I'm dead even after tallying up my posts for Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. No breaking the bank yesterday - just busted up the wallet. I don't think I can be around to join you guys for live posting today so I'll leave my best bets here. Maybe it will cause you to take a second look at a horse or two and help you cash.
Woodbine
Race 4 - #1 Speedy Bear (12-1) Exits a key race where the two horses who finished in front of him already came back to win, draws the rail, and gets the big L for the first time.
Race 5 - #6 Hanlan (4-1) Has gone 3 for 3 in the new barn and although this is a slight step up in class, it's still a N1x which he qualifies for due to the confusing conditions. No other horse in the field has multiple wins this year.
Race 6 - #4 Ready For Shirl (6-1) Makes her 3rd start off the bench after nice closing efforts in both a Gr2 and Gr3 prior to this. She might be more forwardly placed today as the race is without a legit speed horse. Quick 4f work on the grass last Sunday says she's ready to pop.
Race 8 - #2 Scorching (3-1) Never worse than 2nd in 4 career starts. Overcame a lousy start to get the place in a Gr3 three weeks ago. Looks like a monster to me.
Monmouth
Race 7 - #3 Spotted Bull (8-1) Finishes a string of 5 straight off track races. Finally gets a fast surface and it's at his preferred distance. I don't know anything about bug boy Zambrana, but he's won with him before. It's a low percentage outfit so I hope to get double digits.
Race 10 - #1 Probably (10-1) Finished near the back in first grass route down at Ellis but didn't get the best of trips. Picks up Sammy (who is nails down the stretch on grass) while dropping from a $30k to $16k event.
Saratoga
Race 2 - #4 Fast Market (9-2) Has the look of a filly who should be sprinting on grass and yet this is her first try in start #7. She flashed a little speed and then faded in last, but that was in the slop at AQU. I can forgive that one. Wire to wire possible here. On a side note - why does Barclay Tagg insist on using Katie Davis for every damn mount?
Race 3 - #4 Snookie Bear (20-1) They aren't beating #1 Debt Limit in this race but this one has a chance to complete the exacta at a nice price. Has gone 63-75-85 in the Beyer department since moving to the lawn. Dutrow has a tidy 29% hit rate off maiden win L/R so his stock doesn't bounce often. Oh yeah, and Jose Ortiz climbs aboard.
Race 5 - #4 Save Time (6-1) If you ignore the races sans-Lasix, she's been in the mix in every race since the move to club "Saffie Juice". Her running style of being just off the pace should set up Irad nicely for a sweet finish.
Woodbine
Race 4 - #1 Speedy Bear (12-1) Exits a key race where the two horses who finished in front of him already came back to win, draws the rail, and gets the big L for the first time.
Race 5 - #6 Hanlan (4-1) Has gone 3 for 3 in the new barn and although this is a slight step up in class, it's still a N1x which he qualifies for due to the confusing conditions. No other horse in the field has multiple wins this year.
Race 6 - #4 Ready For Shirl (6-1) Makes her 3rd start off the bench after nice closing efforts in both a Gr2 and Gr3 prior to this. She might be more forwardly placed today as the race is without a legit speed horse. Quick 4f work on the grass last Sunday says she's ready to pop.
Race 8 - #2 Scorching (3-1) Never worse than 2nd in 4 career starts. Overcame a lousy start to get the place in a Gr3 three weeks ago. Looks like a monster to me.
Monmouth
Race 7 - #3 Spotted Bull (8-1) Finishes a string of 5 straight off track races. Finally gets a fast surface and it's at his preferred distance. I don't know anything about bug boy Zambrana, but he's won with him before. It's a low percentage outfit so I hope to get double digits.
Race 10 - #1 Probably (10-1) Finished near the back in first grass route down at Ellis but didn't get the best of trips. Picks up Sammy (who is nails down the stretch on grass) while dropping from a $30k to $16k event.
Saratoga
Race 2 - #4 Fast Market (9-2) Has the look of a filly who should be sprinting on grass and yet this is her first try in start #7. She flashed a little speed and then faded in last, but that was in the slop at AQU. I can forgive that one. Wire to wire possible here. On a side note - why does Barclay Tagg insist on using Katie Davis for every damn mount?
Race 3 - #4 Snookie Bear (20-1) They aren't beating #1 Debt Limit in this race but this one has a chance to complete the exacta at a nice price. Has gone 63-75-85 in the Beyer department since moving to the lawn. Dutrow has a tidy 29% hit rate off maiden win L/R so his stock doesn't bounce often. Oh yeah, and Jose Ortiz climbs aboard.
Race 5 - #4 Save Time (6-1) If you ignore the races sans-Lasix, she's been in the mix in every race since the move to club "Saffie Juice". Her running style of being just off the pace should set up Irad nicely for a sweet finish.
