Let's have a look at this one. First of all, comparing the four common SEC opponents these two teams played reveals that LSU had a +65 advantage in total yards gained against the four common opppnents compared with a -56 yard disadvantage for A&M. That's a telling statistic. A&M has been very conservative with Hubenak, the back up QB since Mayfield was injured. They are trying to use the run game to take the pressure off him. Last week, against a highly outmanned UTSA team, A&M had three red zone drives stall out and had to settle for field goals because they didn't trust Hubenak. Hubenak complained that the offense was trying not to lose the game with him in there instead of trying to win. This week, it will be difficult for A&M to establish the run against a very stout LSU rush defense. Therefore, A&M offensive coaches are going to have to let Hubenak try to make some plays. A&M has a talented group of receivers, if he can get them the ball. However, it seems the coaches don't trust him because the UTSA game would have been a good opportunity to get the kid comfortable throwing the ball and they didn't let him. We know LSU is a run first offense. Fournette probably won't play, but with that massive O line, the other RB, Guice should be sufficient. A&M will have to slow down LSU's running game and let Etinger try to beat them. Etinger now has now played about six? games since taking over at QB, so he is the more seasoned of the two opposing QB's. I believe LSU will roll up some rushing yards. I just don't think A&M has the personnel to shut down the LSU running game completely. However, A&M does have the best pass rusher in America; the one Myles Garrett. If they can get LSU into passing situations, they can unleash Garrett to disrupt Etinger. Let's also not forget that LSU actually doubled Florida's offensive output in that loss last week. They dominated the Gators statistically and if not for that ill-conceived final play, they would have had the W. LSU coach, Ogeron, is very popular with the players and he is from Louisiana. The Florida loss did not help his tenuous hold on the coaching job. If ever there was an opportunity to win one for the coach, LSU players have that opportunity now. My initial take on this game was that LSU, going on the road after that tough home loss, would be flat. A&M is at home and it is Senior Day. I actually made a small wager on A&M +5. However, my opinion is starting to lean the other way. Unfortunately, the line has shifted to LSU -6.5. If you recall, LSU followed the Bama loss with a blowout of Arkansas on the road. LSU will probably shake off the Florida loss and bring their best to A&M. I can see both teams trying to stick to the running game because neither fully trusts their QB. LSU should have more success running the ball than will A&M. I can see myself either getting off A&M, or possibly, changing my bet to LSU. I'm putting this out there to see what others think. Since I do believe that both teams will stick to the run early and both teams will make stopping the run a priority, I will look at the first half under. If either team abandons the conservative offensive game plan, it probably won't be until the second half. Please feel free to weigh in. Your opinion is valued and welcome.
Hard hard to call.( LSU homer here) Hard to know the teams mindset. LSU choked away their Sugarbowl dreams BUT they may res
ond to the Ogeron situation like they did last year during the Les Miles "attempted firing" and bring their "A" game.
Btw , MLB, not so confident game goes over easily IF LSU plays with a purpose. Too lazy to look up the exact but in their 4 losses I think the Defense has given up like 4 TD's ....and that includes Bama who was averaging 40 points plus at the time.
GL TO all whatever u decide
ond to the Ogeron situation like they did last year during the Les Miles "attempted firing" and bring their "A" game.
Btw , MLB, not so confident game goes over easily IF LSU plays with a purpose. Too lazy to look up the exact but in their 4 losses I think the Defense has given up like 4 TD's ....and that includes Bama who was averaging 40 points plus at the time.
GL TO all whatever u decide
