A Well-Seasoned 2-Team Moneyline Parlay

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2-Team Moneyline Parlay NFL Cincinnati Bengals moneyline along with NCAA Florida State Seminoles moneyline


The Bengals had 11 wins this year and are hosting a Wild Card Game which brings up this stat....Wild Card Teams with 11 or more wins at Home are a respectable 14-4 Straight-Up and ATS, including 7-0 Straight-Up and ATS when favored by 7 or more at Home winning by an average of 17 points....

It should also be noted that the Bengals were in the playoffs the last two years (recent playoff experience), but those two games were on the Road so this year they get to host a playoff game...That is important since the Bengals in 2013 are a perfect 8-0 Straight-Up at Home winning by an average of 17 points and beating the Vegas line by an average of 13 points...The Bengals have played the Chargers 3 times in last 4 years and Cincy is 3-0 Straight-Up and ATS in those games..

The Bengals edge in my opinion is defensively as they bring the #6 Defense in the league compared to San Diego being at #29 and while San Diego may have some good offense numbers the Bengals have improved in that area......For instance, Marvin Jones has really emerged this year along with Gio Bernard....The Bengals have a good mix up with Green-Ellis (the power guy) and Bernard (the speed guy)...Marvin Jones has been a really good complement to A.J.Green...Defensively, Vontaze Burfict (who I was extremely high on in college and was absolutely shocked he didn't get drafted in the early rounds at the time) is the team leader in tackles and Carlos Dunlap has had a good year as well.....In my opinion, the Bengals find a way to get the Straight-Up win at least as they have the defense, the playoff experience, the home crowd where they play well plus they are facing a warm weather team coming off an emotional home overtime win that now goes on the Road a week later that has a suspect defense.....In my opinion, the Benglas defense will feed off the crowd and limit the Chargers offense while the Bengals offense should be able to control the game against the Chargers defense....Thus, I think the Bengals at least get the Straight-Up Win....

If the Bengals find a way to get it done then the second leg is Florida State Moneyline.....The SEC has won 7 straight BCS Title Games and Vegas fully knows that, yet the SEC team here is made over a TD underdog to an ACC team (low perception conference)..Why? Florida State demolished the ACC teams this year...The Seminoles are averaging 53 PPG while allowing only 10.7 PPG which basically means they average winning by 43 points per game for the season which are just crazy numbers...Even their kicker is great as well.....There is just loads of balance and talent on both the offense and defensive side of the ball....The Seminoles have the Heisman Winner in Winston along with 3 great Running Backs, along with great receivers, and Tight End...On the defensive side of the ball the talent level is really, really high as well.....This team reminds me of the 2001 Miami Hurricanes who was another team that was having their schedule questioned at the time before blowing out Nebraska...That team sent many, many players to the NFL eventually....That said, Florida State did even better against their schedule than that Miami team did....Now obviously Florida State playing a more difficult team in Auburn, but I think the time off benefits Florida State...Why? Auburn had a lot of mojo going with miracle wins over Georgia and Alabama and now they have to wait a month before playing this game....Another reason is Malzahn has a tricky offense with lots of misdirection....The extra time to prepare will help the very talented Florida State defense...A few years ago Malzahn won the title as offensive coordinator against Oregon, but I thought Oregon held their own against the Auburn offense that day and Florida State brings a more talented defense than the Ducks brought that day in my opinion...Furthermore, Cam Newton is better than their current QB...Some call Auburn a team of destiny, but in my opinion their luck runs out here as they are playing an extremely talented team in all phases of the game that has time to prepare for their offense while the Florida State offense should be able to the move the ball against the Auburn defense.....In my opinion, Florida State finds a way to at least get the Straight-Up Win here....Best of luck.

So the 2-Team Moneyline Parlay is NFL Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline and NCAA Florida State Seminoles Moneyline....Hopefully, both win by at least one point or more....Best of luck.
 

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Good luck with your parlay W S it sounds like a good one. There is something I would like to point out to you and any others who don't realize it. There really is no point in betting parlays unless the games are being played simultaneously. For example : If you bet $100 on Cincy on Sunday and win and then take the original $100 you started with and the $100 you won and bet that $200 on Fla. State on Mon. nite, you actually end up winning $300 (if Fla State wins of course). Now, how much does a two team parlay pay out for a $100 bet ! Catch my drift. I dont mean any disrespect coming into your thread and criticizing your play, just trying to help win $$$$!!! Good Luck !!!!

P.S. I guess another reason for betting a parlay might be to get a line early before it changes against you
 

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Good luck with your parlay W S it sounds like a good one. There is something I would like to point out to you and any others who don't realize it. There really is no point in betting parlays unless the games are being played simultaneously. For example : If you bet $100 on Cincy on Sunday and win and then take the original $100 you started with and the $100 you won and bet that $200 on Fla. State on Mon. nite, you actually end up winning $300 (if Fla State wins of course). Now, how much does a two team parlay pay out for a $100 bet ! Catch my drift. I dont mean any disrespect coming into your thread and criticizing your play, just trying to help win $$$$!!! Good Luck !!!!

P.S. I guess another reason for betting a parlay might be to get a line early before it changes against you

This is a Moneyline Parlay and I don't like to lay individual moneylines at those kind of odds from a value and psychological perspective so I have them both together in a Moneyline Parlay instead..........Hopefully, the Bengals start it off right and win by at least one point to get me to the Florida State game..
 

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Couldn't agree more with your FSU pick WS. Thank you for all your contributions to the forums this year. Enjoyed reading your write-ups, they helped me in deciding on a few games. Hope you nail your parlay and end the season on high.
 

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Couldn't agree more with your FSU pick WS. Thank you for all your contributions to the forums this year. Enjoyed reading your write-ups, they helped me in deciding on a few games. Hope you nail your parlay and end the season on high.

Thanks Dr.Lou.......Hopefully, the Dalton Gang starts it off right to get me to the Florida State game
 

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First of 2 Legs starts tomorrow with Bengals Moneyline......................As far as the early playoff games at least one Road team has won already and both games were extremely tight.
 

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Are we sure they were the Bengals? I didn't recognize any part of their game.
 

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Are we sure they were the Bengals? I didn't recognize any part of their game.

-4 turnover margin.........3 of them in the 2nd Half.......I thought they got away with one in the 1st Half since they ended up getting the ball back and scored to take the lead going into half with a FG..............Tough for any team to overcome that big of a turnover margin...
 

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Going back and looking at the regular season when I was experimenting with Moneyline Parlays along with this one(didn't play any ATS games individually) I noticed it was the NFL Moneylines that was burnt them on Final Legs of my limited sample size although VA Tech got in the action as well one week..

I did not even play one individual ATS side during the regular season as crazy as that sounds....I counted this moneyline parlay as an ATS Loss here, but the facts are I was 4-0 ATS on individual sides separate in 2013 (exotics usually ended in hedges or losses).......So here are my new rules for moneyline parlays which I'll post below.
 

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My new rules for Moneyline Parlays in Future if I play them (although I'll be trying to avoid) based on my experiments I was trying this year instead of regular ATS

1......No NFL Moneyline Favorites (The league has become too unpredictable which is exactly what they want and if I really them like that much I'll just lay the points individually)

2....No College Football Conference Games (Only use Non-Conference Games which means more appear early in the season)

3....Never use them in March Madness (Again, too many weird things happen here)

As far as Teasers, they are even worse than Moneyline Parlays in my opinion...


Now one could use a Reversal Strategy where u pick a Moneyline Parlay filled with NFL teams or College Conference Games at +100 odds (without actually playing it) and then isolating and capping which game or two will break it up....This doesn't seem like a bad angle considering those 5-7 teamers to make it +100 odds are usually super-square.
 

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Bowl Season Finishes 4-1 ATS (counting the Bengals in this thread as an ATS Loss via the Moneyline Parlay)


So best of luck to all in your future endeavors.
 

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