A BIG Play

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Have been in out of town in the past 2 weeks and apologize for not posting baseball plays. It's just too much of a grind keeping up with it, and I have this damn day job that keeps me occupied. Hopefully, I'll get back to it.

Clippers 1H -3
Clippers -6. NBA basketball is sooo much better in the playoffs than the regular season. Players/ teams are playing with more emotion and competitiveness that's lacking in the too long regular season. Every play is contested, fans are into it, and players might be playing for their next paycheck or for their personal pride. Mostly, they play for their team and their teammates. These are the guys that they're with for 8 months a year and who they hang out with, befriend and compete together day in and day out. The Clippers' situation brings a high level of emotion to their team. These emotional moments are rare in sports, but you might see them when a coach gets fired, a fight happens between 2 teams in a prior game, or some inflammatory comments come out in the press. Maybe a great player returns from an injury ala Willis Reed.

I think the Clippers were stunned on Sunday about Sterling's comments. They had just heard and were not focused on the game at hand. They look flat in the first half. Also, the Warriors were playing for their playoff lives. I think we'll see the opposite tonight. The Clipper players now know that Sterling is a racist fool, but they also know they've come too far in a long season to lay down for an inferior team ….. at home. The fans will not boycott, they will be jacked up. The Clippers know they have the support of the other NBA players, retired and active. They'll get the message that they need to win this game for "themselves", not for a fool owner. Pros (although the Pacers might be an exception) are instilled with too much pride, and the Clippers are too talented to let the Warriors take this game on their home court. They also probably feel that Mark Jackson should shut his mouth about fans boycotting this game, thus taking away some of the home court advantage from the Clippers. Not his business.

In summary, a playoff game at home with a better team vs. a team without much inside presence, in this emotional atmosphere, led by a playoff savvy coach and a great veteran point guard, with the whole world watching- I think we'll see a blowout. Every spurt by LA will get the fans crazy, the players pumped and deflate the Warriors. X 2. Just my opinion, and I rarely bet on NBA basketball- but here goes a big play.
 

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Just increased my bet based on Adam Silver's news conference- banning Sterling for life, fining him the max and strongly encouraging the NBA exec committee to force Sterling to sell the club. Now the Clipper players have even more incentive to kick ass tonight. The line has jumped to 6.5 and 3.5.
 

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thanks for the write-up.
i'm laying off this game at least until after silver's news conference. some things are just bigger than sports and it's hard to tell how things will play out.
i'm a dubs fan and i shared your feelings about mark jackson's comments when i first heard them but then i read doc's response:
"If this was a normal thing, I would say Mark is trying to get no fans to come, because he wants to win this game," Rivers said. "That has nothing to do with Mark's comments. It really doesn't. I think he's speaking from his heart and from his emotions. I can't fight Mark on this."
doesn't seem like he thinks it's motivation worthy. but maybe he's just playing up to the media and will tell his team otherwise.
agree that the dubs are much inferior in the interior but the switch to go small and start draymond in gm4 finally got the ball movin and steph goin. the clips were definitely not focused though.
anyway, good luck on your plays. it wouldn't surprise me at all to see your scenario play out. i'm not sure anything would surprise me to be honest. i probably hate the clips as much as i can an nba team but i felt geniune empathy for them in the time leading up to and during gm4. my girlfriend is a clippers fan and she doesn't even know what to feel right now. who knows what's going on in each of their minds when every win puts more money in sterling's pockets.
 

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shit, i just caught up on silver's new conference. your bets are definitely looking better. i'm tempted to play 1h but will probably just sit back and watch. good luck.
 

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thanks for the write-up.
i'm laying off this game at least until after silver's news conference. some things are just bigger than sports and it's hard to tell how things will play out.
i'm a dubs fan and i shared your feelings about mark jackson's comments when i first heard them but then i read doc's response:
"If this was a normal thing, I would say Mark is trying to get no fans to come, because he wants to win this game," Rivers said. "That has nothing to do with Mark's comments. It really doesn't. I think he's speaking from his heart and from his emotions. I can't fight Mark on this."
doesn't seem like he thinks it's motivation worthy. but maybe he's just playing up to the media and will tell his team otherwise.
agree that the dubs are much inferior in the interior but the switch to go small and start draymond in gm4 finally got the ball movin and steph goin. the clips were definitely not focused though.
anyway, good luck on your plays. it wouldn't surprise me at all to see your scenario play out. i'm not sure anything would surprise me to be honest. i probably hate the clips as much as i can an nba team but i felt geniune empathy for them in the time leading up to and during gm4. my girlfriend is a clippers fan and she doesn't even know what to feel right now. who knows what's going on in each of their minds when every win puts more money in sterling's pockets.
I'm not a fan of either team and try never to bet on teams that I do favor so I agree about "you" laying off. Me, I'm all in. I doubt that Jackson's comments will have much effect on the game. But he should shut his mouth since his team is playing the Clippers. Rivers, always classy, let it pass. The much bigger factor is that the Clipper players know they have the league's total support, the support of players and people all over the NBA, the sports world and around the country. They will definitely want to play their A+ game tonight.
 
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Oh god the whole world is in love with the clippers tonight. Anyone gonna be playing golden state?
 

"My Other Vehicle Is a Locomotive"
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I bet LAC -6 yesterday but for a different reason. Today's events including line move to -7 make me more confident the Clips are the right side tonight.
 

"My Other Vehicle Is a Locomotive"
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65% of Covers loves GSW. RP is from another planet.
 

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If 65 percent of Covers loves GSW, wonder why the line in both the first half and game line has climbed a point in favor of Clippers? Now -4 and -7. Going to wait until tip and hope it climbs even more.
 

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It's called reverse line movement. The majority of the plays are on GS, but the bigger bettors, and more $, is on LA.
 

"My Other Vehicle Is a Locomotive"
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If 65 percent of Covers loves GSW, wonder why the line in both the first half and game line has climbed a point in favor of Clippers? Now -4 and -7. Going to wait until tip and hope it climbs even more.

I've got LAC -6 because I anticipated a line move against me might happen. With 70%+ of the free world on SAS/Dallas Over yesterday the line dropped from 203 to 200 and we all know how that ended.
 

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Thanks for the play. I lurk in the background and love all your writeups especially baseball and football. I look forward to when you get back in the swing for bases.
 

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