As bad as Alabama has been this year,it surprises that so many are picking Hawaii.Even the local paper is picking Hawaii.Despite all the losses,Alabama has not quit-they have continued to play hard and I have no reason to doubt they will not do the same this week.Let me concede a few things:
1)Chang is a good quarterback-Alabama has a below average pass defense.
2)June Jones has a great offensive mind and will draw up something special to exploit Bama D.
3)Hawaii is going to be fired up and get out their black jerseys or whatever they wear on these occasions.
Why I don't give a shit about the above:
1)Yes-Alabama has been giving up 200 ypg(someone made this point on another thread) on the ground lately,but does that matter against a team that averages 74 ypg on the ground?Furthermore,how bad is Hawaii's defense?
Alabama allows 5.16 yards per play and 356 ypg.Hawaii gives up 5.21 and 383 ypg.
2)If you want to say that Chang will pass all over Bama,then you have to say Shaud Williams will run all over Hawaii.
The Rainbows allowed perennial powers Tulsa(285),La.Tech(218)(really known for their ground attack aren't they?),and (this is my favorite),UTEP(244) to have their way on the ground.The only team that did not run for over 100 against Hawaii was Army(they just passed for 338).
3)Despite injuries and little depth,Alabama still has better athletes than Hawaii.
4)Hawaii's home field advantage is overrated.When did Hawaii beat a name team at home?Arizona,Michigan,USC,Wisconsin,and Washington State have all been to the island during the last 5 years and all have won
(avg.margin of victory 26.2)
Let's go over strength of schedule.
Alabama Losses-Auburn,LSU,Oklahoma,Ole Miss,UGA,Tenn.,Ark.,N.Illinois
That looks like 7 bowl teams.
Hawaii's Losses-USC,UNLV,Tulsa,Nevada
And let's not forget that 13-10 win against San Jose State.
I am not trying to piss any Hawaii backers or fans off,I just think you have to look at more than won-lost records in this game.Hawaii has a great chance to win this game,but my money is on the Tide(mline-150).
Good luck to everyone this week.Unless you bet on Hawaii.
1)Chang is a good quarterback-Alabama has a below average pass defense.
2)June Jones has a great offensive mind and will draw up something special to exploit Bama D.
3)Hawaii is going to be fired up and get out their black jerseys or whatever they wear on these occasions.
Why I don't give a shit about the above:
1)Yes-Alabama has been giving up 200 ypg(someone made this point on another thread) on the ground lately,but does that matter against a team that averages 74 ypg on the ground?Furthermore,how bad is Hawaii's defense?
2)If you want to say that Chang will pass all over Bama,then you have to say Shaud Williams will run all over Hawaii.
3)Despite injuries and little depth,Alabama still has better athletes than Hawaii.
4)Hawaii's home field advantage is overrated.When did Hawaii beat a name team at home?Arizona,Michigan,USC,Wisconsin,and Washington State have all been to the island during the last 5 years and all have won
Let's go over strength of schedule.
Alabama Losses-Auburn,LSU,Oklahoma,Ole Miss,UGA,Tenn.,Ark.,N.Illinois
That looks like 7 bowl teams.
Hawaii's Losses-USC,UNLV,Tulsa,Nevada
And let's not forget that 13-10 win against San Jose State.
I am not trying to piss any Hawaii backers or fans off,I just think you have to look at more than won-lost records in this game.Hawaii has a great chance to win this game,but my money is on the Tide(mline-150).
Good luck to everyone this week.Unless you bet on Hawaii.