Another UGA/OKie St. thought

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Here are my thoughts.....I think the most important match-up in keeping this game under is the UGA D against the OSU O.

Similar to a lot of others.

RECAP OF 2007
- Last time these 2 teams played you will see that UGA played the screen game almost the whole time....Stafford was a sophomore and the playbook was very compromised because of it. Knowshon was starting his first game and ran for around 90 yards and had another 70 yards in receiving. UGA was worried about the potential of the OSU offense and it showed with the ball control they had in the game. UGA ended up leading 21-14 at the half, made adjustments to the OSU offense, and won 35-14.

UGA - So UGA lost Stafford and Moreno.....everyone knows. The reality of the losts of these 2 1st rounders is a gain for the rest of the team. If you ask anyone (Richt, OC's, DC's, teammates), the star of THIS team is the team. I truly believe that this year. The return of Owens, Dobbs, Battle, etc. will make a HUGE different on defense. There may not be a better group of DT's in the country and the backups (Weston, Jones, Tyson) could start on about 90% of the teams in the NCAA.

The LB's are top 10 in the country and all upperclassmen lead by Rennie Curran (my fellow alumni), Darryl Gamble, Darius Dewberry, and Akeem Dent will be able to have speed on the outside and in the middle.

The secondary is still very solid with returning starters Reshad Jones and Bryan Evans at the safety positions and Prince Miller at a CB. I want to tell you that Branden Smith will be a star sooner than later as well. (Expect him in some wildcat for the game).

The biggest question on the defense is at the DE's for UGA. They have suspended the best DE for 2 games in Justin Houston, and moved Marcus Washington (a former LB) to DE. Willie Martinez (Def. Coord.) has seemed to want to get more speed on the ends because of the mediocrity last year with the sack totals. I think they will be able to contain Robinson on the ends.

I think Georgia is at a big match-up disadvantage on paper for OT vs. DE. However, UGA has the horses up the middle this year to cause real problems for the men in Orange. Jeff Owens and Geno Atkins have vibrant NFL futures, and they are backed up by Kade Weston. Weston wasn't healthy enough to make much of an impact, but he'll be the best back-up DT the Pokes see all year.

All in all, giving UGA 9 months to prepare for this game and the defense has something to prove. UGA did more live tackling in the preseason than it has ever done under Richt. Don't expect many YAC in this one.


OSU - What can be said that every other media outlet hasn't said? They have one of the best 3-headed monsters in the country with Robinson, Bryant and Hunter. Not only that but their OL consists of (from another site, but completely accurate):

OT --
Russell Okung (Sr.) Potential Top 5 pick in the 2010 NFL draft. Okung, the Big 12's top returning tackle, has started the past 34 consecutive games. Without Justin Houston at DE for UGA, we will definitely be facing a mismatch at this position. (Image above)

OT
-- Brady Bond (RSr.) 30+ starts for the Cowboys. If you're looking for a comparison, I'd say he's something like Chester Adams with more agility. An experienced, smart player with enough talent to be an NFL free agent. He's a kid that would be vulnerable to a big pass rusher if we had one.

C
-- Andrew Lewis (RSr.) 26 straight starts. He has played a little guard, and a lot of Center. Comparison...he's somewhere between Fernando Velasco and Nick Jones in terms of ability. Solid, savvy college veteran, but he's not a dominator.

Guards
-- This is where the Cowboys have issues. They aren't short on warm, big bodies, but none of them has seen a lot of action. A couple of JUCO guys and younger players highlight the list. It's always a treat to put experience DTs against inexperienced OGs.


This is a team that averaged over 40 points a game last year, yet here's how the Cowboys offense faired against ranked opposition last year:

Missouri -- 28
Texas -- 24
Texas Tech -- 20
Oklahoma -- 41
Oregon -- 31

AVG: 28.8


None of these teams (in my opinion have the defense of a middle of the road SEC team, save Texas and OU).


I expect a very ball-controlled UGA team to come out and run the ball with Samuel and a change of pace with Thomas, and a "smart" passing attack from Cox. UGA wants this game to be as low scoring as possible, and I don't think that OSU has the speed to play their standard "up-tempo" style.


My play: UNDER 61 and UNDER 30.5 (1st half)
 

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I also forgot to add this....

I am not convinced that Zac Robinson is 100% healthy. I spoke with a UGA beat writer yesterday, and all of the OSU media is completely mum on the injury he sustained and held him out of practice for over 2 weeks. With Robinson even at 80%, it limits what OSU can do offensively.

BOL with your plays!
 

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i like the under to as a lean, i dont do many totals early, but if I did it would be under also Zac Robinson is maybe not 100% healthy is scary for me. lol gl furmanski, im on osu to win tho
 

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I know I am a UGA homer but this is one of the funniest Okie St. previews I have ever read......It's worth the time.



OSU’s offense is the kind of unit that scores 55 ppg against the weaklings and 29 ppg against the good teams. Actually, they are exactly that team (that 29 points is inflated by the let-them-score-right-quick gameplan exhibited by OU during last year’s beauty pageant, the equivalent of letting your 5 year old wear a thong on stage) and get exactly that amount of respect. It’s one thing to score 58 on MIssouri State. It’s another to score 20 on Texas . . . Tech.

Most teams score inconsistently thanks to inconsistent QB play, and OSU is no exception to this rule. Zac Robinson takes Chase Daniel’s place as the Big XII QB with amazing ability that he never manages to cash in. He makes decisions about as well as a drunk co-ed in a lawless Caribbean country and at half the speed, but he’s got the talent to hurt you when he makes the right one. He’s faster than he looks (he’s white) and has a knack for picking up 3 extra yards to end plays. He’s accurate enough to scare us and flaky enough to scare OSU fans.

Junior Alex Cate will back up Robinson. One of the top recruits in recent years from the state of Utah, he’s managed to throw 5 passes for an actual college football team! Strong stuff from the Mormons. You know he’s tough because he didn’t burst into flames the first time he drank moonshine.

Running back is a strength for OSU. Kendall Hunter is as good a back for this system as anyone else in the country. Tough, squat, quick and smart, he’s as close to Barry Sanders as Stillwater will ever see again. This is both a good and bad thing.

Dexter Pratt made it to campus thanks to whichever Asian kid at his high school looked the toughest on SAT day and has potential to be a difference maker. Keith Toston will still be the primary back up and still be just OK.

The receiver corps is a mixed bag. Their best receiver is Rhodes Scholar Dez Bryant (He was wearing my Harvard tie. Can you believe it? My Harvard tie. Like oh, sure he went to Harvard). You should know him because he’s the best non QB in the conference. His teachers don’t know him because they’ve never met him.

It goes downhill from there. The next best guy is noted for his blocking and special teams contributions. Hey, maybe he can be another Jamaar Taylor. Justin Blackmon is the promising freshman with speed to burn. He’ll scare Iowa State and Earl Thomas will have to look at the program afterwards to find out the name of the kid he shut out earlier in the afternoon. Sophomore Hubert Anyiam has a name like a Jewish accountant and stats to match.

Brandon Pettigrew leaves a massive shoes to fill at tight end. Not only was he a devastating blocker, but I don’t think Texas ever managed to have anybody within 5 yards of him in coverage at any time in the last two years. With him and his talent gone, primary TE duty falls to Greg Smith. His actual name isn’t important. Jamal Mosely is the potentially good receiver that will potentially play all the time after Zac Robinson potentially stops wasting effort on throwing to a small tackle. Colt McCoy feels your pain, Zac.

The games will be won or lost up front, because Robinson and Hunter need room to operate, and OSU has as good a pair of tackles as anyone in the country, Russell Okung you are familiar with as the potential top 5 pick that limited Brian Orakpo to a mere 1/7th of his seasonal output last year. OK, disregard that. He’s big, fast and strong and will be able to dominate anyone not on their way to an NFL future. Brian Bond is their Adam Ulatoski. Not as good pass protecting, a little better run blocking.

The interior of the line struggled at times last year, especially against Oregon in the Holiday. Center Andrew Lewis will play center this year and can play anywhere along the line, which means he isn’t good enough to stick in one place. Jonathan Rush and Noah Franklin are typical Gundy guards — big, athletic, well coached, and probably only decent.

Gundy’s offenses are well designed but poorly thought out.. They do things at the wrong times and fail to use the clock to their advantage late in games. Zac Robinson manages the team like a bored Target shift manager. They have to be explosive to win, but after Bryant and half a game’s worth of Robinson, it probably won’t be there.

The defense is mostly made up of players Texas cooled off on somewhere during the recruiting process. Ugo Chinasa, Orie Lemon, and Parrish Cox head the list of guys that Mack was OK with not having. Chinasa led the team in tackles for loss and dashikis in closet. The bodies on the line are just like any other not-quite-there-yet school. Good size, good speed, weak pass rush. They had a very good blitz package last year and needed every page of that section in the playbook. Richetti Jones will try to add something from his electric mobility scooter.

The linebackers are a strength, or would be if they played in the Big 10. Andre Sexton is the bright spot. He has the speed of a converted safety but plays strong enough to overcome his size. He’s flanked by Lemon and Patrick Levine the way Jack White is flanked by his sister. As long as OSU plays a running team they’ll be fine. People still run, right? New DC Bill Young always has good linebacker play, so they’ll probably be disciplined and blow coverages in a uniform, hustling manner.

The backups of note are all special teamers with potential to be not horrible starters. This is not a terrific thing, since every one of the starters is a senior and they are not going to stop playing football after this year. Donald Booker as potential, a big hitter with good speed who can’t beat out Orie Lemon.

The secondary has been a surprising strength in the last decade for OSU. They always have some strong safety with NFL potential slumming it for them instead of driving red Porches in Norman. Well, rules were meant to be broken. Parrish Cox is not the punchline to a tasteless joke about a New Orleans altar boy, but OSU’s best defensive back. This is like saying that Alex Cate is one of the top recruits from Utah in the past couple years. He’s fast and a good kick returner but isn’t particularly skilled at anything other than smoking weed while his tutor writes his term paper. The other corner is Terrance Anderson, a senior who’s never started. This should end well.

Discontinuing the proud Cowboy safety tradition are Victor Johnson and Tarantinoesque Lucien Antoine. Johnson is a youngster with a high ceiling, but Antoine is a senior known for hitting with a bad knee. This should end well. The backups have speed to burn. Markelle Martin and Johnny Thomas are both sophomores used mostly on special teams last year, senior Maurice Gray is a 5′8 sprinter for whom speed isn’t an issue. Just ability and size.

DC Bill Young spent last season in Miami being not old or Cuban enough before fleeing to the bright lights of Stillwater. He helped put together and extremely overachieving defense in Kansas before hopping to the East Coast, so should he stay put OSU fans have a lot to look forward to. It’s like an airshow or monster truck rally that happens 14 times a year! He’ll also bring back a working knowledge of most black market firearms should Bedlam get out of hand.

Their kickers are . . . kickers. They have feet.

Overall it’s a team that would win the MAC and a coach who wanders off to play sudoku when his offense isn’t on the field. Not a great pick me up for the defense, generally. They haven’t been using T. Boone’s money to rent more Hart Lee Dykeses, instead opting to build the best looking thing in Oklahoma, which is like saying Alex Cate is one of the top recruits from Utah in the last couple years. They dodge Nebraska and Kansas but have to play Georgia again, who is OSU in reverse, but better. Eight wins is a good season, nine is worth celebrating. Twelve is worth one dollar.
 

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Very nice write-up. I'm a Bama fan, but I've looked at UGA as a sleeper this year... With the OL and DL bring back tons of experience and a physical, pound-it-out mentality, I think UGA may be better this year without Stafford and Moreno. LT Okung and OSU's passing game scares me enough to stay away from the points, but I love the under.

GL.
 

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After watching tonight's games, I like the under in all 45 games Saturday!! UGA rolls on Saturday afternoon though...take it to the bank....
 

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Joe Cox with the flu adds another element to my under theory.

I think he will play, but his effectiveness is up in the air.
 

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VT +7
Syracuse +7 (-120)
Michigan -13


I just have them small though. I don't like to play big games in the first week of the season.
 

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2nd half UGA/OSU....

OVER 24.5 (1/2 sized)

This is 2 things for me.....a HUGE middle opportunity, and the fact that these teams will open it up in the 2nd half. Expecting around 28-31 points in the 2nd.

BOL to all.
 

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