An NBA stat that makes no sense....

WorldNumberOne · Nov 18, 2008

Home rested teams vs. teams that played the night before ( i.e. a back to back team ) are 10-27 ats in the first half...

I guess the only way to decifer this is that early in the season teams have lost their rythem by having a night or 2 off ...

their only 17-20 straight up for the game.

12-25 ats for the game...

barman · Nov 18, 2008

Actually a more likely conclusion is that the spreads in such game have so far been overly tilted in favor of the B2B team and are fooling the bettors at large who likely lean towards the rested team at Home.

WorldNumberOne · Nov 18, 2008

barman said:
Actually a more likely conclusion is that the spreads in such game have so far been overly tilted in favor of the B2B team and are fooling the bettors at large who likely lean towards the rested team at Home.

24 of the 37 first half spreads for the home rested team were -4 or less . some of those being dogs .

WorldNumberOne · Nov 20, 2008

i'm sure nobody noticed , but home rested went 0-5 ats in the first half last night .

10-32 for the year ..

bigtendominator · Nov 20, 2008

barman said:
Actually a more likely conclusion is that the spreads in such game have so far been overly tilted in favor of the B2B team and are fooling the bettors at large who likely lean towards the rested team at Home.

How do you explain only 17-20 SU.

WorldNumberOne · Nov 20, 2008

really odd... rested teams have only outright won the second quarter 12 of 42 games.

WorldNumberOne · Nov 20, 2008

another thing going on when 2 teams play that are both on back to back and also both teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights :

2nd quarter has gone under 8 of 10 games.

4th quarter has gone over 9-0-1 so far.

home teams in this matchup are 7-3 ats in the 4th quarter .

barman · Nov 20, 2008

bigtendominator said:
How do you explain only 17-20 SU.

The rested team is a lesser team more often than not in this small sample of games.

That's only a guess on my part in response to your question. I don't in fact know that it's true.

barman · Nov 20, 2008

BTW, I do appreciate WNO compiling and sharing this type of information.

SaltyVeteran · Nov 20, 2008

Pretty interesting it's that lopsided so far. But I do agree that lines are shaded accordingly. However, we're only a couple weeks into the season. These guys are all fresh right now. A b2b or 3 games in 5 nights is surely not gonna have the same effect it will in February or March. This will almost assuredly start to even out if not start going the other way.