lol, i enjoy the comments. 
no bong smoking roommate.
the model doesn't account for any injuries whatsoever. the ratings are based purely on scores of previous games. they can serve as a starting point in a "if each team plays exactly as they have to-date" sense. if there are injuries you must decide how much to adjust.
initially, the model was developed not for predicting games at all. it was purely to measure teams on-field performance (much like the Sagarin Ratings do...except unlike his model, all teams start with a 0 at the beginning of the season in mine). only later did i observe that it does a good job of predicting.
i'm not trying to make money doing this to be honest. i just really enjoy it and know that there are people who like getting other views of what they've seen, so i share them.
as for what predictor models i use,...it's something i came up with myself.
good luck to everyone.
no bong smoking roommate.
the model doesn't account for any injuries whatsoever. the ratings are based purely on scores of previous games. they can serve as a starting point in a "if each team plays exactly as they have to-date" sense. if there are injuries you must decide how much to adjust.
initially, the model was developed not for predicting games at all. it was purely to measure teams on-field performance (much like the Sagarin Ratings do...except unlike his model, all teams start with a 0 at the beginning of the season in mine). only later did i observe that it does a good job of predicting.
i'm not trying to make money doing this to be honest. i just really enjoy it and know that there are people who like getting other views of what they've seen, so i share them.
as for what predictor models i use,...it's something i came up with myself.
good luck to everyone.
Best picks this week (in order):
Pick
1.ASU +25.5 over USC
2.AKST -11.5 over LA-M
3.TOL +17 over MICH
4.HOU -18.5 over UAB
5.ARI -6 over STAN
6.PUR +19 over OSU
7.NEV -19 over NMST
8.ORE -17 over UCLA
9.MINN +11.5 over ILL
10.PNST -5 over WIS
11.BYU -23.5 over NM
12.MIAF -15 over UCF
13.MEM +6.5 over LOUI
14.K ST -3.5 over TXAM
15.UTAH -23 over WYO
16.NEB +21 over TXTC
17.IOWA -5.5 over IND
18.CLEM +2.5 over WAKE
19.BUFF -1.5 over WMU
20.UTEP -5.5 over TUL
21.CIN -9 over RUT
22.TROY -3 over FATL
23.KY -1 over SC
24.GA -13 over TENN
You guys have jinxed the f* out of yourselves joking on him like this. Although bong hits and radiohead bring back a lot of good memories. One unit on everyone of his plays for fun. And one unit parlaying all plays (or as many as they'll let me do at the greek). Didnt bet the houston game last night so here is to 23-0 marc. GL.
PS I will also be playing the megamillions tonite just in case.
PS I will also be playing the megamillions tonite just in case.
