Anyone got an opinion on cincy @ tulane...?

[Addicted2quack 0]

I'm shocked to see cincy as only a 4 point favorite against a completely inept Tulane offense. I understand Tulane has a respectable defense and cincy's defense is rather awful, but it's hard for me to not like cincy by double digits here. This has to be a sucker bet.....

 

[thecruncher 0]

The line opened at Cincy -2.5 and I think that's an accurate line. There was no early sharp action on this game -- the number has moved up slowly since release, I'm guessing due to opinions like yours and the fact that Cincy played a weekday TV game last week where they covered. Tulane doesn't have a great defense (but decent), in spite of some low-scoring games, but Cincy's is even worse. Tulane should have enough success passing the ball to keep this one close.

 

[Spaceman1218 0]

Cincy is horrible. The last 2 weeks they have played SMU and USF. USF sucks and SMU may be the worst team i football. If you just look at their last 2 games you are missing out on the story of Cinci. This line is such a sucker bet. I expect an outright win from Tulane.

 

[Aloha_4_Da_Winna 0]

Tulane should have enough success passing the ball to keep this one close.

Unless the QB spikes the ball on 4th down, again, hahahahaha

 

[thecruncher 0]

Unless the QB spikes the ball on 4th down, again, hahahahaha

If that was against UCF then I thank him for helping end that game while I was covering all bets on them and the Under, lol.

 

[Aloha_4_Da_Winna 0]

If that was against UCF then I thank him for helping end that game while I was covering all bets on them and the Under, lol.

http://youtu.be/H8XpknZBQSI

 

[Addicted2quack 0]

Yeah I know how bad SMU is, trust me, they alone have won me a few hundred bucks. But I watched Tulane play against uconn and it was a 12-3 win I think....granted uconn went to east Carolina and played a great game against them, but I'm not sold Tulane has what it takes offensively to hang with cincy. Cincy just came off a 34-17 win against USF who hung in there all game against Wisconsin and played good defense against one of the nations best rushing attacks. Makes me think cincy is "starting" to improve defensively. Key word there is starting. I'm not sold one way or the other but I like the input guys. I'll wait on the line and see if it keeps rising in favor of cincy. If it does I'll try to catch Tulane at +7

 

[rolltide 3,060]

fwiw teams with a decent offense have done well vs Tulane recently:

tA(passing yards + rushing yards) >= 424 and o:team = TLN and season >= 2008
SU: 18-0-0 (28.33, 100.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-3-0 (12.69, 83.3%) avg line: -15.6 +6: 16-2-0 (88.9%) -6: 13-4-1 (76.5%) +10: 18-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 9-7-2 (56.2%) O/U: 8-10-0 (0.69, 44.4%) avg total: 58.6 +6: 5-12-1 (29.4%) -6: 11-7-0 (61.1%) +10: 5-13-0 (27.8%) -10: 14-3-1 (82.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 44.3 250.6 27.7 17.9 219.9 1.6 12.7 12.6 10.7 7.8 43.8 Opp 30.6 90.8 39.2 20.9 224.8 2.6 2.8 5.3 4.2 3.2 15.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 31, 2014 Friday 10 2014 CIN TLN away -4.0 56.5

 

[ThaDude 0]

There's uncertainty at QB for Cincy right now too. Bruised ribs for Kiel and coach says Munchie will play as well. That type of scenario could lead to neither QB ever finding a rhythm in that game.

 

[Addicted2quack 0]

Good input from roll tide. Your statistical figures are crazy man. That's some deep stuff. I like the dudes point tho as well. I wasn't aware that munchie legaux was even healthy let alone a consideration. I'll look into some more. My gut tells me that if gunner Kiel starts it's a rather easy cover for the bearcats. If there happens to be a dual qb system then I'm laying off the game completely

 

[coitus_maximus 0]

I like Tulane here. Tanner Lee will be back and like him much better than Montana. Kiel hurt. Tulane with the Bye week playing on Halloween night. Don't see Cincy getting up for this games especially with the Pirates on deck next. I think it is a good line and not surprised it the Green Wave take it.