8/26 MLB Discussion

[TheHungerForMore]

<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1" width="650"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#f97f19"><td colspan="2" class="lineheader" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">MLB Baseball Game</td><td class="lineheader" align="CENTER" valign="TOP">Run Line</td><td class="lineheader" align="CENTER" valign="TOP">MLine</td><td class="lineheader" align="CENTER" valign="TOP">Total Runs</td><td colspan="2" class="lineheader" align="CENTER" valign="TOP">Team Total Runs</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#17654b"><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">WEDNESDAY</td></tr><tr><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 7:05 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">951</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Philadelphia Phillies
C Hamels -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ -105</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-172</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 8 ½ -115</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">952</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Pittsburgh Pirates
P Maholm -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -115</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+162</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 8 ½ -105 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 7:10 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">953</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">San Diego Padres
T Stauffer -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -110</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+190</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 8 ½ -120</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">954</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Atlanta Braves
K Kawakami -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ -110</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-210</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 8 ½ +100 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 7:10 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">955</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">New York Mets
M Pelfrey -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ +105</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+210</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 8 +100</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">956</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Florida Marlins
J Johnson -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ -125</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-230</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 8 -120 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 8:05 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">957</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Cincinnati Reds
K Wells -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -135</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+165</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 9 ½ -105</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">958</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Milwaukee Brewers
B Looper -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +115</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-175</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 9 ½ -115 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 8:05 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">959</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Washington Nationals
J Martin -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+245</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">960</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Chicago Cubs
R Harden -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-275</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 8:15 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">961</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Houston Astros
R Oswalt -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -195</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+123</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 7 ½ -117</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">962</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">St Louis Cardinals
J Pineiro -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +165</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-133</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 7 ½ -103 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 8:40 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">963</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Los Angeles Dodgers
R Wolf -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +115</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-130</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 10 ½ +100</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">964</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Colorado Rockies
J Fogg -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -135</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+120</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 10 ½ -120 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 10:15 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">965</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Arizona Diamondbacks
D Davis -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -175</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+122</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 7 ½ -115</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">966</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">San Francisco Giants
J Sanchez -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +155</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-132</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 7 ½ -105 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 2:10 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">967</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Cleveland Indians
D Huff -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -220</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+101</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 9 ½ -105</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">968</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Kansas City Royals
L Hochevar -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +180</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-111</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 9 ½ -115 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 3:35 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">969</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Detroit Tigers
E Jackson -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -210</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+100</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 9 ½ +105</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">970</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Los Angeles Angels
J Saunders -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +175</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-110</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 9 ½ -125 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 7:05 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">971</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Tampa Bay Rays
S Kazmir -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +140</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-123</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 9 -110</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">972</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Toronto Blue Jays
M Rzepczynski -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -160</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+113</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 9 -110 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 7:05 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
(ESPN2)</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">973</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Texas Rangers
D Holland -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -120</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+173</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 10 -117</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">974</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">New York Yankees
A Pettitte -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +100</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-183</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 10 -103 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 7:10 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">975</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Chicago White Sox
G Floyd -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -165</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+130</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 9 ½ -120</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">976</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Boston Red Sox
T Wakefield -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +145</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-140</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 9 ½ +100 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 8:10 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">977</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Baltimore Orioles
J Guthrie -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -150</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+145</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 9 ½ -120</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr bgcolor="#cccccc"><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">978</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Minnesota Twins
N Blackburn -R </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +130</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-155</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 9 ½ +100 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td colspan="7" align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Wednesday, August 26, 2009 10:10 PM PREVIEW MATCHUPS INJURIES | STANDINGS | WEATHER
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">979</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Oakland Athletics
G Gonzalez -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+1 ½ -200</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">+107</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">O: 8 ½ -110</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr><tr><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">980</td><td align="LEFT" valign="TOP">Seattle Mariners
L French -L </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-1 ½ +170</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">-117</td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP"> U: 8 ½ -110 </td><td align="RIGHT" valign="TOP">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[TheHungerForMore]

Det +105 I've already locked in Edwin Jackson and the Tigers +105. Those who check out the threads daily know i have been on the decline with EJ. With that said you still have to respect what he has done and he is a workhorse. on the other hand Saunders last eight starts have been TERRIBLE, he has never really put together any good starts against the Tigers. Most of the guys in the line up have hit him hard and seem to have a good read against him. Tigers bats finally showing some life on the road. A lot of people will think Halos can't get swept by this shitty road team.

Hou -133 Oswalt is getting priced by name rather than performance. Cardinals are on a tear. Pineiro has put together a sick season, yet times been overlooked his gb/fly ball ratio is sick, besides his recent outings he had the least HRs given up. I'm not worry about him having a dead arm or fatigue, his pitching style doesn't strike me that type.

 

[TheHungerForMore]

Its Stl -133.

 

[NYOrange]

Not a huge totals guy...but 9.5 looks pretty low in a Huff/Hochevar match up. Same goes to Guthrie/Blackburn...

 

[TheHungerForMore]

Twins -155 Large

 

[HomerTime]

Atlanta ML -210

 

[Akillies]

its funny, i have noticed a correlation between my ROI and the amount buffett posts.

 

[bank--it]

We want buffett!!$$

 

[buffettgambler]

Large
Rays -114
This is my largest play in over a week. I have been backing Kazmir for over a month straight now. It has paid off. I am the first to admit that expecting Kazmir to return to his form of the past few years this season is nothing more than wishful thinking. That said, the market is not pricing much of a turnaround at all in for him, despite Kazmir slowly improving and getting his velocity up. His WHIP is starting to become managable, which decreases the risk asociated with his propensity to allow the long ball. So does the Blue Jays lack of power. The Blue Jays are not forced to face southpaws, as is most cases (like today) it forces both Lind and Overbay to watch from the bench. Barrajas is also out. All three players value over replacement is high.

Rzepkski is regressing. There should be more regression to come, as he lacks the stuff to keep his current production sustained. The league is starting to figure him out. This will be the first time in which he will have to face the same lineup for the third time. His success against the Rays also lacks sustainability. They hit him hard last time out, and seemed to have a better read on him than the numbers would indicate.

Market has sent this one in the wrong direction.

 

[TheHungerForMore]

Nice complete analysis. You couldn't be more right about Kazmir and Blue Jays line up. Thanks for chipping in.

Any quick thoughts on Astros and Twins?

 

[Akillies]

may be Rzepkski last stand, as the plan is too shut him down

 

[TheHungerForMore]

I meant the Cardinals.

 

[The Thinker]

i think the phillies Over 8.5 is a very good wager...

GW

 

[buffettgambler]

Nice complete analysis. You couldn't be more right about Kazmir and Blue Jays line up. Thanks for chipping in.

Any quick thoughts on Astros and Twins?

I have a medium play on the Astros. I think the markets expecations on Pienero are starting to approach current productivity rather than long term sustainabillty.

I am currently net long on the Orioles (very small). Not sure whether I will have a position on either the Twins or Orioles come game time.

Best of luck.

 

[TheHungerForMore]

O's put out a shit line up. Which I'm obviously happy to see.