Am I reading into this a little to much or is my site backwards. . . .

[Freakzilla]

So I know I am a complete amateur who lurks in the shadows reading all of these great posts in this excellent community. Been into sports picks for a while. Stumbled across something that doesn't add up on my local site I use.

All team totals always show the favorite by a few points more than the underdogs team total..... for example team A is a 3 pt fav and team total is 24.5 then team B, the under dog, team total is 21.5
I hope I haven't bored everyone, I'm actually now at my point.

But now I'm looking at the packers redskins game. The skins are +1 and have a team total of 23. Packers team total is 21.5

Is this game a set up? Is Vegas showing us something for free here? How could the packers be a favorite but their team total lower than the redskins.

Again I just want to thank everyone on here for all their great insight and knowledge. Everyone have a great day and let's crush the book this weekend.

 

[bodyforlife]

That's interesting. What site are you looking at? I see a "pk" for the game at 5dimes and both team totals at 22 1/2. Although if it's just some local site and someone jumped on Washington, it would make sense. I don't know how you could really hedge that.

 

[Freakzilla]

So it's weird. I use a local, nothing moved over the net, but they have a site to make your picks.

 

[DesertDevil]

Is this game a set up? Is Vegas showing us something for free here?

No.

Contrary to the popular belief of some posters on gambling forums, these games are not fixed.

Vegas does not know the outcome going in.

 

[Freakzilla]

I wasn't necessarily saying the games are fixed.

Ppl read way to deep into plenty of things, and I was wondering if I was doing the same or maybe this was a mistake.

 

[DesertDevil]

I wasn't necessarily saying the games are fixed.

Ppl read way to deep into plenty of things, and I was wondering if I was doing the same or maybe this was a mistake.

Ok. I thought that is what you meant by that.

I see this as no different than 1st half totals not always lining up with full game totals. Sometimes its off a point or so. Think it more has to do with key numbers and the betting patterns of the general public for halftime totals vs full game.

In the case of team totals, the difference could be the common numbers that individual teams land on. When looking at totals for the entire game, common numbers come less into play.

IDK. Just throwing stuff out there.

 

[chonce]

It is unusual but it could be as simple as someone betting large on the Skins TT OVER (or GB Under) and they need to court money from the other side. But you are right, typically team totals with add up to the total for the game and the difference will, within a point or so, reflect the spread.

 

[Slurve~Ball]

Skins have gone over 23 pts in 4 straight games. I'm going to guess the books set the WSH team total high because they know some squares will jump all over it anyways.

 

[GETTINGPAYPER]

I think its just a line error. I also use a local and he uses a website. My site has Skins -1 with the TT at 23 and GB's is 22.

 

[JackStraw420]

A little unusual, but each bet to the book is semi-independent of each other, and maybe they want certain action on the TT's and that kind of contradicts the action they want on the game itself.

Or, maybe they just screwed up and flip-flopped them by accident. 5dimes constantly makes mistakes on their lines. They'll list soccer plays as -0.5 (-118) and ML (-115) on the same team, and those are the exact same bets.

Either way, I wouldn't read too much into it, especially on the small line.

 

[Freakzilla]

Thank you very much for all these answers. I always wanted to post more insightd, or maybe more so opinion, but was always worried. Lot of great ppl on here. Thanks again everyone.

 

[powerz]

If it was a major book like 5Dimes or Bet365 they would likely so catch the error and cancel the bet. So always best to report and build some cred with them.

With your local I am not so sure this would cancel, but I doubt the they would be lopsided on bad line?

 

[uscmd]

FZ, first thing to remember is the spread, total lines put out are not so much a prediction of outcome, but are designed to bring in, roughly half the money on each side of a wager. Right now you can find pk or GB+1 for the game. 58% of the bets are on wash. but 52% of the $$$ on wash.. With an extremely high percentage of sharp bets on gb.

So don't get bogged down with idiosyncrasies of lines. Pick the side you think will win and bet. Only ~14% of the games do the line factor in.

Remember we were all where you are once upon a time. Welcome.