Anyone every studied sum of TT less than O/U line?

[razorbackpicks]

I've started to notice the last few days that team totals are not equaling the Over under lines, some are 1 run lower and even seen a few 1.5. I have not been able to put anything together yet though, as anyone ever drawn any conclusions from this, hopefully some that might have paid well?

editamn, just noticed the type in the title. Don't know how to edit that.

 

[ChugsMcGee]

No, I haven't but sounds interesting. Most I have ever seen seems like .5 run, maybe 1...but then it seems it's always heavy juice on the over for both teams. Post them in here as you see them, maybe it can role into next season too.

 

[lanyard90]

I have noticed that as well

 

[razorbackpicks]

TT sum=

Met/Nats = 7 .5 diff
Pitt/Philly = 8 .5 diff
Milw/Cincy =7.5 **** (1.5 run diff)
Miami/ATL = 8
Cubs/sTL = 8.5
Rockies/ZONA = 8.5 **(1.0 run diff)
Pads/Giants = 7.5
Tampa/Jays =8 (1 run diff)
Balt/Rsox = 8.5
Minn/Det =8.5
OAK/KC =7.5
Clev/Wsox =8
Ranger/Stros =9
Mariners/Ang =8.5
Dodgers/Yank =8

One game has changed on me, there was another game that was either 1.0 or 1.5 run diff and don't remmeber now.

 

[varkeyboy]

Milw/Cincy =7.5 **** (1.5 run diff)
Rockies/ZONA = 8.5 **(1.0 run diff)
Tampa/Jays =8 (1 run diff)


So do you suggest playing OVER or UNDER on these?

 

[razorbackpicks]

Milw/Cincy =7.5 **** (1.5 run diff)
Rockies/ZONA = 8.5 **(1.0 run diff)
Tampa/Jays =8 (1 run diff)


So do you suggest playing OVER or UNDER on these?

You degenerator just looking for any action? haha just kidding varkey. I honestly don't know. I can not be the only one to notice this discrepancy, I am also a little curious why those three also line up with my over's that I really like today. So, usually those three games (not because and nothing to do with the TT) line up with a play for the over for me. So should I put my usual wager on the overs then also a little on both team totals maybe as a little hedge? Should I take my usual wager and split it in half and swallow a little more juice maybe? I have no idea Varkey, which is what made me post to ask. You will notice I don't start threads often, usually just a follower with a few chimes in here and there. But I do post when I am hoping for someone else's knowledge or experience.

So hopefully we get someone to chime in that has look at these before. Oh and I am hoping the three you point out blow the Overs out of the water tonight!

 

[ChugsMcGee]

Well, lets just pay attention to those 3...for references sake the TT's are :

Milwaukee O3.5 -135/U3.5 +115 Cincy O4 -130/U4 +110 - TOTAL 9 O-105/U-115
Rockies O4 -125/U4 +105 Dbacks O4.5 -125/U4.5 +105 - TOTAL 9.5 O-120 U +100
Blue Jay O4.5 -140/U4.5 +120 Rays O3.5 -110/ U 3.5 -110 TOTAL 9 O-105/U -115

Regarding Brewers/Cards, total shaded Under and both TT's heavy juiced. If both went over Total at least pushes. Taking both TT's unders would be a small winning night if one hits, vs. paying juice for a Under Total...???

Rockies/Dbacks...Total shaded over and both TT's heavily juiced over. Both hit over, Total goes Over.

Rays/Jays ...Total shaded under. Jays TT heavily juiced over and Rays even TT. Both go over total at least pushes. Hinting at Jays RL? IDK...(for the record on 1st 5 under for this game)

So what do we have here...I have no idea! but interested to see how it plays out tonight, maybe the next week.

 

[razorbackpicks]

You could play the under in a game like Pitt/Philly which is at 9.5 on my book and play the over on each team total. game lands on pitt winning 5-4 you hit all three. If one team hits the TT over and game goes under, you hit 2 out of three. Just a thought while still trying to think about this. I think this might the only way to be profitable in this system

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

Without delving too far into it, I'm thinking the heavier juice on TT overs in these instances evens things out. My advice to myself is to cap each game individually. Good luck.

 

[rpark]

Juice on TT is double T at my book. Just seeing the juice makes me not want to bet the TT. I think I only bet 2 to 3 of them all season.

Example:

LAD/NYY GT 8 O -108 U -102
LAD TT 4.5 O +106 U -128
NYY TT 3.5 O -122 U 101

 

[razorbackpicks]

Last night you had Texas at Houston and team total sum was 1.5 less than over.

Texas was 3.5
Houston was 4
Total on game was 9

So thats two games in two days with a 1.5 run difference and they all went over. Will have to see how this plays out, so far so good. But I am sure if it ends up working out and having it broadcast here that it will quickly adjust.

 

[razorbackpicks]

Juice on TT is double T at my book. Just seeing the juice makes me not want to bet the TT. I think I only bet 2 to 3 of them all season.

Example:

LAD/NYY GT 8 O -108 U -102
LAD TT 4.5 O +106 U -128
NYY TT 3.5 O -122 U 101

I was told from one of the most profitable sports bettors I know that no high line should ever run you off. If you feel confident in the play, what does it matter to risk 150 to make 100? That is still a GREAT return on investment, after all that is the point here. That particular bettor drew the line at like -300 or something for boxing and fights, and somewhere around -175 on baseball/football/basketball. He was big in if you foudn two things you loved but high lines to also parlay to get them down, now I know with team totals a lot of books don't let you do that so not really an option on this specific topic.

But last night, I think houston O 4 TT was -150 and texas was 3.5 -130. Neither are that high honestly, would be if you were slinging G's on it, but this early in the experiment I would be betting much smaller. If the numbers work out then I'd even still sling more money with the juice because the numbers support it. You aren't going to win every one of them, but so long as you aren't playing Dimitry type ML's with -275 daily, you will be ok with -130's and winning.

 

[razorbackpicks]

For tonight you have two games to keep an eye on the moment.

Yankee's TT O 3.5 -135
Boston TT O4 -115
Game Total opened at 9 but has been bet down to 8.5.

San Fran TT O 3.5 -125
St Louis TT O3 -130
Game Total 7.5.

Both games are at 1 run now, but could easily be bet to 1.5.