SPORTS SERVICE RATING
SYSTEM FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
LAST UPDATED THURSDAY 6:10 PM CENTRAL
RELOAD OR REFRESH FOR LATEST REPORT
(FOR GAMES PLAYED THURSDAY 10/16/2008)
SPORTS MONITOR 1-5 1* TCU
(OUR PERFORMANCE IS WELL DOCUMENTED BY THE WORLD THROUGHOUT OUR SITE)
Alatex 10-20 PASS
American Sports Analysts-(ASA) 3-7 PASS
Animal R-T T-NCST-U
A-Play 10-25 10 NCST
Against The Spread - (ATS) 3-20 4 TCU
Tony Basich Sports 1-3 1 TCU
Best Bets 1 BYU
Bettor's Edge 1 FLST
Big Al's Sportsline 3-5 3 TCU, NCST
Blazer 3-10 PASS
Ben Burns R-T T-TCU, NCST-U
Thursday Night Game of the Month - TCU
ESPN Total of Week - NC State under the total
Captain 5-25 15 NCST, 10 TCU-O
Cobra R-T R-FLST
Dave Cokin R-T T-FLST
Cowtown R-T R-TCU
***** Enterprises 1-5 PASS
Dr. Bob Sports 2-4 2 TCU
Thursday 2 Star Selection
**TCU (-2.0) 26 BYU 16
05:00 PM Pacific, 16-Oct-08
BYU is 6-0 straight up, but the Cougars are just 2-3 ATS, have yet to play a better than average team, and are a bit overrated. TCU has beaten a better than average Stanford team by 17 points and the Horned Frogs’ only loss was at Oklahoma. BYU is a good team, but TCU is even better. Cougars’ quarterback Max Hall has averaged an impressive 8.6 yards per pass play (against teams that would allow 6.8 yppp to an average quarterback), but BYU’s poor rushing attack (4.4 yards per rushing play against teams that would allow 5.0 yprp to an average team) could be a problem in this game against a fierce TCU defense that will get to the quarterback if the opposing team can’t keep them from charging with a solid rush attack. Hall has only been sacked one time all season, but Oklahoma had given up any sacks prior to giving up 4 to TCU. BYU’s offense rates at 0.9 yards per play better than average with Hall in the game (6.7 yppl against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team), but TCU’s defense is my #2 rated unit and has yielded just 3.8 yppl to a schedule of teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average team. The Horned Frogs also average 4.0 sacks per game and have had 3 or more in every game, so Hall will be facing pressure for the first time all season. TCU’s offense is currently in the hands of veteran backup quarterback Marcus Jackson, who isn’t a great passer (just 5.6 yppp against teams that would allow 6.8 yppp to an average QB), but is an excellent runner that has tallied 364 yards on 60 rushing plays in about 2 ½ games of action. Jackson has also thrown just 4 interceptions on 155 career passes, so he takes care of the ball. The Frogs rate at 0.7 yppl worse than average with Jackson at quarterback and BYU’s defense is 0.4 yppl better than average. BYU has a 1.1 yppl advantage over TCU’s offense while TCU has a 0.7 yppl advantage over BYU’s offense, but my math model actually forecasts TCU with a slight advantage in total yards in this game after factoring in the home field advantage and the Horned Frogs are superior in special teams and my math model favors TCU by 4 ½ points in this game. TCU is tough to beat at home, where they 23-7 ATS in games when not favored by more than 13 points, so they usually win games against other good teams here. The Horned Frogs also apply to a very strong 61-15-2 ATS statistical profile indicator that plays on very good defensive teams at home against other good teams. That angle has applied to TCU twice since Gary Patterson has been the head coach and the Frogs won by scores of 37-7 and 26-3 while being favored by 3 points and 6 points in those games. I’ll take TCU in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 ½ points or less and for 3-Stars at +1 or more.
The Edge 10-20 10 FLST
Executive Sports 100-600 PASS
Jim Feist 5-20-IC 10 TCU, 5 NCST
Game Day 1-5 OP-TCU
Headquarters 5-10 5 BYU
Jim Hurley 1-5 PASS
Inside Information 1-3 1 BYU
JB Sports R-T R-NCST
Brandon Lang 5-1000 20 TCU
L.A.T. Systems 1 TCU
LVSS 10-20 10 NCST
Dave ******** 1-6 PASS
Nation-Wide (Gold Sheet) R-T-7 PASS
Mike Neri 2-10 PASS
Larry Ness 10-25 NO REPORT
Northcoast 2-5 OP-TCU, FLST
Marquee - TCU, Florida State
Player's Group 1 FLST, BYU
Pointwise 2-5 PASS
Power Plays 5-10 5 TCU
Preferred Picks 2-5 PASS
Private Players 1-5 3 TCU, FLST
LT Profits R-T R-UNDER
Randy Radke R-T PASS
Raider Sports 5-10 10 TCU
Rocky Mountain R-T R- BYU
Wayne Root R-T R-TCU
Chairman - TCU
Mike Rose 1-5 PASS
Frank Rosenthal 1 FLST+U, TCU
Score 100-1000 200 BYU
Scott Spreitzer R-T R-BYU
Lenny Stevens 10-20 PASS
Kelso Sturgeon R-T R-NCST
Total Edge 1 TCU-U
Underdog Lock PASS
Wildcat 5-20 PASS
Winning Points 3-10 NO REPORT
Wise Guy's 1 PASS
*********ADDED QUALITY SOUGHT AFTER SERVICES AND OR REQUESTED BY OUR MEMBERS WHEN AVAILABLE*********
SEBASTIAN 5-100 50 FLST
SPORTS REPORTER 1-5 PASS
FAIRWAY JAY 10-20 PASS
TEDDY COVERS 10-20 TCU-UNDER
MCGREW R-T R-NCST
SPECIAL K 5-20 PASS
HEISMANN TROPHY R-T PASS
ERIN RYNNING 10-20 PASS
TIM TRUSHEL 10-20 10 TCU+U
