***Anyone Considering Playing the Iowa/Wisconsin Side***

[ToothedTeddy]

it's early but love seein message boards full of Wisky backers. and % of wagers roughly 65% to 35%

public backed dog - any knowledgeable capper knows what to do

only reason not to give the points are coaching and play calling. ferentz and co have really shit the bed this yr. not that bielema's oc is any more dimensional. great matchup for iowa imo as the badgers play the same style. norm parker defensive philosophy made for traditional style big 10 teams. past matchups make this obvious.

under seems logical, but i'll give the points and watch that 3.5 stay there or better yet climb to 4 or 4.5

 

[ToothedTeddy]

and in response to the Hawkeyes being a fraud... (sure, my avatar says it all. but read on)

hawkeyes a fraud huh? explain to me exactly what fraud means to you. i thought frauds won games they should've lost, not the other way around. let's look at a few stats from their three losses.

points: iowa 40 opp 49
turnovers: iowa 9 opp 4
total yrds: iowa 1077 opp 924

so that's 3 losses by 9 points, with 9 turnovers. not to mention the 5th best scoring defense in the country (the 4 teams ahead of them have a combined 4 losses) and a running back who is currently 6th in yrds per game.

so again, i ask, what makes this 3 loss team a fraud? perhaps if they'd won those games you'd have an argument.

 

[MikeyLo]

I've got Iowa. IMO the Iowa front four is far and away the toughest to run on in the conference. Wiscky lives and dies with the run. If Iowa can limit Hill, Clay, and Brown and force Allan Evridge to beat them, I love their chances.

Wisconsin lost a game you simply can't lose against Michigan in the first week of conference play after leading 19-0 at half. Then they followed that up by giving up a 4th quarter lead at home against a Freshman QB vs. OSU. That was probably the back breaker right there. They looked uninterested last week against an amazing PSU team.

If Iowa takes care of the football (which they didn't against Northwestern and Michigan State, 8 TO's) they should have no problem covering the 3.5 spread IMHO.

 

[chitown-herky]

I am pounding the shit out of Iowa. Best play on the board in my opinion. Wisky is simply not a good football team and rely on the run. Not good against Iowa's league leading D. Iowa lost 3 games (2 on the road to top 25 teams) by 9 pts combined to MSU, Pitt and NW. Turnovers, 5 in NW and I think 3 against MSU were the problems, but overall they moved the ball in those games. I like Iowa 34-14 here.

But hey, I am a homer as well. Drink that Kool-Aid. :drink:

 

[GoForIt]

I remember several years ago Ferentz used to be money in the bank as Home Chalk.

 

[JakeT.]

Teams are very even cept Wisconsin has better QB play while Iowa at home. Slight edge to Wisky offset by home field of Iowa. This is a pick em that you can get +3.5 on. This is a close game.

 

[GoForIt]

I hated the Wisconsin QB when he played for my team (Kansas State) for a little bit. I'm leaning Iowa, but haven't pulled the trigger yet. So far I've only bet Kansas and Mizzou

 

[ToothedTeddy]

Teams are very even cept Wisconsin has better QB play while Iowa at home. Slight edge to Wisky offset by home field of Iowa. This is a pick em that you can get +3.5 on. This is a close game.

i agree as far at the line - thought it'd open at pick. think vegas wants the wisky money though (thus making them the dog). and so far that's proven true. value on iowa goes down considering wisky coming of a beating, but if this line moves up it'll be time to throw some serious money on the hawkeyes.

 

[ToothedTeddy]

I hated the Wisconsin QB when he played for my team (Kansas State) for a little bit. I'm leaning Iowa, but haven't pulled the trigger yet. So far I've only bet Kansas and Mizzou

both those lines seem high at first glance. kinda worries me. be interesting to see GoSooners take

 

[GoForIt]

any chance the Iowa line will go down to 3

 

[JakeT.]

any chance the Iowa line will go down to 3

I predict it will before too long.

 

[GoForIt]

I know Iowa won as chalk last week, but they have been weak lately as chalk and better in the underdog role. I don't fully trust them yet as chalk. I might leave this game alone unless the line goes down even more in favor of Iowa. Hopefully, they don't turn into Wake Forest (better as dogs, weak as chalk)

 

[METFAN]

i would play the under and if your grabbing Iowa buy it down to 3

good luck:toast:

 

[Moneyline_Monster]

I will never put a cent of my money on Allen Evridge ever again, IOWA.

 

[5-0SAT]

Oh bring back the glory days of John Stocco, he was amazing

 

[June_Jones]

he was incredible compared to the yoyos they got now at qb

 

[domino311]

iowa

 

[BugsBunny]

ToothedTeddy, why did you have to mush the Hawkeyes this weekend with this thread? Starting a thread like this isnt a good thing for Hawkeye backers.

But I will say, it IS a good thing that books aren't afraid of letting the badgers players get more then a field goal. And the fact that the general public is happy with getting that field goal, says good things about the Hawkeyes this weekend.

If this line drops to 3, you might want to 2nd guess the Hawkeyes. And if it drops below 3, might just want to get off the play all together.

IMHO.

 

[vijaysinger]

I've got Iowa. IMO the Iowa front four is far and away the toughest to run on in the conference. Wiscky lives and dies with the run. If Iowa can limit Hill, Clay, and Brown and force Allan Evridge to beat them, I love their chances.

Wisconsin lost a game you simply can't lose against Michigan in the first week of conference play after leading 19-0 at half. Then they followed that up by giving up a 4th quarter lead at home against a Freshman QB vs. OSU. That was probably the back breaker right there. They looked uninterested last week against an amazing PSU team.

If Iowa takes care of the football (which they didn't against Northwestern and Michigan State, 8 TO's) they should have no problem covering the 3.5 spread IMHO.

Good insight to this game. If Iowa don't turn it over they should cover.

 

[GoForIt]

I'm on Iowa now. I found some technical support after researching and now have a 27-6 ATS system since 1980 to go with it. I'll put the writeup on my weekly writeups thread.