A SECRET WAY FOR THE AVERAGE GAMBLER TO BEAT BOOKMAKERS!

I am real serious here. If some of you find yourself consistently LOSING at sports betting, you may want to try this new technique...

It was once told to me by someone I respect and it's worth a shot...

Whenever you feel like betting on game, ask 4-5 of your friends who they like...

Let's use last night's Bears/Packers game as an example...

If 4 out of your 5 friends like the BEARS, then you bet The PACKERS...

It's that simple and one useful way of doing better...

I know there will be some sharpies who attack this technique, but I find it very helpful for many losing gamblers...

THE SHRINK /infopop/emoticons/icon_wink.gif

 

[crazyvinny]

Shrink this explains why you always used to ask me who I liked LOL. /infopop/emoticons/icon_wink.gif

 

[vinividivinci]

This is excellent advice!! The average player could probably easily beat the vig with this plan. The problem, of course, is maintaining the discipline to avoid one's own opinions.

VVV

 

[Seymour]

In college I like Temple to beat Cuse, Miami to roll FSU and Missouri to play Nebraska tight. I don't have any NFL plays yet.

 

[LOCOMOTIVE]

If you find yourself consistently losing betting sports, fade yourself!! Seriously, if you are only picking 40-45% winners, start fading yourself and you'll get 55-60% winners and start turning steady profits. Most losing bettors' egos would prevent them from doing that. Also, I think money management/chasing losses/impatience is what does most gamblers in. I think a lot of "losing" bettors get 50% (or even slightly more) of their games right, but they allocate more to losing bets and then foolishly chase to get their money back.

 

[jwunderdog]

Great Advice very similar to a post Dickyw and I had in the College forum last week.I went one step further and just use to call my book right before game time and ask him who everyone had and would bet the opposite.Worked like a charm especially on single night games like monday and Thursday.

 

Is this replacing the "fade CHJ" theory as the theory of choice?

 

I don't believe this will improve many players results...

 

[HomerJ]

The problem with this is that anyone using this tactic is unlikely to have the discipline of money management. Sure you can come out ahead long term, but it is the ability to accept losing streaks and deal with them that seperates winners from losers.

 

[jwunderdog]

NO, but the extra juice will help out the book.

 

[bunyon]

What if you don't have any friends? lol

 

An easier method is to just fade Shrink! /infopop/emoticons/icon_razz.gif

 

[neverstop]

random and you are not getting a good sample from a bigger consensus/population. If you did start winning this way i would just consider it dumb luck. If you are LOSING at sportsbetting QUIT while you are ahead. It's not for you. It's as simple as that. To be successful to me it's all about time,patience, different books, and a math background. If you have a wife and screaming kids how the hell are ya gonna be able to do all the research on a Saturday or a Sunday during football season? It's almost impossible i tried it a few times. The ones that can be successful are the guys that can lock themselves in a room all weekend with no worries in the world so they can focus on the task that's on hand (Middling, hedging, scalping, and most of all CAPPING LIKE AN EFFIN MADMAN).Also people that don't think you should be their at halftime to see what the line is of the game you bet on are usually not gonna be winners in the long run. When predicting you are foreseeing the future with all the possibilities, most sportsbettors just don't get it.

 

[buckeye]

It worked for Trotter in "Let It Ride" ( my favorite part of that movie ) but you are more likely to go 50% than better, IMO.

One technique I did use was to find the "born loser" in the football pool I used to run and fade him. It dissolved years ago and I lost my "scholarship"! This guy was as bad/good as Loony!

Some fade consensus plays in pools as they figure that is all "major square" action. I'd say the pool I ran went 50-50 on consensus.

GL

 

[FatTony]

But it isn't. I always play against the public and it doesn't matter. They lose just as much as they win. The Vig is the key. If you could somehow reduce it you have a shot.

P.S. Everyone and I mean everyone were on the Packers last night and the Ravens the night before.

 

[Quewest]

Lets pick one game (just one) this weekend and have the members say who they like. At the end, lets all bet the opposite.

Will give the Shrink idea a try.

Thanks.

 

I have never understood the whole "fading" idea. I guess I am just too logical.
Lets see, the idea is that since you can't figure out how to win yourself, you find someone who is DUMBER than you are, and do the opposite of him.
Is there any other business that does things this way? Could you imagine starting a business, and at the corporate meeting saying "Here is our business Plan. Jacckoff co. has been the worlds lowest supplier of gummy worms. They are on the verge of bankruptcy. Our business model, will be to do everything the opposite of them, without letting our own decisions influence us".
Its a very strange idea to me, not to mention it would take the fun out of the recreational player picking the games. I guess its done in fun, but I still don't get it...

 

Can you offer any advice to a guy who doesn't have 4 or 5 friends? Thanks /infopop/emoticons/icon_smile.gif

Hamneggs- Voted America's Sharpest Player 9 years in a row...

 

[silver7]

For some reason your reply struck me as funnier than hell!! I`m still smiling and I`m a pretty dour guy. Shrink BTW don`t think I haven`t thought of this when in the midst of a horrendous losing streak. But no one and I mean nobody has the balls to make his picks, do all the research, etc. etc. and then bet the opposite. I`d like to meat the man w/that kind of control. Gummy Bears Jeez! Thanks Cecil

 

Instead of calling around, simply call your local Bookmaker. Ask him, who does everyone have, or who is he short or heavy on? And simply go from there.

Even easier, simply monitor websites, which post ‘consensus’ picks for the day or week…write down the teams that have the least support, testing if you’d win more then you’d lose on paper…if you observe a tend over a period of time, start playing (small at first) moving up if tend continues.

Applicable Theories:

-Walk the opposite direction of the masses (public).
-The more certain an outcome appears, the least likely it will occur.

Simple Game /infopop/emoticons/icon_cool.gif