Hanson has a tough time vs lefties giving up 18 walks nearly a 1:1 walk to strike out ratio, and they hit 64 points higher than oppose to the right side. Which Dodgers will have five guys in the lineup who can bat at the left side of the plate. Teams don't mind trying to steal bags vs him 9 SB 4 CS (none thrown out at home 6-0), Dodgers have a few speedy guys that might try him. I am not sold on Timmy Hanson maintaining these numbers, sometimes he has a habit of walking too many, he isn't fooling many hitters, (besides when he was in the zone and confident vs impotent Giants offense at home), too many balls put in play more, overall more fly balls than ground balls especially when pitching home. This is not a good match-up for him and i don't think he'll go seven strong, so a bullpen will be needed. Mike Gonzalez had a tough time yesterday and threw 25 pitches so there is a question mark for him. Anyways Hanson is being overvalued here.
Oddmakers are obviously aware of Schmidt struggles since coming back from being injure. I doubt we'll see the same Schmidt of last week where he got drilled by hot Marlins team that took advantage of every mistake he made. Dodgers acquired Sherrill yesterday to help out their bullpen it comes at good time too as LA's pen has really been used the last two games in extra innings. Jonathan Broxton should be available if needed for a save he only has thrown 31 total pitches. The line is currently at +167 and may still be climbing. If Jason Schmidt can give the same outting he gave vs the Reds (in his first start back), i would gladly take it, when i'm backing the better offense at this valuable price.
Buffett made good points about this game and a great stat about Guthrie allowing a home run to a left hand battier every 11.2 outs. You can't really value the two starting pitchers in this situation, rather look at the line ups and bullpens. They both have been horrible but Guthrie probably has been more worst long peroid of time and shows no sign of improving, also is facing a brutal match-up that has been crushed in both games this year by the Bosox. Guthrie has allowed 23 HRs, 15 to lefties that is where Boston is stacked at. Redsox are probably undervalued because of their series vs Oakland, but don't blame it because of their offense. Redsox have the better bullpen too. -109
Edwin Jackson has already showed signs of regress this month 15 walks, at least a one home run every start (6 total), in four starts. Looking at Carmona stats in the minors ("Carmona was 1-3 with a 3.55 ERA in five starts. He walked six and struck out 27 over 33 innings, with five homers allowed."), has really improved on his command and control that he was struggling with in the first place. Detroit support a bad road record, Cleveland have pop in their bats and get to see Edwin for a second look this month. +133 (will wait it out for a possible better number) is good enough when Edwin is regressing and still being overvalued.
I will add more a little later. Feel free to post opinions on any game.
Oddmakers are obviously aware of Schmidt struggles since coming back from being injure. I doubt we'll see the same Schmidt of last week where he got drilled by hot Marlins team that took advantage of every mistake he made. Dodgers acquired Sherrill yesterday to help out their bullpen it comes at good time too as LA's pen has really been used the last two games in extra innings. Jonathan Broxton should be available if needed for a save he only has thrown 31 total pitches. The line is currently at +167 and may still be climbing. If Jason Schmidt can give the same outting he gave vs the Reds (in his first start back), i would gladly take it, when i'm backing the better offense at this valuable price.
Buffett made good points about this game and a great stat about Guthrie allowing a home run to a left hand battier every 11.2 outs. You can't really value the two starting pitchers in this situation, rather look at the line ups and bullpens. They both have been horrible but Guthrie probably has been more worst long peroid of time and shows no sign of improving, also is facing a brutal match-up that has been crushed in both games this year by the Bosox. Guthrie has allowed 23 HRs, 15 to lefties that is where Boston is stacked at. Redsox are probably undervalued because of their series vs Oakland, but don't blame it because of their offense. Redsox have the better bullpen too. -109
Edwin Jackson has already showed signs of regress this month 15 walks, at least a one home run every start (6 total), in four starts. Looking at Carmona stats in the minors ("Carmona was 1-3 with a 3.55 ERA in five starts. He walked six and struck out 27 over 33 innings, with five homers allowed."), has really improved on his command and control that he was struggling with in the first place. Detroit support a bad road record, Cleveland have pop in their bats and get to see Edwin for a second look this month. +133 (will wait it out for a possible better number) is good enough when Edwin is regressing and still being overvalued.
I will add more a little later. Feel free to post opinions on any game.
