.......as most of you know , I'm not much into hyping plays, but this one is just JUMPING of the page at me . Put two units on it at PINN last night at +101, and two more at -103, and this one may still move. So, while desperatley searching for a BOS/OAK line , I kept coming back to this one .
The immortal Carlos Silva, the worst 4-7 starter in the bigs with a lusty 7.00 ERA, takes the mound for the TWINKIES this afternoon. How this guy has a starting job is beyond me, as even when he was winning , it was ugly. He didn't make it out of the second inning in his last start vs. TEX, giving up 5 runs on six hits in 1 1/3 innings. He claimed sore knee , but I doubt that, he is just been overperforming and got some lucky breaks early on this season, and his now reverting to form. . He has pitched past the sixth inning ONCE in his last six, and has given up 43 hits and 20 runs in his last 34 innings , spanning 6 starts !!!!
Cleveland has not got many timely hits in this series (much like the RED SOX until yesterday vs. the A's) but you can only hold those bats down for so long. As for the CLEVE. starter, Jeremy Sowers, well, to be polite , he shld be back in AAA ball, he's just not a big league starter right now based on his prev. performance's (18 hits and 13 runs in 15 innings of work spanning three starts. The only advantage he has is MINNY'S hitters have never seen his stuff, but they shld figure him out early enough (he's only made it out of the 5th inning ONCE in three starts , indicating he probably only has a decent fastball and not many other STRONG "out" pitches, and good hitters catch up to him quickly .
The more I look at this game, the more I like the TT for CLEVE. (5 -103) as well as the over (10 -103) ..........
I rarley have plays over 3 units (none this year ) but this one stands out !!!!! I have seen a lot of bad beat laments here all season , and truly feel the pain , as we have all gone throughit at some points before. Well, this one is a gem in my opinion , and I have had some success 'capping TT's this season, after making the adjustment due to horrendous bullpen performance by almost all teams. To sum this up.................
:toast: CLEVELAND TT over 5 -103:toast:
Casey Blake <TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.350</TD><TD align=middle>20</TD><TD align=middle>7</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>.381</TD><TD align=middle>.500</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Aaron Boone <TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.500</TD><TD align=middle>10</TD><TD align=middle>5</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>.385</TD><TD align=middle>.600
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Ben Broussard
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.400</TD><TD align=middle>20</TD><TD align=middle>8</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>2</TD><TD align=middle>.429</TD><TD align=middle>.850</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Victor J. Martinez
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.333</TD><TD align=middle>12</TD><TD align=middle>4</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>2</TD><TD align=middle>.333</TD><TD align=middle>.917</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Grady Sizemore <TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.579</TD><TD align=middle>19</TD><TD align=middle>11</TD><TD align=middle>2</TD><TD align=middle>2</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>.600</TD><TD align=middle>1.053</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Travis Hafner
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.500</TD><TD align=middle>14</TD><TD align=middle>7</TD><TD align=middle>3</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>.556</TD><TD align=middle>.714</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
...........not using the "L" word, but the expected EV here is def. positive, in fact , it's , as Coach LT says,a "RUBBER BAND " play .............!!!:howdy:
The immortal Carlos Silva, the worst 4-7 starter in the bigs with a lusty 7.00 ERA, takes the mound for the TWINKIES this afternoon. How this guy has a starting job is beyond me, as even when he was winning , it was ugly. He didn't make it out of the second inning in his last start vs. TEX, giving up 5 runs on six hits in 1 1/3 innings. He claimed sore knee , but I doubt that, he is just been overperforming and got some lucky breaks early on this season, and his now reverting to form. . He has pitched past the sixth inning ONCE in his last six, and has given up 43 hits and 20 runs in his last 34 innings , spanning 6 starts !!!!
Cleveland has not got many timely hits in this series (much like the RED SOX until yesterday vs. the A's) but you can only hold those bats down for so long. As for the CLEVE. starter, Jeremy Sowers, well, to be polite , he shld be back in AAA ball, he's just not a big league starter right now based on his prev. performance's (18 hits and 13 runs in 15 innings of work spanning three starts. The only advantage he has is MINNY'S hitters have never seen his stuff, but they shld figure him out early enough (he's only made it out of the 5th inning ONCE in three starts , indicating he probably only has a decent fastball and not many other STRONG "out" pitches, and good hitters catch up to him quickly .
The more I look at this game, the more I like the TT for CLEVE. (5 -103) as well as the over (10 -103) ..........
I rarley have plays over 3 units (none this year ) but this one stands out !!!!! I have seen a lot of bad beat laments here all season , and truly feel the pain , as we have all gone throughit at some points before. Well, this one is a gem in my opinion , and I have had some success 'capping TT's this season, after making the adjustment due to horrendous bullpen performance by almost all teams. To sum this up.................
:toast: CLEVELAND TT over 5 -103:toast:
Casey Blake <TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.350</TD><TD align=middle>20</TD><TD align=middle>7</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>.381</TD><TD align=middle>.500</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Aaron Boone <TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.500</TD><TD align=middle>10</TD><TD align=middle>5</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>.385</TD><TD align=middle>.600
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Ben Broussard
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.400</TD><TD align=middle>20</TD><TD align=middle>8</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>2</TD><TD align=middle>.429</TD><TD align=middle>.850</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Victor J. Martinez
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.333</TD><TD align=middle>12</TD><TD align=middle>4</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>2</TD><TD align=middle>.333</TD><TD align=middle>.917</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Grady Sizemore <TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.579</TD><TD align=middle>19</TD><TD align=middle>11</TD><TD align=middle>2</TD><TD align=middle>2</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>.600</TD><TD align=middle>1.053</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Travis Hafner
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=middle>Career vs. Carlos Silva</TD><TD align=middle>.500</TD><TD align=middle>14</TD><TD align=middle>7</TD><TD align=middle>3</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>0</TD><TD align=middle>.556</TD><TD align=middle>.714</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
...........not using the "L" word, but the expected EV here is def. positive, in fact , it's , as Coach LT says,a "RUBBER BAND " play .............!!!:howdy: