82% on Sactown tonight per Wagerline (and that's not all)

232 out of 283! That is pretty one-sided. There are some others:

76% on San Antonio
76% on Boston
70% on Indiana
69% on Toronto
66% on Philly
69% on Golden State

They're early numbers but WOW. I don't know much about Wagerline's numbers but these look like square city. Of course I'm on Indy and Toronto tonight

sb

 

[Fishhead]

To top it off, it is a Friday night.

Players with paychecks and nowhere to put it other than a nice NBA wager.

 

[RxScorekeeper]

SB- what are you saying , go against these high % plays? Have you followed this method? I know "Pretending" was claiming it was a good rule of thumb to go against the masses..

opinion?

 

[Fishhead]

RX-

Of course it is!

But pick your spots.

 

I don't know JM...I mean the old adage is "ignorant masses and intelligent individuals" and there are people who swear by fading the public but it's really tough to say. Assuming these are public plays they aren't always wrong. I usually just stick to my guns sharp or square and see how I end up. I'm on Utah so I have one against this group. I think we'll know who the books will be pulling for tonight.

sb

 

[Fishhead]

Very useful for the NFL PUBLIC OPINION!!

I never make an NFL wager without consulting wagerline first!

 

Hey can you guys copy this to the NBA forum? I'm sure they would appreciate it. Of course I could just copy and paste the text but I'm lazy.

sb

 

[DarrylParsons]

I'd be a bit careful with those wagerline numbers because they don't keep their lines up to date. On San Antonio for example they had the number at 4 for a long time after the market moved to 5.5. And Sacramento was at 5 when the market moved to 6.5. It's no wonder there's one-sided action when that happens.

 

[Fishhead]

YES!

Make sure you click on the DETAILS for each game.

VERY IMPORTANT!

 

Good point DP I didn't make it clear that I only used final numbers...but the action was continuously one-sided regardless of the line on most of these. The Sacramento one especially.

But good call...they usually miss 1-1.5 points in the line moves in my experiences.

sb

 

Final meaning number of wagers on each team regardless of the "at the time" posted line. I'm usually not a clouded individual.

sb

 

[PO69]

Public in football is usually fade city, but not usually in basketball

 

[Fishhead]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by playersonly69:
Public in football is usually fade city, but not usually in basketball<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Correct sir!

 

[Pretending]

I like San Antonio tonight, fwiw. 102-52-2 ATS as a road favorite of 2 points or more against teams with losing records and Seattle is only 4-7 ATS at home this year.

At least I'm going against IND and SAC. Good luck tonight you guys.

Scorekeeper (who is this masked man?

), I like to add to my plays when the sentiment is clearly sided against me and I like to back off my exposure when I am with a big crowd...let the party-goers make the money on that one, if you know what I mean. But I have done very poorly when I go against simply because there was an overwhelming consensus. I am still working on this one but it has so far been suck-ity. This year it has been NFL that has had the best contrary plays methinks, but in general I like College Foots for this (ala NDame)

 

[GreenDoberman]

Stotts is about to get fired by Atlanta, and everyone on the team hates him. That is probably why everyone is on Sac-town. The public loves them, and the sharps think the Hawks are going to lay down until they get a new coach, probably Doc Rivers.

 

[RobFunk]

you will go crazy trying to analyize that consensus. you are best off to ignore it.

 

[PeteRoseJR]

i agree with robfunk..spend time on worthwhile stats.

 

FWIW the Wagerline "public" went 3-5 tonight with a few pushes.

sb

 

[Fishhead]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by augs15:
i agree with robfunk..spend time on worthwhile stats.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

To each his own for sure.

I would never question anybody on how they derive their knowledge if they can show positive results long-term.

However, trust me, knowing and learning how to use a consensus opinion on a game can be one of the most very important things one can do to improve his or her chances.