17 as a home favorite, are working under new coordinators on both sides of the ball, and will be playing without suspended sr. DT Gill, their best defensive lineman. Syracuse not exactly on our "go-with" list, but QB Andrew Robinson can generate some points if given time. Orange OL yielded 54 sacks last season, leading new o.c. Mitch Browning to a scheme that will try to take pressure off both the QB and the defense by scrapping the West Coast and trying to emphasize the running game. Wildcats yielded 4.7 ypc & 31 ppg over the last three seasons so Browning's plan might work. (DNP...SR: Syracuse 4-3)
*MISSISSIPPI 24 - Memphis 21--Though Ole Miss excited to begin a new era in Oxford under well-liked and respected Houston Nutt, expect this be another hotly-contested battle pitting two regional rivals (see Looking For An Angle). Rebels soph QB Sneed (Texas transfer owns rare combination of quick release & strong arm) has plenty of upside. But he won't find groove early vs. a veteran, more aggressive Memphis defense (under new, demanding d.c. Tim Walton) able to apply more pressure, featuring 8th-year HC Tommy West's deepest, most athletic DL, according to C-USA scouts. On the contrary, thinning Ole Miss DL has taken a couple serious hits (see Special Ticker). So, Tigers mobile, strong-armed 6-3 juco QB Hall (original Washington St. signee) has ample time to locate a tallish stable of WRs, spearheaded by 6-4 Calhoun (62 catches) & 6-8 Singleton (51, 11 TDs) vs. a still-suspect Rebel 2ndary.
(07-Miss. 23-MEMP. 21...Me.30-19 Me.35/124 Mi.29/74 Me.41/61/4/343 Mi.19/30/0/201 Mi.3 Me.1)
(07-Miss. -2' 23-21 06-MISS. -3 28-25 05-Miss. +2' 10-6...SR: Mississippi 44-10-2)
THURSDAY, AUGUST 28
*BUFFALO 27 - Utep 21--Bull recruiting has been upgraded dramatically, and Buffalo is one of MAC's most experienced teams with 18 regulars returning, plus some impressive newcomers and vet starters returning from injuries. Conversely, UTEP seems to be on the downside of the curve, as the defense is coming off its worst season under HC Mike Price, who has fallen several notches in prestige. Bull QB Willy (68% LY), RB James Starks (1103 YR; 14 TDs) and a vet OL are reasons to believe Buffalo offense can win this game. Meanwhile, UTEP QB Vittatoe was very productive last season, but he's one of just 3 returning starters (lost 5 of his top 6 receivers and RB Marcus Thomas, who accounted for 1166 YR & 18 scores). Experience edge and possible Miner lookahead to rare visit by Texas point to Bull win. (FIRST MEETING)
*Vanderbilt 20 - MIAMI-OHIO 16--Granted, Vandy in heavy-duty rebuild mode on both lines. But SEC sources insist HC Johnson recruiting a higher caliber of athletes these days, and Dores do have pair of mobile QBs (sr. Nickson & jr. Adams) with starting experience. And reports indicate playmaking DBs D.J. Moore & Jamie Graham could emerge as surprise weapons offensively. Miami-O hasn't covered its last 6 as chalk and appears short of playmakers needed to lift attack that scored only 19 ppg LY. CABLE TV--ESPNU
(07-VANDY 24-Miami-O. 13...V.24-16 V.54/290 M.27/26 M.18/37/0/212 V.11/19/1/121 V.3 M.0)
(07-VANDERBILT -13' 24-13...SR: Vanderbilt 2-1)
*SOUTH CAROLINA 35 - North Carolina State 14--With seasoned South Carolina (16 starters back) eager to eradicate bitter taste of a painful 5-game losing streak to end '07 campaign, don't mind laying price vs. retooling NCS contingent (just 9 starters back). Wolfpack's untested RS frosh QB Wilson will be hard-pressed to move the chains, especially with the WR corps banged up (most seasoned wide-out Bowens out for year with preseason injury). And capable NCS RBs likely held in check by a seriously-improved (under new d.c. Ellis Johnson), rock-ribbed '**** front 7, featuring now-healthy LB J. Brinkley (missed final 8 games with injury LY) and LB E. Norwood (school-record 19½ TFL LY). USC's dual threat QB Beecher (plays designed for his running skills) & a deep stable of WRs burn a green State 2ndary (2 RS frosh start!). Note, Tom O'Brien's squad suffered its last 6 losses year ago by 17 pts. or more. CABLE TV--ESPN (DNP...SR: North Carolina State 26-25-4)
Wake Forest 26 - BAYLOR 20--Beginning of the Art Briles era at Baylor. And the word from Waco is that the offense-minded HC has big plans for speedy, run-pass, true frosh QB Robert "Rambo" Griffin (a talented 400 meter hurdler; went through spring ball) in the Bears' new, multiple-formation offense, even though holdover jr. Blake Szymanski (22 TDP LY) might get the start. The continuity edge obviously goes to Wake and HC Grobe with jr. QB Riley Skinner (72% LY) orchestrating the Deacons' deceptive offense. But the early spread is roomy enough to make true-believin' Baylor worth a gamble. (DNP...SR: Baylor 4-0)
*Oregon State 24 - STANFORD 17--By focusing solely upon returning starters, Stanford (which returns almost all of its defensive regulars from LY) would rate edge, especially since OSU breaking in an entirely new front 7 after leading nation in rush "D" in '07. But Pac-10 insiders report Mike Riley's new defenders possess the same sort of quicks that completely overwhelmed Cardinal OL the past two seasons, and jury still out on Stanford QB Pritchard after series of uneven performances LY. As long as Beaver QB Moevao doesn't self-destruct, OSU continues recent series edge. CABLE TV--ESPN2
(07-ORE. ST. 23-Stan. 6...O.15-12 O.44/173 S.24/5 S.16/32/2/189 O.14/21/0/142 O.0 S.2)
(07-OSU -13' 23-6 06-Osu -14' 30-7 05-Stanford +6 20-17...SR: Stanford 47-24-3)
ADDED GAME
*MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 24 - Troy 23--They're been plotting an ambush in Murfreesboro since short-handed MTSU was walloped by Troy at end of last season. And this time, Blue Raiders have dynamic QB Dasher (missed almost all of '07 game with injury) available, while Trojans in adjustment phase minus guru o.c. Franklin (off to Auburn) and graduated QB Haugabook.
(07-TROY 45-Mts 7...T.37-12 T.56/263 M.28/93 T.24/39/2/288 M.18/28/1/116 T.0 M.1)
(07-TROY -12' 45-7 06-Troy +8 21-20 05-Mts -7 17-7...SR: Middle Tennessee St. 12-3)
FRIDAY, AUGUST 29
*Temple 19 - ARMY 17--Let's get this straight. Temple is 2-29 straight-up in its last 31 road games, and we're supposed to stand in line to lay a TD with it at Army? No thanks! Al Golden has applied the paddles to the patient, shouted "Clear," and has managed to elicit a pulse from the Owls, but let's not get crazy. Not that West Point is going to shake down the thunder any time soon, either, but certainly the Black Knights figure to give a focused effort for HC Stan Brock, who's battling cancer. Army is inexperienced, but Temple starting QB Adam DiMichele has thrown as many interceptions as TDs in his career, including a pair in last year's 37-21 loss at Michie. Temple is improved, but the Owls are moving in "baby steps" and giving few indications they can win on the road, much less cover a significant number.
(07-ARMY 37-Temple 21...T.25-14 A.39/154 T.40/104 T.24/43/2/359 A.11/26/1/175 A.2 T.3)
(07-ARMY -6 37-21...SR: Army 4-1)
*Smu 38 - RICE 35--Rapid renaissance possible for SMU under former Hawaii HC June Jones, who coaxed 9 victories out of Warriors in his first campaign at Honolulu after UH had gone winless the prior season. His robust Red Gun attack figures to lay waste in the defense-shy C-USA, starting with small, slow Rice stop unit (league-worst 43 ppg & 511 ypg LY!). And insiders say Jones pleasantly surprised by defensive talent he inherited. No big shock if true frosh Mustang QBs Bo Levi Mitchell & Braden Smith able to outduel Rice's do-it-all sr. signal caller Chase Clement. TV--ESPN
(07-Rice 43-SMU 42...R.30-25 S.50/320 R.26/181 R.35/53/1/364 S.13/31/2/165 R.1 S.0)
(07-Rice +6' 43-42 06-RICE P 31-27 05-SMU -7' 27-7...SR: SMU 44-39-1)
SATURDAY, AUGUST 30
UNDER THE TOTAL MICHIGAN 14 - Utah 13--Michigan has too many question marks for us to lay even a small number with "Rich-Rod's" crew in this one. The fact the Wolverines lost loads of talent on offense is well documented, and those losses make us think Michigan's early-season "under" tendencies (11-2 "under" last 3 yrs. before Oct. 1) will continue. Utah has offensive balance in QB B. Johnson (67%) and RB Mack (1204 YR LY) to keep powerful Michigan defensive front somewhat off balance, but that group is being touted as one of the best at the school in recent years. Utes have won 6 straight bowl games and covered 6 of last 7 against ranked foes (Michigan is No. 24 in the USA Today Poll). New coach, new players, new offense equals a slow start in Ann Arbor.
(DNP...SR: Michigan 1-0)
NORTHWESTERN 31 - Syracuse 23--Hard to make a strong case for laying double digits with Northwestern in this one. Wildcats are just 3-14 in last 17 as a home favorite, are working under new coordinators on both sides of the ball, and will be playing without suspended sr. DT Gill, their best defensive lineman. Syracuse not exactly on our "go-with" list, but QB Andrew Robinson can generate some points if given time. Orange OL yielded 54 sacks last season, leading new o.c. Mitch Browning to a scheme that will try to take pressure off both the QB and the defense by scrapping the West Coast and trying to emphasize the running game. Wildcats yielded 4.7 ypc & 31 ppg over the last three seasons so Browning's plan might work. (DNP...SR: Syracuse 4-3)
*MISSISSIPPI 24 - Memphis 21--Though Ole Miss excited to begin a new era in Oxford under well-liked and respected Houston Nutt, expect this be another hotly-contested battle pitting two regional rivals (see Looking For An Angle). Rebels soph QB Sneed (Texas transfer owns rare combination of quick release & strong arm) has plenty of upside. But he won't find groove early vs. a veteran, more aggressive Memphis defense (under new, demanding d.c. Tim Walton) able to apply more pressure, featuring 8th-year HC Tommy West's deepest, most athletic DL, according to C-USA scouts. On the contrary, thinning Ole Miss DL has taken a couple serious hits (see Special Ticker). So, Tigers mobile, strong-armed 6-3 juco QB Hall (original Washington St. signee) has ample time to locate a tallish stable of WRs, spearheaded by 6-4 Calhoun (62 catches) & 6-8 Singleton (51, 11 TDs) vs. a still-suspect Rebel 2ndary.
(07-Miss. 23-MEMP. 21...Me.30-19 Me.35/124 Mi.29/74 Me.41/61/4/343 Mi.19/30/0/201 Mi.3 Me.1)
(07-Miss. -2' 23-21 06-MISS. -3 28-25 05-Miss. +2' 10-6...SR: Mississippi 44-10-2)
Ohio 25 - WYOMING 24--Wyo (2-9-1 vs. the spread LY) played smashmouth at Ohio LY, eking out a 34-33 victory, pounding for 267 yards on the ground, only to see QB Karsten Sween toss 4 of the team's 5 picks. That carelessness is partly why Sween has given way TY to 6-4 juco Dax Crum (previously at Arizona State) as the QB in the Cowboys' revamped scheme under new o.c. Bob Cole, featuring lots of Wake Forest-like misdirection. Ohio HC Solich says he's got the talent on hand to replace the Bobcats' main man of LY (RB Kalvin McRae; 1434 YR, 20 TDs). Wyo has a tough defense (22nd in total yards LY), but OU QBs Theo Scott and Boo Jackson offer more speed and playmaking ability than their recent Bobcat predecessors.
(07-Wyo. 34-OHIO 33...W.28-13 W.47/267 O.33/37 O.15/30/2/255 W.26/37/5/174 W.2 O.2)
(07-Wyoming -4 34-33...SR: Wyoming 1-0)
WISCONSIN 45 - Akron 14--Prepared to "lay the lumber" with Wisconsin side that has handled most MAC foes it's faced the last few years and has been a go-with in openers, covering 5 straight. Stop us if you've heard this one, but the Badgers figure to pound the ball inside with P.J. Hill and Zach Brown behind a typically huge Badger OL. Ex-Kansas State QB Allan Evridge was announced the starter for this game after battling Dustin Sherer for the job, and his mobility plus nearly 2 yrs. in HC Bielema's system are positives. (DNP...SR: Wisconsin 1-0)
*NEBRASKA 37 - Western Michigan 20--With 17 starters back, on the surface it would appear that WMU might be able to take Nebraska to the wire, even in Lincoln. However, it must be remembered that new Husker HC Bo Pelini has inherited a big, balanced, well-stocked offense, and that the Bronco defense (30 ppg) had major problems vs. quality attacks in 2007. The big question is whether the hard-driving Pelini (d.c. at LSU LY) can restore the pride in the NU stop unit, which sadly slumped to 112th in yards against, 114th in points, and 117th on third down in 2007. Even with big questions at LB, we'll take a chance those stats are greatly reflective of the dubious leadership of ousted coach Bill Callahan. (FIRST MEETING)
*OREGON 41 - Washington 23--No need to be concerned about reports that Oregon might use 3 QBs (holdovers Costa & Roper, and touted frosh Harper) in post-Dennis Dixon era, since Mike Bellotti has been rotating signal-callers with success in Eugene since the days Barack Obama was a community organizer in Chicago. More concerned with U-Dub's over-reliance on one-man gang QB Locker, who has been a bit gimpy with sore hamstring in preseason camp, and Ty's Husky "D" is still full of ?s. Recent Duck series domination (won and covered last 4, all by 20 or more) continues.
(07-Oregon 55-WASH. 34...O.39-17 O.62/465 W.29/164 W.12/31/1/257 O.19/30/1/196 O.0 W.0)
(07-Ore. -12' 55-34 06-ORE. -14' 34-14 05-ORE. -16' 45-21...SR: Washington 58-37-4)
Tulsa 48 - UAB 27--While troubled UAB (only 72 scholarship players--13 fewer than NCAA maximum) still on short rations under 2nd-year HC Callaway, potent Tulsa (41 ppg on 544 ypg LY!) has established itself as one of C-USA's top powers. New Hurricane QBs sr. D. Johnson & rifle-armed juco Bower own teeming arsenal of proven weapons, while host draws sparse crowds at cavernous Legion Field. And UT won't pull punches after allowing severely outgunned Blazers to hang around LY.
(07-TULSA 38-Uab 30...T.34-20 T.49/362 U.36/161 T.19/37/2/333 U.22/46/1/242 T.1 U.1)
(07-TULSA -23 38-30...SR: Tulsa 1-0)
Tcu 20 - NEW MEXICO 17--Matchups were all wrong for New Mexico at Fort Worth LY, when swarming TCU "D" turned screws on Lobo attack that could only manage 117 total yards in one-sided Frog romp. But TCU has had its problems carrying numbers on road lately (9-18-2 vs. line as visitor since '03, and 0-3 as road chalk LY), and there are plenty of experienced playmakers on Rocky Long's unorthodox 3-3-5 "D" to keep Frogs' RS soph QB Dalton guessing.
(07-TCU 37-N. Mex. 0...T.23-6 T.60/238 N.26/28 T.13/22/1/183 N.9/32/1/91 T.0 N.1)
(07-TCU -4 37-0 06-Tcu -6' 27-21 05-TCU -1' 49-28...SR: TCU 6-3)
*Mississippi State 20 - LOUISIANA TECH 16--Sure, previously laboring MSU finally turned the corner LY under 5th-year HC Sylvester Croom. But still can't lay points on road with defensively-sound Maroon, who continued struggling in red zone in fall scrimmages. Resurgent La Tech has made rapid strides under smart, savvy 2nd-year mentor Derek Dooley, as Techsters fiercely competed with both Hawaii & Boise State in Ruston LY. And with Georgia Tech transfer QB T. Bennett (2136 YP LY) able to start right away for LT due to an NCAA loophole, and versatile, All-WAC RB P. Jackson (950 YR, 31 catches) demanding every-down respect, LT hangs tough. CABLE TV--ESPN2
(DNP...SR: MSU 7-2)
*Boston College 30 - KENT STATE 13--Defending ACC Atlantic champ BC trying to compensate for loss of star QB Ryan (No. 3 overall pick in NFL draft) and its top 3 RBs. Still, Eagles' gnarly front 7 on defense (only 76 ypg rushing LY--No. 2 in nation) matches up well vs. limited Kent's main weapons, mighty-mite 5-5 jr. RB Jarvis (1669 YR LY!) & run-oriented sr. QB Edelman. BC scouts say new QB Crane, a 5th-year senior, has plenty of confidence, and Flashes just 11-22 vs. spread since 2005. (at Cleveland, OH) (FIRST MEETING)
Oklahoma State 30 - WASHINGTON STATE 20--Even the shrewdest Pac-10 observers having trouble getting an early handle on what to expect at Wazzu, where 1st-year HC Wulff has turned Cougs inside out (new no-huddle "O" and switch to 4-3 "D" among other things). But replacing graduated QB Brink a tall order, especially since new triggerman Rogers has little experience in line of fire. As long as Mike Gundy's juco imports make the impact on OSU "D" that some Big XII scouts believe, would rather trust productive Cowboy QB Zac Robinson & friends at modest price. (at Seattle, WA) (DNP...SR: Washington State 2-0)
*MINNESOTA 31 - Northern Illinois 27--While reports indicate Minny's defense will be improved under new leadership, the Gopher stop unit has a long way to go after finishing last in the nation in '07. The addition of ex-Duke HC Ted Roof as defensive coordinator should be a huge boost, but the feeling is HC Tim Brewster is in over his head being in charge of a major college program. New NIU HC Jerry Kill has been cagey about whether touted RS frosh Chandler Harnish or senior Dan Nicholson (recovering from injury) will start at QB, but the Huskies figure to be able to move the ball on Minny with either triggerman considering the weapons at their disposal. (DNP...SR: Minnesota 1-0)
PITTSBURGH 34 - Bowling Green 16--Jr. Sheehan (3264 YP & 23 TDP LY) a proven field general for visiting BG, while Pitt jr. QB Stull (season-ending thumb injury in 2007 opener) lacks game experience. Panthers do boast one of nation's top RBs in marvelous soph McCoy (15 TDs & 1328 YR LY), however, and host's swarming defense waaaaay more athletic than Falcons stop unit. Those edges enough to give Pitt (6-2 as double-digit favorite under HC Wannstedt) decent shot at covering reasonable spread.
(DNP...SR: Pittsburgh 2-0)
(07-Wyo. 34-OHIO 33...W.28-13 W.47/267 O.33/37 O.15/30/2/255 W.26/37/5/174 W.2 O.2)
(07-Wyoming -4 34-33...SR: Wyoming 1-0)
WISCONSIN 45 - Akron 14--Prepared to "lay the lumber" with Wisconsin side that has handled most MAC foes it's faced the last few years and has been a go-with in openers, covering 5 straight. Stop us if you've heard this one, but the Badgers figure to pound the ball inside with P.J. Hill and Zach Brown behind a typically huge Badger OL. Ex-Kansas State QB Allan Evridge was announced the starter for this game after battling Dustin Sherer for the job, and his mobility plus nearly 2 yrs. in HC Bielema's system are positives. (DNP...SR: Wisconsin 1-0)
*NEBRASKA 37 - Western Michigan 20--With 17 starters back, on the surface it would appear that WMU might be able to take Nebraska to the wire, even in Lincoln. However, it must be remembered that new Husker HC Bo Pelini has inherited a big, balanced, well-stocked offense, and that the Bronco defense (30 ppg) had major problems vs. quality attacks in 2007. The big question is whether the hard-driving Pelini (d.c. at LSU LY) can restore the pride in the NU stop unit, which sadly slumped to 112th in yards against, 114th in points, and 117th on third down in 2007. Even with big questions at LB, we'll take a chance those stats are greatly reflective of the dubious leadership of ousted coach Bill Callahan. (FIRST MEETING)
*OREGON 41 - Washington 23--No need to be concerned about reports that Oregon might use 3 QBs (holdovers Costa & Roper, and touted frosh Harper) in post-Dennis Dixon era, since Mike Bellotti has been rotating signal-callers with success in Eugene since the days Barack Obama was a community organizer in Chicago. More concerned with U-Dub's over-reliance on one-man gang QB Locker, who has been a bit gimpy with sore hamstring in preseason camp, and Ty's Husky "D" is still full of ?s. Recent Duck series domination (won and covered last 4, all by 20 or more) continues.
(07-Oregon 55-WASH. 34...O.39-17 O.62/465 W.29/164 W.12/31/1/257 O.19/30/1/196 O.0 W.0)
(07-Ore. -12' 55-34 06-ORE. -14' 34-14 05-ORE. -16' 45-21...SR: Washington 58-37-4)
Tulsa 48 - UAB 27--While troubled UAB (only 72 scholarship players--13 fewer than NCAA maximum) still on short rations under 2nd-year HC Callaway, potent Tulsa (41 ppg on 544 ypg LY!) has established itself as one of C-USA's top powers. New Hurricane QBs sr. D. Johnson & rifle-armed juco Bower own teeming arsenal of proven weapons, while host draws sparse crowds at cavernous Legion Field. And UT won't pull punches after allowing severely outgunned Blazers to hang around LY.
(07-TULSA 38-Uab 30...T.34-20 T.49/362 U.36/161 T.19/37/2/333 U.22/46/1/242 T.1 U.1)
(07-TULSA -23 38-30...SR: Tulsa 1-0)
Tcu 20 - NEW MEXICO 17--Matchups were all wrong for New Mexico at Fort Worth LY, when swarming TCU "D" turned screws on Lobo attack that could only manage 117 total yards in one-sided Frog romp. But TCU has had its problems carrying numbers on road lately (9-18-2 vs. line as visitor since '03, and 0-3 as road chalk LY), and there are plenty of experienced playmakers on Rocky Long's unorthodox 3-3-5 "D" to keep Frogs' RS soph QB Dalton guessing.
(07-TCU 37-N. Mex. 0...T.23-6 T.60/238 N.26/28 T.13/22/1/183 N.9/32/1/91 T.0 N.1)
(07-TCU -4 37-0 06-Tcu -6' 27-21 05-TCU -1' 49-28...SR: TCU 6-3)
*Mississippi State 20 - LOUISIANA TECH 16--Sure, previously laboring MSU finally turned the corner LY under 5th-year HC Sylvester Croom. But still can't lay points on road with defensively-sound Maroon, who continued struggling in red zone in fall scrimmages. Resurgent La Tech has made rapid strides under smart, savvy 2nd-year mentor Derek Dooley, as Techsters fiercely competed with both Hawaii & Boise State in Ruston LY. And with Georgia Tech transfer QB T. Bennett (2136 YP LY) able to start right away for LT due to an NCAA loophole, and versatile, All-WAC RB P. Jackson (950 YR, 31 catches) demanding every-down respect, LT hangs tough. CABLE TV--ESPN2
(DNP...SR: MSU 7-2)
*Boston College 30 - KENT STATE 13--Defending ACC Atlantic champ BC trying to compensate for loss of star QB Ryan (No. 3 overall pick in NFL draft) and its top 3 RBs. Still, Eagles' gnarly front 7 on defense (only 76 ypg rushing LY--No. 2 in nation) matches up well vs. limited Kent's main weapons, mighty-mite 5-5 jr. RB Jarvis (1669 YR LY!) & run-oriented sr. QB Edelman. BC scouts say new QB Crane, a 5th-year senior, has plenty of confidence, and Flashes just 11-22 vs. spread since 2005. (at Cleveland, OH) (FIRST MEETING)
Oklahoma State 30 - WASHINGTON STATE 20--Even the shrewdest Pac-10 observers having trouble getting an early handle on what to expect at Wazzu, where 1st-year HC Wulff has turned Cougs inside out (new no-huddle "O" and switch to 4-3 "D" among other things). But replacing graduated QB Brink a tall order, especially since new triggerman Rogers has little experience in line of fire. As long as Mike Gundy's juco imports make the impact on OSU "D" that some Big XII scouts believe, would rather trust productive Cowboy QB Zac Robinson & friends at modest price. (at Seattle, WA) (DNP...SR: Washington State 2-0)
*MINNESOTA 31 - Northern Illinois 27--While reports indicate Minny's defense will be improved under new leadership, the Gopher stop unit has a long way to go after finishing last in the nation in '07. The addition of ex-Duke HC Ted Roof as defensive coordinator should be a huge boost, but the feeling is HC Tim Brewster is in over his head being in charge of a major college program. New NIU HC Jerry Kill has been cagey about whether touted RS frosh Chandler Harnish or senior Dan Nicholson (recovering from injury) will start at QB, but the Huskies figure to be able to move the ball on Minny with either triggerman considering the weapons at their disposal. (DNP...SR: Minnesota 1-0)
PITTSBURGH 34 - Bowling Green 16--Jr. Sheehan (3264 YP & 23 TDP LY) a proven field general for visiting BG, while Pitt jr. QB Stull (season-ending thumb injury in 2007 opener) lacks game experience. Panthers do boast one of nation's top RBs in marvelous soph McCoy (15 TDs & 1328 YR LY), however, and host's swarming defense waaaaay more athletic than Falcons stop unit. Those edges enough to give Pitt (6-2 as double-digit favorite under HC Wannstedt) decent shot at covering reasonable spread.
(DNP...SR: Pittsburgh 2-0)
FLORIDA 52 - Hawaii 10--Even with rival Miami-Florida up next for national title contender Florida, still want no part of a rebuilding UH squad (just 9 starters back), which is forced to go with green, soph QB Rausch (juco from College of the Desert has never played in front of more than 1,000 fans!) with sr. triggerman Graunke ruled ineligible for opener. And with the top 4 WRs gone for Warriors, UH attack will be stymied by a maturing, chemistry-rich Florida defense that has developed a "pack mentality" TY. Gators Heisman Trophy winner Tim Tebow (32 passing, 23 rushing TDs) has even more speed surrounding him TY. And with a much more potent ground assault (Meyer says he has 4 quality RBs) for support, UF should score easily and often vs. a severly overworked Warrior defense (with new CBs). (FIRST MEETING)
Virginia Tech 21 - East Carolina 19--Persuasive technical case for either side. Well-coached Va. Tech has covered 60% of its games over last decade for venerable mentor Beamer. Meanwhile, Skip Holtz is 26-11 against line since taking helm at ECU in 2005. Compelled to take generous points in this matchup, as veteran Pirates oozing confidence after giving heavily-favored Hokies a 60-minute battle in LY's opener at Blacksburg. And now-retooling Tech has to replace not just its top 4 WRs from 2007, but most of its best playmakers on defense as well. (at Charlotte, NC) TV--ESPN2
(07-VA. TECH 17-E. Car. 7...V.16-12 E.35/142 V.31/33 V.22/33/1/245 E.16/31/1/119 V.2 E.0)
(07-VIRGINIA TECH -27' 17-7...SR: Virginia Tech 9-4)
*Missouri 33 - Illinois 20--This regional rivalry is becoming one of the premier early-season games with the recent ascension of these two programs. And another thriller appears in store with QBs Juice Williams (755 YR in 2007) and Eddie McGee (257 YP off the bench vs. Mizzou LY; often getting 40% of the snaps TY in practice) both available for Illinois. However, the Illini will miss the powerful bursts of Rashard Mendenhall (1681 YR) more than they believe. Moreover, neither of the Illinois QBs can match the consistent playmaking of the Tigers' Chase Daniel (68%, 33 TDs, only 11 ints. LY), who HC Pinkel calls his "Battlefield commander" and who also operates a better-balanced attack (including WR/RB/KR Jeremy Maclin & TE Chase Coffman). (at St. Louis, MO)
CABLE TV--ESPN
(07-Mo. 40-Ill. 34...M.25-23 I.34/119 M.33/70 M.37/54/0/359 I.23/40/2/316 M.2 I.3)
(07-Missouri -5 40-34 at St. Louis, MO...SR: Missouri 14-7)
*CALIFORNIA 27 - Michigan State 26--Pac-10 insiders not surprised by Jeff Tedford's decision to go with bowl hero Kevin Riley at QB over 2-year starter Nate Longshore, but need more convincing that Golden Bears ready to provide more value than declining local real estate prices after covering only 14 of their last 41 on board. Staying competitive no problem for MSU, which lost 6 times by a TD or less in '07, and experienced wepons QB Hoyer & RB Ringer (1447 YR LY) can keep Spartans close again. REG. TV--ABC (DNP...SR: Michigan State 2-1)
Southern Cal 24 - VIRGINIA 10--Little doubt USC's deeeeeeeep defense, stacked with future first-round NFL draft picks, holds sway in this game. Still, the Trojan offense looks like a work in progress. HC Carroll unlikely to rush injured No. 1 QB Sanchez (check status) into prolonged action, and LB-rich Virginia stop unit has wherewithal to hold its own vs. USC ground attack. Scrappy Cavaliers 12-2 last 14 as home dog, while overpriced Trojans have covered only 5 of last 16 laying double digits. (FIRST MEETING)
*Clemson 31 - Alabama 20--Southern scouts concur--watch out for rising Tide in Tuscaloosa. And Bama might be a good bet to win SEC title...in 2010. While mega blue-chip WR Julio Jones might be ready for NFL, most of Nick Saban's ballyhooed recruits will need a few years to ripen. Conversely, Clemson is built for present, with cool sr. QB Harper (27 TDP, only 6 ints.) deftly distributing ball among dazzling array of speedy skill performers. And Tigers not without their own impressive newcomers, as touted true frosh DE Bowers reportedly ready to make immediate impact. (at Georgia Dome)
(DNP...SR: Alabama 11-3)
*ARIZONA 45 - Idaho 24--Under-the-gun Arizona HC Stoops might be tempted to let sr. QB Tuitama and Cats' emerging Texas Tech-influenced spread run up the score. But with a nearly completely-rebuilt stop unit, can we trust Cats in such a historically unprofitable role (1-7 as home chalk since '05)? Idaho not much, but remember that Vandals weren't embarrassed vs. Pac-10's USC & WSU LY before attrition set in, and HC Akey welcomes back entire offense (including RB Deonte Jackson and his 1175 YR). (DNP...SR: Arizona 9-2)
*UNLV 27 - Utah State 21--Since Utah State was fairly competitive in all but two games LY (lost by combined 106-3 vs. Oklahoma & Boise State), don't mind taking DDs with Aggie squad that also covered 6 of 7 away from home. Rebel HC Mike Sanford, who is on the hot seat, has some competent weapons (including pounding RB Summers) at his disposal. But his defense is still undersized and vulnerable (29 ppg). Aggie HC Brent Guy says he has more overall depth and size on both lines. And Utah State actually comes into game with more momentmum, having won last two games LY, while UNLV on a protracted 8-game losing streak. Remember, Rebels needed a last-minute TD to pull out 23-16 series win in Logan in '07. If decent 6-2 Aggie QB Setzer avoids big mistakes, Sanford's squad barely escape once again.
(07-Unlv 23-UTAH ST. 16...S.15-14 U.38/173 S.40/97 U.12/20/0/141 S.13/19/0/137 U.1 S.2)
(07-Unlv -6' 23-16 05-USU +3' 31-24...SR: Utah State 12-6)
ADDED GAMES
INDIANA 34 - Western Kentucky 20--Don't quite trust Indiana laying three TDs in this game, especially with key offensive cog QB Kellen Lewis (led team in rushing as well as passing; accounted for 38 TDs LY) running second team during August drills for disciplinary reasons. Western Kentucky HC David Elson will have a few more arrows in the quiver this season, and his two-QB spread offense should be more productive as soph K.J. Black (recently named the starter) builds on a productive freshman season (66% completions). Indiana hasn't held foes to fewer than 30 ppg in years, although last season the Hoosiers made progress stopping the run (3.9 ypc). (FIRST MEETING)
*AUBURN 49 - Louisiana-Monroe 17--Yes, Auburn hadn't performed well as a favorite lately, primarily due to an offense that lacked much big-play ability. But expect some trend reversal now that Tigers running a fast-tempo, no-huddle attack implemented by new o.c. Tony Franklin (former Troy o.c.), which will confound more than just pound. So expect defensively-stout Tigers (18 ppg) to eventually pull away from overmatched Monroe, unable to sneak up on the powerful SEC host following ULM's stunning 21-14 upset at Bama late LY. Auburn won't eschew the run with topflight RBs Tate & Lester exposing Warhawks 4-2-5 alignment, while either QB Burns or Todd slice up a soft UL Monroe 2ndary ranked 101st year ago. (DNP...SR: Auburn 6-0)
*SOUTHERN MISS 37 - La.-Lafayette 20--Oklahoma State racked up 3161 YR and 3161 YP passing in 2007 with new Southern Miss HC Fedora as its offensive coordinator. Versatile star Eagle RB Fletcher (nearly 3000 YR last 2 seasons) well suited to Fedora's scheme, and scouts insist lightly-experienced QBs soph M. Young & RS frosh A. Davis both capable of balancing new attack. Not sure ULL's senior duo of QB Desormeaux & RB Fenroy (each more than 1000 YR LY) can move chains enough to keep not-so-Ragin' Cajun defense from being exploited.
(DNP...SR: Southern Miss 38-10-1)
*TEXAS 38 - Florida Atlantic 20--Yes, FAU has been hammered in many of these intersectionals in the recent past. But this is one of crafty Howard Schnellenberger's deeper and more mature Owl teams, even though it lost top receiver Jason Harmon (ACL) in camp. Jr. QB Rusty Smith (32 TDs, only 9 ints. LY) still has a speedy spupporting cast. And Texas is not without concerns of its own, considering it was 109th vs. the pass LY and is rebuilding in the back four. On offense, there are questions whether the Longhorn ground game can dominate in the absence of Jamaal Charles (1619 YR), although scouts report UT is planning to use elusive backup QB John Chiles in a "slash" role. (FIRST MEETING)
*KANSAS 56 - Florida International 6--The way Kansas (12-1 SU LY; 11-1 vs. the spread) bullied its way past outclassed foes (Jayhawks had 7 wins by 30 points or more in '07), KU seems worth the risk vs. the Golden Panthers (1-11 in 2007) at the big price. Most of the underrated KU defense returns, and QB Todd Reesing (33 TDs, 7 ints.), RB Jake Sharp (821 YR), and WR Dexton Fields (63 recs.) are a terrific offensive nucleus. If 6-1, 230 juco RB Jocques Crawford is as good as advertised, game over early.
(07-KANSAS 55-Fiu 3...K.26-15 K.36/224 F.36/122 K.25/39/1/391 F.16/36/2/133 K.2 F.3)
(07-KANSAS -35 55-3...SR: Kansas 1-0)
*TEXAS A&M 34 - Arkansas State 20--For now, new A&M HC Mike Sherman has the hungry "Aggie-exes" excited about changes in College Station. But most Big XII insiders not convinced A&M ready to lay heavy lumber against any foe at this stage, especially while QB McGee adjusts to pro-style attack after running lots of option for Dennis Franchione, plus major Aggie rebuilding in the pits. ASU has established weapons in QB Leonard & RB Arnold, and Red Wolves put up good fight at both Texas & Tennessee LY. (DNP...SR: Texas A&M 3-0)
*KANSAS STATE 58 - North Texas 27--Despite contract extension, KSU HC Prince under increasing pressure in Manhattan, which should ensure focused effort from his Wildcats in this home lidlifter. Sun Belt rep UNT surrendered 145 points at Oklahoma & Arkansas LY, so count on confident Wildcat jr. QB Freeman (3353 YP in 2007) to shred poor-covering Mean Green 2ndary. Addition of several impact jucos should help maligned KSU defense keep "back door" closed against visitor's relentless aerial attack. (05-KANSAS STATE -25 54-7...SR: Kansas State 3-1)
SUNDAY, AUGUST 31
Kentucky 27 - LOUISVILLE 26--Previously high-flying L'ville took a serious tumble LY (worst mark since '97) under new HC Steve Kragthorpe. And since there are still major concerns on a revamped Card defense (33 ppg) that gave up a plethora of big plays year ago, prefer to "take" with ascending rival Kentucky, even without record-breaking QB Andre Woodson. After all, Wildcats new QB Hartline, who'll benefit from a talented trio of RBs (Allen, Dixon & Locke), can work play-action vs. yielding L'Ville 2ndary (25 TDP, just 7 ints.). And with UK mentor Brooks thrilled with his added depth and speed on the DL and in 2ndary, Card QB Cantwell won't have field day, especially with WRing corps (see Ticker) suffering some attrition. CABLE TV--ESPN
(07-KY. 40-Lvl. 34...K.27-26 K.35/185 L.27/101 L.28/43/1/366 K.30/46/0/275 K.0 L.1)
(07-KY. +5 40-34 06-LVL. -22' 59-27 05-Lvl. -22 31-24...SR: Kentucky 11-9)
*Colorado 30 - Colorado State 13--Former Colorado State QB and assistant Steve Fairchild takes over for Sonny Lubick, who guided the Rams to uncharted heights during his 15 years as HC. But Lubick's program lost some steam the last two seasons, going 4-8 and then 3-9. It must be noted that this rivalry has been one of the more tightly contested in recent years, with 7 of the last 8 meetings decided by 7 points or fewer. In 2008, however, Colorado--in its third season under Dan Hawkins--appears to be on the rise. Hawkins has been landing some prime-time recruits (frosh RB Darrell Scott turned down Texas), and son soph QB Cody can be counted upon to improve. Meanwhile, the CSU QB situation is uproven, and the Ram RBs, while tough, lack speed. (at Denver, CO)
(07-Colo. 31-Csu 28 (OT)...S.25-18 S.56/157 U.28/129 S.20/27/1/229 U.18/32/1/201 U.2 S.0)
(07-Col. -2' 31-28 (OT) at Den. 06-Csu -2 14-10 at Den. 05-COLO. -7 31-28...SR: Colo. 58-19-2)
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Fresno State 31 - RUTGERS 30--Departure of record-setting RB Rice (along with increasing scrutiny from the financially-strapped state of New Jersey into money being spent on Scarlet Knights' football program) might signal an end to HC Schiano's honeymoon at resurgent Rutgers. On the other hand, pugnacious Pat Hill's Fresno squad appears ready to rise, with many TGS scouts pegging veteran Bulldogs as the team to beat in WAC. Sure, Knights' strong-armed sr. QB Teel will get his. But FSU sr. QB Brandstater has enough composure to burn Rutgers' constant blitzes for big plays. Upset alert. TV--ESPN
(FIRST MEETING)
*UCLA 20 - Tennessee 17--With top two projected QBs unavailable and banged-up OL looking like a disaster area in preseason camp, Rick Neuheisel's debut at UCLA has already had to take some detours. But before dismissing Bruins, remember that quick-footed "D" should be ornery once more for respected d.c. Walker, and who better than sage, vet o.c. Norm Chow to smooth out the rough spots for juco QB Craft (who started five games at San Diego State in '06)? UT in adjustment phase, too, as 1st-year o.c. Dave Clawson (ex-Richmond HC) trying to get new QB Crompton comfy as Vols debut their own West Coast attack. Note Bruins have covered their last 10 as a dog, and "short" was very profitable role for Neuheisel in previous career stops at Colorado and Washington. CABLE TV--ESPN (DNP...SR: Tennessee 7-4-2)
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
Utah-Michigan UNDER the total
OHIO by 1 over Wyoming
KANSAS by 48 over Florida International
UCLA by 3 over Tennessee (Mon., Sept. 1)
Virginia Tech 21 - East Carolina 19--Persuasive technical case for either side. Well-coached Va. Tech has covered 60% of its games over last decade for venerable mentor Beamer. Meanwhile, Skip Holtz is 26-11 against line since taking helm at ECU in 2005. Compelled to take generous points in this matchup, as veteran Pirates oozing confidence after giving heavily-favored Hokies a 60-minute battle in LY's opener at Blacksburg. And now-retooling Tech has to replace not just its top 4 WRs from 2007, but most of its best playmakers on defense as well. (at Charlotte, NC) TV--ESPN2
(07-VA. TECH 17-E. Car. 7...V.16-12 E.35/142 V.31/33 V.22/33/1/245 E.16/31/1/119 V.2 E.0)
(07-VIRGINIA TECH -27' 17-7...SR: Virginia Tech 9-4)
*Missouri 33 - Illinois 20--This regional rivalry is becoming one of the premier early-season games with the recent ascension of these two programs. And another thriller appears in store with QBs Juice Williams (755 YR in 2007) and Eddie McGee (257 YP off the bench vs. Mizzou LY; often getting 40% of the snaps TY in practice) both available for Illinois. However, the Illini will miss the powerful bursts of Rashard Mendenhall (1681 YR) more than they believe. Moreover, neither of the Illinois QBs can match the consistent playmaking of the Tigers' Chase Daniel (68%, 33 TDs, only 11 ints. LY), who HC Pinkel calls his "Battlefield commander" and who also operates a better-balanced attack (including WR/RB/KR Jeremy Maclin & TE Chase Coffman). (at St. Louis, MO)
CABLE TV--ESPN
(07-Mo. 40-Ill. 34...M.25-23 I.34/119 M.33/70 M.37/54/0/359 I.23/40/2/316 M.2 I.3)
(07-Missouri -5 40-34 at St. Louis, MO...SR: Missouri 14-7)
*CALIFORNIA 27 - Michigan State 26--Pac-10 insiders not surprised by Jeff Tedford's decision to go with bowl hero Kevin Riley at QB over 2-year starter Nate Longshore, but need more convincing that Golden Bears ready to provide more value than declining local real estate prices after covering only 14 of their last 41 on board. Staying competitive no problem for MSU, which lost 6 times by a TD or less in '07, and experienced wepons QB Hoyer & RB Ringer (1447 YR LY) can keep Spartans close again. REG. TV--ABC (DNP...SR: Michigan State 2-1)
Southern Cal 24 - VIRGINIA 10--Little doubt USC's deeeeeeeep defense, stacked with future first-round NFL draft picks, holds sway in this game. Still, the Trojan offense looks like a work in progress. HC Carroll unlikely to rush injured No. 1 QB Sanchez (check status) into prolonged action, and LB-rich Virginia stop unit has wherewithal to hold its own vs. USC ground attack. Scrappy Cavaliers 12-2 last 14 as home dog, while overpriced Trojans have covered only 5 of last 16 laying double digits. (FIRST MEETING)
*Clemson 31 - Alabama 20--Southern scouts concur--watch out for rising Tide in Tuscaloosa. And Bama might be a good bet to win SEC title...in 2010. While mega blue-chip WR Julio Jones might be ready for NFL, most of Nick Saban's ballyhooed recruits will need a few years to ripen. Conversely, Clemson is built for present, with cool sr. QB Harper (27 TDP, only 6 ints.) deftly distributing ball among dazzling array of speedy skill performers. And Tigers not without their own impressive newcomers, as touted true frosh DE Bowers reportedly ready to make immediate impact. (at Georgia Dome)
(DNP...SR: Alabama 11-3)
*ARIZONA 45 - Idaho 24--Under-the-gun Arizona HC Stoops might be tempted to let sr. QB Tuitama and Cats' emerging Texas Tech-influenced spread run up the score. But with a nearly completely-rebuilt stop unit, can we trust Cats in such a historically unprofitable role (1-7 as home chalk since '05)? Idaho not much, but remember that Vandals weren't embarrassed vs. Pac-10's USC & WSU LY before attrition set in, and HC Akey welcomes back entire offense (including RB Deonte Jackson and his 1175 YR). (DNP...SR: Arizona 9-2)
*UNLV 27 - Utah State 21--Since Utah State was fairly competitive in all but two games LY (lost by combined 106-3 vs. Oklahoma & Boise State), don't mind taking DDs with Aggie squad that also covered 6 of 7 away from home. Rebel HC Mike Sanford, who is on the hot seat, has some competent weapons (including pounding RB Summers) at his disposal. But his defense is still undersized and vulnerable (29 ppg). Aggie HC Brent Guy says he has more overall depth and size on both lines. And Utah State actually comes into game with more momentmum, having won last two games LY, while UNLV on a protracted 8-game losing streak. Remember, Rebels needed a last-minute TD to pull out 23-16 series win in Logan in '07. If decent 6-2 Aggie QB Setzer avoids big mistakes, Sanford's squad barely escape once again.
(07-Unlv 23-UTAH ST. 16...S.15-14 U.38/173 S.40/97 U.12/20/0/141 S.13/19/0/137 U.1 S.2)
(07-Unlv -6' 23-16 05-USU +3' 31-24...SR: Utah State 12-6)
ADDED GAMES
INDIANA 34 - Western Kentucky 20--Don't quite trust Indiana laying three TDs in this game, especially with key offensive cog QB Kellen Lewis (led team in rushing as well as passing; accounted for 38 TDs LY) running second team during August drills for disciplinary reasons. Western Kentucky HC David Elson will have a few more arrows in the quiver this season, and his two-QB spread offense should be more productive as soph K.J. Black (recently named the starter) builds on a productive freshman season (66% completions). Indiana hasn't held foes to fewer than 30 ppg in years, although last season the Hoosiers made progress stopping the run (3.9 ypc). (FIRST MEETING)
*AUBURN 49 - Louisiana-Monroe 17--Yes, Auburn hadn't performed well as a favorite lately, primarily due to an offense that lacked much big-play ability. But expect some trend reversal now that Tigers running a fast-tempo, no-huddle attack implemented by new o.c. Tony Franklin (former Troy o.c.), which will confound more than just pound. So expect defensively-stout Tigers (18 ppg) to eventually pull away from overmatched Monroe, unable to sneak up on the powerful SEC host following ULM's stunning 21-14 upset at Bama late LY. Auburn won't eschew the run with topflight RBs Tate & Lester exposing Warhawks 4-2-5 alignment, while either QB Burns or Todd slice up a soft UL Monroe 2ndary ranked 101st year ago. (DNP...SR: Auburn 6-0)
*SOUTHERN MISS 37 - La.-Lafayette 20--Oklahoma State racked up 3161 YR and 3161 YP passing in 2007 with new Southern Miss HC Fedora as its offensive coordinator. Versatile star Eagle RB Fletcher (nearly 3000 YR last 2 seasons) well suited to Fedora's scheme, and scouts insist lightly-experienced QBs soph M. Young & RS frosh A. Davis both capable of balancing new attack. Not sure ULL's senior duo of QB Desormeaux & RB Fenroy (each more than 1000 YR LY) can move chains enough to keep not-so-Ragin' Cajun defense from being exploited.
(DNP...SR: Southern Miss 38-10-1)
*TEXAS 38 - Florida Atlantic 20--Yes, FAU has been hammered in many of these intersectionals in the recent past. But this is one of crafty Howard Schnellenberger's deeper and more mature Owl teams, even though it lost top receiver Jason Harmon (ACL) in camp. Jr. QB Rusty Smith (32 TDs, only 9 ints. LY) still has a speedy spupporting cast. And Texas is not without concerns of its own, considering it was 109th vs. the pass LY and is rebuilding in the back four. On offense, there are questions whether the Longhorn ground game can dominate in the absence of Jamaal Charles (1619 YR), although scouts report UT is planning to use elusive backup QB John Chiles in a "slash" role. (FIRST MEETING)
*KANSAS 56 - Florida International 6--The way Kansas (12-1 SU LY; 11-1 vs. the spread) bullied its way past outclassed foes (Jayhawks had 7 wins by 30 points or more in '07), KU seems worth the risk vs. the Golden Panthers (1-11 in 2007) at the big price. Most of the underrated KU defense returns, and QB Todd Reesing (33 TDs, 7 ints.), RB Jake Sharp (821 YR), and WR Dexton Fields (63 recs.) are a terrific offensive nucleus. If 6-1, 230 juco RB Jocques Crawford is as good as advertised, game over early.
(07-KANSAS 55-Fiu 3...K.26-15 K.36/224 F.36/122 K.25/39/1/391 F.16/36/2/133 K.2 F.3)
(07-KANSAS -35 55-3...SR: Kansas 1-0)
*TEXAS A&M 34 - Arkansas State 20--For now, new A&M HC Mike Sherman has the hungry "Aggie-exes" excited about changes in College Station. But most Big XII insiders not convinced A&M ready to lay heavy lumber against any foe at this stage, especially while QB McGee adjusts to pro-style attack after running lots of option for Dennis Franchione, plus major Aggie rebuilding in the pits. ASU has established weapons in QB Leonard & RB Arnold, and Red Wolves put up good fight at both Texas & Tennessee LY. (DNP...SR: Texas A&M 3-0)
*KANSAS STATE 58 - North Texas 27--Despite contract extension, KSU HC Prince under increasing pressure in Manhattan, which should ensure focused effort from his Wildcats in this home lidlifter. Sun Belt rep UNT surrendered 145 points at Oklahoma & Arkansas LY, so count on confident Wildcat jr. QB Freeman (3353 YP in 2007) to shred poor-covering Mean Green 2ndary. Addition of several impact jucos should help maligned KSU defense keep "back door" closed against visitor's relentless aerial attack. (05-KANSAS STATE -25 54-7...SR: Kansas State 3-1)
SUNDAY, AUGUST 31
Kentucky 27 - LOUISVILLE 26--Previously high-flying L'ville took a serious tumble LY (worst mark since '97) under new HC Steve Kragthorpe. And since there are still major concerns on a revamped Card defense (33 ppg) that gave up a plethora of big plays year ago, prefer to "take" with ascending rival Kentucky, even without record-breaking QB Andre Woodson. After all, Wildcats new QB Hartline, who'll benefit from a talented trio of RBs (Allen, Dixon & Locke), can work play-action vs. yielding L'Ville 2ndary (25 TDP, just 7 ints.). And with UK mentor Brooks thrilled with his added depth and speed on the DL and in 2ndary, Card QB Cantwell won't have field day, especially with WRing corps (see Ticker) suffering some attrition. CABLE TV--ESPN
(07-KY. 40-Lvl. 34...K.27-26 K.35/185 L.27/101 L.28/43/1/366 K.30/46/0/275 K.0 L.1)
(07-KY. +5 40-34 06-LVL. -22' 59-27 05-Lvl. -22 31-24...SR: Kentucky 11-9)
*Colorado 30 - Colorado State 13--Former Colorado State QB and assistant Steve Fairchild takes over for Sonny Lubick, who guided the Rams to uncharted heights during his 15 years as HC. But Lubick's program lost some steam the last two seasons, going 4-8 and then 3-9. It must be noted that this rivalry has been one of the more tightly contested in recent years, with 7 of the last 8 meetings decided by 7 points or fewer. In 2008, however, Colorado--in its third season under Dan Hawkins--appears to be on the rise. Hawkins has been landing some prime-time recruits (frosh RB Darrell Scott turned down Texas), and son soph QB Cody can be counted upon to improve. Meanwhile, the CSU QB situation is uproven, and the Ram RBs, while tough, lack speed. (at Denver, CO)
(07-Colo. 31-Csu 28 (OT)...S.25-18 S.56/157 U.28/129 S.20/27/1/229 U.18/32/1/201 U.2 S.0)
(07-Col. -2' 31-28 (OT) at Den. 06-Csu -2 14-10 at Den. 05-COLO. -7 31-28...SR: Colo. 58-19-2)
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Fresno State 31 - RUTGERS 30--Departure of record-setting RB Rice (along with increasing scrutiny from the financially-strapped state of New Jersey into money being spent on Scarlet Knights' football program) might signal an end to HC Schiano's honeymoon at resurgent Rutgers. On the other hand, pugnacious Pat Hill's Fresno squad appears ready to rise, with many TGS scouts pegging veteran Bulldogs as the team to beat in WAC. Sure, Knights' strong-armed sr. QB Teel will get his. But FSU sr. QB Brandstater has enough composure to burn Rutgers' constant blitzes for big plays. Upset alert. TV--ESPN
(FIRST MEETING)
*UCLA 20 - Tennessee 17--With top two projected QBs unavailable and banged-up OL looking like a disaster area in preseason camp, Rick Neuheisel's debut at UCLA has already had to take some detours. But before dismissing Bruins, remember that quick-footed "D" should be ornery once more for respected d.c. Walker, and who better than sage, vet o.c. Norm Chow to smooth out the rough spots for juco QB Craft (who started five games at San Diego State in '06)? UT in adjustment phase, too, as 1st-year o.c. Dave Clawson (ex-Richmond HC) trying to get new QB Crompton comfy as Vols debut their own West Coast attack. Note Bruins have covered their last 10 as a dog, and "short" was very profitable role for Neuheisel in previous career stops at Colorado and Washington. CABLE TV--ESPN (DNP...SR: Tennessee 7-4-2)
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
Utah-Michigan UNDER the total
OHIO by 1 over Wyoming
KANSAS by 48 over Florida International
UCLA by 3 over Tennessee (Mon., Sept. 1)
