<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"><meta name="ProgId" content="Word.Document"><meta name="Generator" content="Microsoft Word 10"><meta name="Originator" content="Microsoft Word 10"><link rel="File-List" href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CRHSM%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtml1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml"><o:smarttagtype namespaceuri="urn:schemas-microsoft-com
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<st1:city><st1lace>7pm Texas Rangers @ Baltimore</st1lace></st1:city> Orioles
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Cabrera makes me nervous as he has issued more walks then anyone in baseball, but this play is based more on the self destruction of Padillia. Vicente Padillia is 9-2 on the road this year. 9-2. Mind you that is with an ERA of 4.90 and a BAA of .284, not terrible numbers but numbers suggests that other factors are at work here. Those numbers are the potent Texas Rangers hitters. When you have the third highest run support in the Majors at 6.55 runs per game, you don’t have to pitch well, you just have to stay alive and that is what we have here with Padillia. Even if they were not missing both starting corner outfielders for tonights game, I would have to assume this trend would have to even itself out, as the Rangers are a good hitting team but not that good, and Padillia is a lucky pitcher, but not that lucky. July 4<sup>th</sup> marked Padillias shortest outing of the season and that came at <st1:city><st1lace>Camden</st1lace></st1:city> vs these same Birds. Padillias has always had trouble against lefthanders and the O’s have two young promising Left-handed hitters in both Markakis and Luke Scott. Surround them with the likes of Huff who is having a career year and the pesky Brian Roberts, the O’s should do just fine getting on base tonight. That outing was also his highest run total of the season (8), and again in his shortest outing…do the math. I don’t think VP will pitch that poorly, but I think the O’s will be able to score some runs and that bullpen??? Even is he does manage to pitch well, that bullpen is the second worst in baseball only behind the Indians. <st1:city><st1lace>Baltimore</st1lace></st1:city> on the other hand actually has the 11<sup>th</sup> best.
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When you’re throwing 93-96 mph and you feature a plus slider that simply falls off the table, you can afford to be a little erratic, but Cabrera pushes the envelope like no other. If and when he is able to harness his stuff Cabrera could be a legitimate Cy young candidate, he is that talented, but his constant falling behind of hitters and knack for racking up huge pitch counts has made himself quite the enigma the last few years. I mean how else do you explain a guy that can be so wild (68 BB’s) can be the same guy that has a winning record in his career at Yankee stadium and that includes an impressive 4-1 record with a 2.86 ERA in his last five starts in the Bronx? Obviously, im not basing this play on his career numbers vs <st1:state><st1lace>Texas</st1lace></st1:state>, because they are not good. A 1-6 record and with an ERA over six doesn’t translate to a strong play today, but I think Cabrera should be able to find some success against a <st1:state><st1lace>Texas</st1lace></st1:state> team missing its corner outfielders tonight (Murphy and Bradley).
<st1:city><st1lace>Baltimore</st1lace></st1:city> Orioles (D. Cabrera) -108
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><st1:city><st1
lace>7pm Texas Rangers @ Baltimore</st1lace></st1:city> Orioles <o
> </o>Cabrera makes me nervous as he has issued more walks then anyone in baseball, but this play is based more on the self destruction of Padillia. Vicente Padillia is 9-2 on the road this year. 9-2. Mind you that is with an ERA of 4.90 and a BAA of .284, not terrible numbers but numbers suggests that other factors are at work here. Those numbers are the potent Texas Rangers hitters. When you have the third highest run support in the Majors at 6.55 runs per game, you don’t have to pitch well, you just have to stay alive and that is what we have here with Padillia. Even if they were not missing both starting corner outfielders for tonights game, I would have to assume this trend would have to even itself out, as the Rangers are a good hitting team but not that good, and Padillia is a lucky pitcher, but not that lucky. July 4<sup>th</sup> marked Padillias shortest outing of the season and that came at <st1:city><st1
lace>Camden</st1lace></st1:city> vs these same Birds. Padillias has always had trouble against lefthanders and the O’s have two young promising Left-handed hitters in both Markakis and Luke Scott. Surround them with the likes of Huff who is having a career year and the pesky Brian Roberts, the O’s should do just fine getting on base tonight. That outing was also his highest run total of the season (8), and again in his shortest outing…do the math. I don’t think VP will pitch that poorly, but I think the O’s will be able to score some runs and that bullpen??? Even is he does manage to pitch well, that bullpen is the second worst in baseball only behind the Indians. <st1:city><st1lace>Baltimore</st1lace></st1:city> on the other hand actually has the 11<sup>th</sup> best. <o
> </o>When you’re throwing 93-96 mph and you feature a plus slider that simply falls off the table, you can afford to be a little erratic, but Cabrera pushes the envelope like no other. If and when he is able to harness his stuff Cabrera could be a legitimate Cy young candidate, he is that talented, but his constant falling behind of hitters and knack for racking up huge pitch counts has made himself quite the enigma the last few years. I mean how else do you explain a guy that can be so wild (68 BB’s) can be the same guy that has a winning record in his career at Yankee stadium and that includes an impressive 4-1 record with a 2.86 ERA in his last five starts in the Bronx? Obviously, im not basing this play on his career numbers vs <st1:state><st1
lace>Texas</st1lace></st1:state>, because they are not good. A 1-6 record and with an ERA over six doesn’t translate to a strong play today, but I think Cabrera should be able to find some success against a <st1:state><st1lace>Texas</st1lace></st1:state> team missing its corner outfielders tonight (Murphy and Bradley).<st1:city><st1
lace>Baltimore</st1lace></st1:city> Orioles (D. Cabrera) -108
