All dogs, every day, and fading teams over .600 remainder regular season

[sunshine11]

I'm on Cleveland (you know how I like those heavy favorites ) so, you should probably play Chicago.

Tailing my strong system.

 

[TimmyRules]

Last Game Results for the OPPONENT OF:

Lad - 1.00
Hou +2.10
Min - 1.00
NYY - na

Total 1-2 + 0.10


June 28-Sep 29 Results for the OPPONENT OF:

LaD 26-44 - 1.28
Hou 23-53 -10.44
Min 18-35 - 5.12
NYY 21-42 - 8.72

YTD TOTAL 88-174 - 25.59


***Revised to reflect all Dogs I played***


9-26 Dogs 5-6 (Me 3-3 + 1.36)

6-28 forward YTD
Dogs 291 under (Me 254-388 - 19.47)

 

[TimmyRules]

Today’s Dog action:
LaD/SF. + 168
Hou/LAA + 188
Min/KC. + 195
NYY/TX. + 244

Other Dogs played today:
Mia + 155
Pit. + 130
Tor. + 180
Bal. + 191
Cle. + 118


FINAL WEEKEND @)

Do the younger teams play best?
Teams who underachieved check out??

Bark Loudly You Puppies !!

 

[TimmyRules]

Last Game Results for the OPPONENT OF:

Lad - 1.00
Hou -1.00
Min - 1.00
NYY - 1.00

Total 0-4 - 4.00


June 28-Sep 29 Results for the OPPONENT OF:

LaD 26-45 - 2.28
Hou 23-54 - 11.44
Min 18-36 - 6.12
NYY 21-43 - 9.72

YTD TOTAL 88-178 - 29.59


***Revised to reflect all Dogs I played***


9-27 Dogs 5-9 (Me 2-7 - 3.79)

6-28 forward YTD
Dogs 295 under (Me 256-395 - 23.26)

 

[TimmyRules]

Today’s Dog action:
LaD/SF. + 185
Hou/LAA +370
Min/KC. + 177
NYY/TX. + 240

Other Dogs played today:
Mia + 162
Pit. + 115
Chi + 165
Col + 132
Bal. + 158
Sea + 160
Det + 117 GM1


FINAL SATURDAY @)


Bark Loudly

 

[TimmyRules]

Today’s Dog action:
LaD/SF. + 166
Hou/LAA +335
Min/KC. + 147
NYY/TX. + 150

Other Dogs played today:
Pit. + 108
Col + 158
Chi + 245
Bal. +248
Tor. + 200
Sea + 160
Was + 148


FINAL DAY @)

<<:nohead::dogtoilet:hikitty: Bye Puppies thread

 

[TimmyRules]

Last Game Results for the OPPONENT OF:

Lad - 1.00
Hou -1.00
Min - 1.00
NYY +2.40

Total 1-3 - 0.60


June 28-Sep 29 Results for the OPPONENT OF:

LaD 26-46 - 3.28
Hou 23-55 - 12.44
Min 18-37 - 7.12
NYY 22-43 - 7.32

YTD TOTAL 89-181 - 30.19


***Revised to reflect all Dogs I played***


9-28 Dogs 6-10 (Me 4-7 - 0.05)

6-28 forward YTD
Dogs 299 under (Me 260-402 - 23.31)

 

[deanoc]

Timmy, how are you usually in the playoffs with a smaller selection of games? tyia

 

[TimmyRules]

Hey deanoc,
Good question! If I recall, last year I shut it down after a good run before season ended.

It would be nice if we could get back some of the quality cappers that posted here in the past couple years.

Most likely I will have write ups for playoffs but would suggest treading lightly until you see how I do this post season.

Be safe up there. Just saw they moved UConn football game to noon due to mosquito problem.

 

[deanoc]

Hey deanoc,
Good question! If I recall, last year I shut it down after a good run before season ended.

It would be nice if we could get back some of the quality cappers that posted here in the past couple years.

Most likely I will have write ups for playoffs but would suggest treading lightly until you see how I do this post season.

Be safe up there. Just saw they moved UConn football game to noon due to mosquito problem.

Tx Timmy
EEE West Nile. Very bad at night.

 

[TimmyRules]

Last Game Results for the OPPONENT OF:

Lad - 1.00
Hou -1.00
Min + 1.47
NYY + 1.50

Total 2-2 + 0.97


June 28-Sep 29 Results for the OPPONENT OF:

LaD 26-47 - 4.28
Hou 23-56 - 13.44
Min 19-37 - 5.65
NYY 23-43 - 5.82

YTD TOTAL 91-183 - 29.22


***Revised to reflect all Dogs I played***


9-29 Dogs 7-8 (Me 6-5 + 4.63)

6-28 forward YTD
Dogs 300 under (Me 265-407 - 18.68)

 

[TimmyRules]

Let me summarize this experiment:

As I understood -
Historically teams over .600 at ASB lost 39 % of games remainder of season when favored.

This year:

LaD - 35.6%
Hou - 29.1%
Min - 33.9%
NYY - 34.8%

No wonder down 29.22 units.

The other dogs I played

265-91 = 174. 407-183 = 224

174/398 = 43.7%

29.22 - 18.68 = 10.53 Units Won

One lesson learned (it goes back to Knock stating 98% of us lose) maybe its a combination of poor money management and human nature - we want to play FAVORITES!!!! Who is willing to risk $100 on a +200 Dog or higher??? I played for peanuts so it was easy to make that risk.

Anyway, I’m disappointed in my September but for sure will only play Plus money next year, majority on Dogs with a RL sprinkled in as well. Like what Pound Foolish did this year.

BOL to all in post season and hope to be back next year

 

[TimmyRules]

Will be an interesting 2020 ...

Not sure what I will do but I’m going to start slow as we really have no historical data for a year like this.

Will start a new thread before 7/23.

Needed some action so took NYM + 120 tonight.:neenee:

Peanuts only the entire season!

 

[indiana]

T/Rules......good to see your doing ok buddy........BOL with your action tonight........indy

 

[TimmyRules]

T/Rules......good to see your doing ok buddy........BOL with your action tonight........indy

Hey my friend,
Coming out of the valley, but God has been there to help me through it!

Divorce should be final in a few weeks...:neenee:

 

[indiana]

T/Rules.....wish you nothing but wellness during this tough time buddy.........indy

 

[TimmyRules]

T/Rules.....wish you nothing but wellness during this tough time buddy.........indy

I won’t discuss it much in Baseball Forum but did start a thread in Offshore, only to potentially help others w-thumbs!^

I honestly have never been happier in my life and can only thank/praise God !!

 

[Wins2day]

GL with the Met's tonight Timmy Rules !