A bet I like today... First pick...Beware !

[postaldoug]

I won't post many picks, I don't want to get into that, maybe one a week, or so !


I like this, and it's an unusual play for me.

At Pinnacle ... Grand salami over 134.5 +100 2 units , I bought it at over 134 +100. I like overs today !

Don't follow me, I don't want to feel bad losing anybody's money !

Y-T-D record on posted plays 0-0, + 0 units, I bet it personally, but I'm an unknown. Caveat emptor !

Best Luck,

Doug

 

[Mr.Leisure]

First time I played the salami in baseball and it wins by a .5 of a run.Thanks for the winner ! I like a small wager on that bet,it keeps you involved in every game.

 

[Dynamite]

Congrats! I wish my bookie gave salamis. Give me a pick for tomorrow.

 

[postaldoug]

A narrow win, but a win. Took Sat off !

Y-T-D 1-0 +2 units

Sun

LA (weaver ) and Az ( Sparks ) over 9.5 -112, Pinnacle

1.12 units to win 1 unit !

 

[postaldoug]

I'm sure a guy like Fez, would laugh at anyone that follows a guy with a 1-0 record, please think before following me, If i'm 10-0, that would be better, better yet up 25 units. Be careful ! I bet my picks, but don't judge me short, or long ! How about reserving judgement , until I have say 300 picks !

I'm unknown ! I don't solicit followers !

I'm a bettor on this, but really I'm experimenting in posting what I consider my best plays, I'm not worthy of following, to be honest, certainly not yet ! I bet many more plays than ,I post, my intent was/is about one a week, I may increase that !

Be cool about this ! I'm going to open another thread with some questions. I'm uncomfortable with people following me already, it's not deserved !

Doug

 

[postaldoug]

Y-T-D 2-0 +3 units


No plays Monday

 

[postaldoug]

Tues plays

1st 5 innings Pinnacle ( both )

Det -.5 +121 (Johnson) over Atl (Hampton )

1 unit to win 1.21 units

Hous ( Clemens ) -1.5 +120 over Seattle (Piniero )

1 unit to win 1.2 units

 

[postaldoug]

Result 0-2 for Tues. Y-T-D now 2-2 +1 unit


No plays for Wednesday

I do have a lean, but not a play. I bet Milw and Ana over 8.5 -113, because they are using up all their relievers, in 16th inning last I looked. I bet it large, hoping for a big line move that I can sell back for a middle, once people see the box score.

 

[postaldoug]

2 picks for Thursday:

Alternate 5-inning line from pinny

Colo ( Jennings ) -.5 +270 over NYY ) Contreras)

Risk 1 unit to win 2.7 units


If Contreras gives up early runs, nice return !

Total below is from Pinny alternate runline.


Phil ( Myers) and CWS (S-weiss) over 10 +109

1 unit to win 1.09 units

Good Luck,

Doug

 

[postaldoug]

update: I never sold back any of my position on Ana/ Milw over, line moved against me early , never checked late, went with first thought, so a large win, but not in record !

 

[postaldoug]

Result : 0-1 Y-T-D now 2-3 + 0.00 units

 

[postaldoug]

A few plays for Sun:

Mets (Glavine ) and KC ( Greinke ) under 8.5 +110, using Pinnacle alt line

risk 2 units to win 2.2 units



AZ ( Johnson ) -1.5 +117 over Tor ( Lilly )

Risk 1 unit to win 1.17 units Pinnacle



PARLAY

5 Dimes line (not allowed at Pinny )


SD (Wells ) +180 over NYY ( Vazquez )

and over 9 -110

Risk 1 unit to win 4.25 units


I like salami over, but no line yet, may add later if time allows. It went over by about 45 runs yesterday !

Good Luck,

Doug

 

[postaldoug]

Add pick for Sun:

Grand Salami over 139 -105 Pinnacle

Risking 3.15 units to win 3 units

 

[postaldoug]

I'm jumpimg the gun here ( kiss of death ), but will tempt fate.

I'll correct, if necessary, but confident !

Result 3-1 Y-T- D now 5-4 +5.17 units


I'm not picking Monday's lone game !

Good Luck,

Doug

 

[postaldoug]

4 picks for Tuesday


Note: I use Pinnacle lines, whenever possible, checked after I bet, and right before I post. Assume Pinnacle unless stated otherwise.


Oak (Zito ) +110 over SL (Morris )

risk 1.5 units to win 1.65 units


CWS (Garland ) and FLA ( Burnett ) over 9 +106

risk 1.5 units to win 1.59 units


Tor (Batista ) and SF ( Schmidt ) over 7 +105

risk 1.5 units to win 1.57 units


Grand Salami over 136 -110 FROM OLYMPIC

risk 2.2 units to win 2 units


GL,

Doug

 

[postaldoug]

Result 1-2-1 -2.26 units.

Y-T-D now 6-6-1 +2.91 units

 

[postaldoug]

Statement : Somebody hits this thread, so I'll continue it ! I'll pick more games now, but not all my bets, hopefully only my best ones.

To keep it real, I aim to bet not less than 1 unit, nor more than 2 units, occasionally a 2.5 or 3 unit bet, but majority between 1-2 units.

This will allow me to weight units, without getting ridiculous.

5 for Wednesday (all Pinny as usual), attempting to be consistent.


Cubs (Maddux ) -109 over Hous (Redding )

risk 2.18 uniys to win 2 units


CWS (S-weiss) and Fla ( Pavano ) over 8.5 +101

risk 1 for 1.01


Bos ( Schil) and Colo ( Jenn) over 10.5 +101
on alt. line.

risk 2 for 2.02

NYY ( Stur ) and Az ( Foss ) over 10.5 -111

risk 1.67 for 1.5

TB ( Zam ) over SD ( Val ) +126

risk 1 for 1.26

GL

 

[postaldoug]

Result 4-1 +5.78 units

Y-T-D 10-7-1 +8.69 units

 

[postaldoug]

Thurs Picks


Cubs ( Rus) +180 over Hous ( Osw )

risk 1.5 for 2.7

Colo ( Cook ) and Bos ( Lowe ) over 13.5 -107

risk 1.07 for 1

 

[postaldoug]

Result 1-1 +1.63 units

Y-T-D 11-8-1 +10.32 units