Anyone else like Syracuse +30 1/2 over #1 Clemson?

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Oh boy!
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I like Syracuse here. They have played well at home including a 3-point loss to 6-3 Pitt and a 10-point loss to LSU.
Clemson jumped from #3 to #1 in the AP polls so I'm thinking the line is stretched up a bit because of this. The line has also moved from -26 1/2 to -30 1/2.

Am I missing anything?
 

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syracuse QB out of game so have to go back to the walk-on who has only thrown 8 passes since the LSU game he started.
 
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Hey Buddy.. long Time no see :)

I haven't played the game yet, but I do think Cuse has a chance to Cover

I have this game as a 39-14 win for Clemson

BOL !
 

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pretty good quick overview

Other things to know when Syracuse hosts No. 1 Clemson:
MAHONEY RETURNS: Syracuse starting QB Eric Dungey suffered a head injury in the fourth quarter last week at Louisville and the freshman is out. That means walk-on Zack Mahoney, a junior college transfer who enrolled in January and played his way into the backup role, will get the nod. That will give him a unique resume — two FBS starts against top-10 teams. Mahoney's Orange debut came against then-No. 8 LSU in September when Dungey was recovering from another head injury, and he threw for three TDs in a 34-24 loss.
RUN TO DAYLIGHT: Clemson TB Wayne Gallman, 23 yards shy of 1,000 for the season, had his sixth 100-yard rushing game of the year in the win over the Seminoles. He needs one more to tie the school record of seven set by Kenny Flowers in 1985 and matched in 1996 by Raymond Priester.
44 HONORED: These Tigers could use a history lesson, and they're in Syracuse at the perfect time. Before the game, the university will unveil statues of three former Orange greats who wore No. 44 — Jim Brown, Ernie Davis and Floyd Little. Clemson coach Dabo Swinney named Tigers long snapper Jim Brown a captain for Saturday's game to pay homage to the great Orange and Pro Football Hall of Fame runner of the same name. When Swinney told the team Monday, all he got were blank stares. The statues are at Plaza 44, located in front of Ensley Athletic Center, the school's new indoor training facility that will be formally dedicated Saturday.
TIGER DOMINANCE: Clemson is fifth in the nation in total defense (287.3 yards per game), seventh in pass defense (168 yards), 20th in rushing defense (119 yards) and ninth in scoring defense (17 points per game). Last year, the Tigers beat Syracuse 16-6 at home, holding the Orange to just 10 first downs and 170 total yards in 62 plays, a 2.7 average.
PURRING TIGERS: Clemson averages 488 yards offensively per game and has reached that level against a schedule that includes four of the top-25 defenses in the nation. ACC rival Boston College leads the country in total defense (236.5 yards per game) and Clemson gained 532 against the Eagles.
 

Oh boy!
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syracuse QB out of game so have to go back to the walk-on who has only thrown 8 passes since the LSU game he started.

Thanks. I looked at the injury report on Covers but didn't see this.

Edit: I see it's way at the bottom of that report.
 

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I haven't played the game yet, but I do think Cuse has a chance to Cover

I have this game as a 39-14 win for Clemson

BOL !

I can't see cuse scoring 14 points. I hope I am wrong and it's a ridiculously close game but with the walk on QB (who looked so confused vs LSU) they are going to struggle all game. Can SU's D hold Clemson to less than 30(-40) points?

good luck guys!!
 

Oh boy!
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pretty good quick overview

Other things to know when Syracuse hosts No. 1 Clemson:
MAHONEY RETURNS: Syracuse starting QB Eric Dungey suffered a head injury in the fourth quarter last week at Louisville and the freshman is out. That means walk-on Zack Mahoney, a junior college transfer who enrolled in January and played his way into the backup role, will get the nod. That will give him a unique resume — two FBS starts against top-10 teams. Mahoney's Orange debut came against then-No. 8 LSU in September when Dungey was recovering from another head injury, and he threw for three TDs in a 34-24 loss.
RUN TO DAYLIGHT: Clemson TB Wayne Gallman, 23 yards shy of 1,000 for the season, had his sixth 100-yard rushing game of the year in the win over the Seminoles. He needs one more to tie the school record of seven set by Kenny Flowers in 1985 and matched in 1996 by Raymond Priester.
44 HONORED: These Tigers could use a history lesson, and they're in Syracuse at the perfect time. Before the game, the university will unveil statues of three former Orange greats who wore No. 44 — Jim Brown, Ernie Davis and Floyd Little. Clemson coach Dabo Swinney named Tigers long snapper Jim Brown a captain for Saturday's game to pay homage to the great Orange and Pro Football Hall of Fame runner of the same name. When Swinney told the team Monday, all he got were blank stares. The statues are at Plaza 44, located in front of Ensley Athletic Center, the school's new indoor training facility that will be formally dedicated Saturday.
TIGER DOMINANCE: Clemson is fifth in the nation in total defense (287.3 yards per game), seventh in pass defense (168 yards), 20th in rushing defense (119 yards) and ninth in scoring defense (17 points per game). Last year, the Tigers beat Syracuse 16-6 at home, holding the Orange to just 10 first downs and 170 total yards in 62 plays, a 2.7 average.
PURRING TIGERS: Clemson averages 488 yards offensively per game and has reached that level against a schedule that includes four of the top-25 defenses in the nation. ACC rival Boston College leads the country in total defense (236.5 yards per game) and Clemson gained 532 against the Eagles.

Thanks once again.

I see a hungry and capable Mahoney able to step up here. When I look to bet on a game I look to see where the line may be off. I believe it's off here due to Clemson's stature and the status of the QB. It's really Syracuse's home efforts that put me over the line to bet Syracuse +30 1/2.

Good luck.
 

sdf

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Clemson should score as much as they want. It all depends on their defense which at times has looked mediocre and other teams quite good.

there is no way Clemson misses outon the top 4 if they win out....so style points are not necessary...but Dabo may want to try to put the foot on the neck
if they get up big. 31 is a fartload of points to lay on the road though...
 

Oh boy!
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Thanks for all the input guys. I just bet on SYR +30 1/2 based upon the following:


  • the over reaction of the starting QB being out causing the line to be over-inflated
  • Mahoney's performance against LSU
  • Syracuse's efforts at home including those against good opponents
  • over-inflated line for the #1 ranked team
 

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Clemson plays conservative, avoiding injuries. Syracuse can get way behind and still score a couple in the 2nd half for the cover.
 
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I can't see cuse scoring 14 points. I hope I am wrong and it's a ridiculously close game but with the walk on QB (who looked so confused vs LSU) they are going to struggle all game. Can SU's D hold Clemson to less than 30(-40) points?

good luck guys!!

There's my 14 points I promised :)

14-14 still in the 1st qt
 

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