Alabama vs FSU huge bet...talk some sense into me!

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Saban's record in these type of games is exceptional. I think your strategy is sound but wouldn't buy the point. Shop around when you get to Vegas.
 

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This will be the most heavily wagered CFB game of the week with the bulk of the small betters on Bama early based on its historical performance. I imagine the money will come in late on the dog. Either bet it now before it gets steamed or wait for the late money to push the line back down.
 

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Thank you so much for the constructive advise guys...and please keep it coming. As coach said you have roughly 60 days to convince me not to pull the trigger at -7 or lower...
 

mws

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They had three common opponents last year, and from watching those games I can't say that Alabama was the better team last year. Maybe slightly, but not clearly, and FSU is bringing back more from last year.
 

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Huge game but either could lose and still be in the national hunt at the end of the year, better to lose a game in September than November. That being said, both teams will be prepared and it may be closer than expected. Like someone said earlier, 8 weeks can change a lot of things.

Already getting pumped, it will be here before we know it
 

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ESPN’s Rece Davis: “I think the first big game of the season will also be the last game of the season, Alabama-Florida State in Atlanta for the national championship. Obviously the loser of the game has no more margin for error, but as we sit here in late June, I do believe these are the two best teams.”
 

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Hello OP. I am curious as to your reasoning for backing Bama. Is it just because you always bet them first game of the season and you are confident they will do the same again, or have you followed their team progress and see FSU as a step down in quality. Thanks
 

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Howdy lolz...I'll give you the short version. I am a U of A graduate and I have been a die hard Bama fan since my adopted brother played middle linebacker for them in the 90's.

While I believe we lost a touch of talent from the front 4(8), I believe that our lbs and defensive backfield will show marked improvement from last years team.

The offense is absolutely electric, with a complete overhaul in philosophy and an overall improvement at QB, RB, WR, And OL. We will run downhill and throw deep with and without playaction when available.

FSU is a great team, returning a large number of starters...probably the 3rd best team in the NCAA.

With that in mind. In Atlanta with the entire offseason to prepare...Bama is a 14 point favorite if you play the game 20 times. I think it is great value, and I always hit great value hard (when I have the money.)
 

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Hmmmm... I Think you are being a bit myopic if you think alabama should be a 14 point favorite. While Alabama may be improving (even though they have lost a lot of talent defensively of course they will reload) so has FSU.

Just curious, what is your standard wager size and how much do you make through gambling on College football in a year?

I was thinking of going with FSU, but I always respect the money so I'm curious. Anyways, I hope you place your big bet I love the balls.
 

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I can't say that Alabama was the better team last year.
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I still have flashbacks of Deshaun Watson just destroying one of the best defenses Bama ever had
 

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Swalker: with the line move and your Vegas ticket already made, why not cut the bet in half or go with 10k bet? You can always play more later or possibly pick up a better line for the 2nd half?
 

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Lolz, I understand that I might seem myopic, but I truly have a grasp of my team and how they match up with others...I have missed 3 sides in the last 2 years of Bama games, with some scores/competition calls on this site where I was within 7 points on some "crazy" calls...like the USC game last year and MSU 2 years ago.

my normal bet is between 1k-5k with my local bookie that I've been with for 9 years. I lost 130k roughly last year...I know that is horrible after starting with a 32k winner. I am a degenerate and I am horrible with all non-Bama bets. I'll post the bet that I make.

Pathologist...the offense/play calling destroyed our defense, not Clemson. Even the greatest defense gets tired when you only pick up 1-13 third down conversions...I.e you are on the field the entire second half.

ground hog: if the line is above 7 that is exactly what I will do.
 

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I noted Alabama is 8-1ATS the last 9 years concerning game 1. BOL to you , enjoy your trip.
 

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MYOPIC? I've been a Bama fan for 69 years and never, ever heard "maybe I'm Myopic".

Hell, 99.999 percent of Alabama fans have never even heard of someone myopic.

You know, it gets to a point you just say ride on and GOOD LUCK partner!
 

919

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MYOPIC? I've been a Bama fan for 69 years and never, ever heard "maybe I'm Myopic".

Hell, 99.999 percent of Alabama fans have never even heard of someone myopic.

You know, it gets to a point you just say ride on and GOOD LUCK partner!
Do you realize that everyone thinks you are a moron?
 

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919 we down here in Alabama solute your Horseshoe knowledge of BS.

You have to get a little more creative than "MORON" for us southern folks here down south.

Sounds a little racist maybe?
 

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Come on 919.....offer something for once to this fine RX network.

Help us 919.......what the fuck have you ever offered for anyone here who would be interested?

Jesus....must be part of the Ty Precious gang who follows my post. Yeah, act dumb like all you clowns do.

Waiting for more of the CNN silliyness.
 

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Picking on 919 is EASY.........

Just for the HELL/FUN of it....check out 919's post in this CFB forum the past 8 weeks.

Ty, you guys need some organization before you BASH others.
 

919

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What's the matter. Couldn't think of everything you wanted to say the first time?
 

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