Boston @ Tampa Bay:
Yesterday's marathon stretches both bullpens thin for tonights game. I believe the Sox will call someone up for the series or atleast tonights game as you have Bard, Okajima, and Paps for 1 left in the bullpen. Penny has been decent all year when he's an underdog posting a 3-1 record at plus money.
David Price is a jekyl and hyde pitcher from road and home starts. He's 0 for 6 on Quality Starts away but 3 for 6 at home with a 2.5 ERA. His WHIP is much lower at home and therefore a belief he will win.
Key factors that play into another play on Tampa Bay:
Brad Penny (21 Starts) has not pitched 7 complete innings this year. Brad Penny has let 18 runners steal a base without any of them being thrown out. Boston has difficulty throwing out runners and with Martinez (Expected) catching another new starter, their may be a number of pitches shook off. With Tampa's running game and the new pitcher/catcher combo, I'll take my money on Tampa at home with a medium play.
I will also be on the over of the game as well. 1st total I've wagered on in two plus weeks.
Yesterday's marathon stretches both bullpens thin for tonights game. I believe the Sox will call someone up for the series or atleast tonights game as you have Bard, Okajima, and Paps for 1 left in the bullpen. Penny has been decent all year when he's an underdog posting a 3-1 record at plus money.
David Price is a jekyl and hyde pitcher from road and home starts. He's 0 for 6 on Quality Starts away but 3 for 6 at home with a 2.5 ERA. His WHIP is much lower at home and therefore a belief he will win.
Key factors that play into another play on Tampa Bay:
Brad Penny (21 Starts) has not pitched 7 complete innings this year. Brad Penny has let 18 runners steal a base without any of them being thrown out. Boston has difficulty throwing out runners and with Martinez (Expected) catching another new starter, their may be a number of pitches shook off. With Tampa's running game and the new pitcher/catcher combo, I'll take my money on Tampa at home with a medium play.
I will also be on the over of the game as well. 1st total I've wagered on in two plus weeks.
Looking at Washington as Lannan does eat up innings as a starter. Washington has won 3 in a row and now we get plus money on a good lefty starter who's pitched 12 games at home and 11 @) have been of Quality Nature. That's impressive and with the team swinging the bats It may lead to a play for me. Small to Medium..
I've placed a medium play on SFrancisco as well. The kid Martinez who's pitched decent in the minors comes back to start for the 1st time this year. He suffered a horrific shot by Cameron to the face in early relief action. Sometimes emotion is bad for a pitcher (adrenaline leading to overthrowing) however, his team is playing well and with Sanchez and Garko joining a non existent lineup, they've been able to put some runs across the board. With Berkman on the bench, Houston has done the opposite, L13 they've scored 5 or less 12 times, L10 3 or less 8 times. They just don't have that RBI guy like Berkman...
Sanchez is 11 for 19 off Moehler while Sandoval is 9 for 15 against Houston with 2 HR's and 6 Rbi's. They are in the middle of the lineup and producing at the moment.
It looks like they are slighly undervalued again tommorrow. Commensurate to their undervaluation on todays game and yesterdays.
I think the oddsmakers are leaving valuing on the table on the Red Sox for anyone who wants to take their chance with Smoltz. Based on how the markets sentiment on him in prior starts, he may remain undervalued from open to close.
