6YS college football picks

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I've posted a lot in the soccer thread, but my true love is college football and basketball. A friend and I do a weekly podcast during the college seasons, and this year I'll post our plays here. I just posted a blog on national title and conference championship plays. It goes something like this...

This year, with four teams guaranteed a shot at the FBS National Championship, we have the most wide-open season in years and potentially the best chance to make future money. Find some loose change and take a shot at getting an early Christmas present from your man.

National Title
Ohio State +1150, Oklahoma +1200, Georgia +2000, UCLA +2500
For the first time, four teams a committee will pick four teams to continue into a playoff for the national title. With five main conferences and probable mounting pressure to not pick two SEC teams, I think we’ll see the winners of the SEC, ACC, Big 12, Pac-12 and Big 10 working to get the committee’s attention. The SEC winner is definitely in, as is the Pac-12 champ and Florida State, if they win the ACC. Oklahoma has a great shot at running the table, which should get them in.

Ohio State may need to run the table to get in. It is possible. In a restructured Big 10, they will probably be unbeaten when they play at Michigan State November 8. Win there and they are 12-0 going into the Big 10 title game.

In the SEC, the West is loaded with Alabama, Auburn, LSU and darkhorse Mississippi (mainly because of its cushy schedule). In the East, Georgia can’t have as unfortunate season as they did last year. They play at South Carolina, but off a bye and early (September 13). They also avoid Bama and LSU, and host Auburn. In a league where a lot of teams will count on defense, the Bulldogs have the best offense.

The Pac-12 is loaded with UCLA and USC in the South and Oregon and Stanford in the North. It’s hard to see any Pac-12 team going unbeaten, but UCLA has the best shot. They host Oregon, USC and Stanford, and the toughest road game is at Washington. However, the season could be over on September 13 if they lose in Arlington to Texas. If they do, watch for a freefall.

Oklahoma must go unbeaten to get into the playoff, but can do just that. We’ll know if they have a shot after the Sooners travel to TCU October 4 and follow up a week later with the Red River Shootout. Should Texas beat UCLA, the Shootout could feature two unbeaten teams.
 
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The first Sixth Year Seniors podcast of the new season is available. We preview the SEC, ACC, Independents, Conference USA and Sun Belt, plus have a conversation with Phil Steele on the college football playoffs. I may have taken a bath on the Ohio State national title bet with Miller probably out for the season, but really the Spartans don't play a tough game until the Michigan State game in November. They now have to go to a redshirt freshman QB, but the schedule is helpful. If anything, it makes my "Iowa to win the Big 10" bet look better.
 

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The second half of the college football preview podcast is available, with first-week picks included. Also, we have season total plays available on the my Transcript page. My plays are:

Arizona State U7.5 -115
Boston College U4.5 -105
Vanderbilt U5.5 -115
Minnesota U6 +125
Iowa O8.5 -115
Pittsburgh O7.5 +120

Analysis is at the Sixth Year Seniors Web site. I'll post out Week 1 plays Wednesday, or you can hear them now on the podcast.
 

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man right out of the gate, ohio state and oklahoma aren't having much luck. I do like UCLAME(SC fan) if they can get by oregon @home it would set up a nice clash with USC to decide the south and possibly a lot more. bol this season.
 

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Thanks, Cat, and good luck to you this season as well. Ohio State losing Miller is big on a national level, but within the Big 10 I think they can survive. They have a pretty easy schedule until the November 8 game at Michigan State. Until then their toughest games are at Maryland and at Penn State. If they can't win in those locations, they barely belong in the Top 25. In the Pac-12, I'd love to see a double-unbeaten UCLA/USC clash. But I think USC might slip at Stanford and UCLA lose at Washington.
 

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Here's our Week 1 plays. These were announced Monday night on the podcast. Lines have shifted since them, especially the La-Monroe game. I expect, however, to it to fall back to around Pick by gametime. I can't imagine middle bettors not taking advantage of La-Monroe +4 and Wake +1.5.

Alan
La-Monroe +2/Wake Forest
Tulsa -6.5/Tulane
Temple +14/Vanderbilt
Colorado State/Colorado U60
UAB -3/Troy
Western Michigan +10/Purdue
LSU/Wisconsin U50

Mike
La-Monroe +2/Wake Forest
Troy +3/UAB
Penn State +2/Central Florida
Alabama/West Virginia U55.5
LSU -4.5/Wisconsin
 

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Not an official play, but I kind of like Texas-San Antonio/Houston O55. Should be a heated south Texas rivalry. Houston will play at a fast pace, and I think San Antonio is greatly improved.
 

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AC/H.............good luck with all your action this week end...............indy
 

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Week 2 is here. Jump on board now while we're hot. Pod debuted last night.

Alan (6-1)
Pittsburgh -4.5/Boston College
Washington State -2.5/Nevada
Central Michigan +3/Purdue
Air Force PK/Wyoming

Mike (2-3)
La-Monroe -14.5/Idaho
Texas -3.5/BYU
Stanford -3/USC
Michigan State +13.5/Oregon

Mike admits he has bad numbers, but they shouldn't matter. Hear details on the pod.
 

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Week 3 is available for listening pleasure at sixthyearseniors.com. Our picks weren't that great this week. Mike was 0-4, but could have easily been 3-1. So is gambling. Mike admits his card is grossly huge, but is putting everything he's learned in the first two weeks into this card. We have two identical plays, which usually turn out to be good things.

ALAN (8-3)
Missouri -9.5/Central Florida
Old Dominion -16.5/Eastern Michigan
Central Michigan +7/Syracuse
Georgia Southern +20/Georgia Tech
Florida Atlantic PK/Tulsa
Florida -18/Kentucky

MIKE (2-7)
BYU -18.5/Houston
Baylor -33/Buffalo
Central Florida +9.5/Missouri
South Florida +2.5/NC State
Georgia Southern +20/Georgia Tech
West Virginia +3/Maryland
Arkansas State +16.5/Miami, FL
Florida Atlantic PK/Tulsa
Notre Dame -28.5/Purdue
UCLA -8.5/Texas
Texas A&M -31.5/Rice
Nebraska -10/Fresno State
 

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Toledo +11 is now on the board. Not an official play, but that fits into the number I'd take.
 

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AC,

Excellent start to the season. Been giving FAU a look myself.

Continued success.
 

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As long as Jaquez Johnson is playing QB for Fla Atlantic, this is a solid play. It went immediately from Tulsa -1.5 to PK, so there was sharp money on it Sunday night. Also, when Mike and I are on the same play it usually ends up well. 1-0 this year with La-Monroe in Week 1. This week we have Fla Atlantic and Georgia Southern.
 

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I just realized I didn't post East Carolina as a play. Picked it at +11 Monday, but I'll still take it right now at +10.

East Carolina +10/Virginia Tech
 

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Week 4 is available for listening pleasure at sixthyearseniors.com. I went 4-3 last week, while Mike "improved" to 5-7 on his War and Peace novel of picks. I'm hitting dogs and small favorites, while Mike likes a bunch of double-digit favorites. We're 3-0 this season on picks we both like. Unfortunately, there are none of those this week.

Alan (12-6)
South Florida -2/UConn
Syracuse -1/Maryland
North Carolina +2/East Carolina
South Alabama -3/Georgia Southern
Old Dominion +8/Rice
San Diego State +10/Oregon State
California +10.5/Arizona

Mike (7-14)
Auburn -9/Kansas State
Missouri -14.5/Indiana
Maryland +1/Syracuse
South Carolina -21.5/Vanderbilt
Wyoming -3.5/Florida Atlantic
Texas A&M -31.5/SMU
Alabama -14.5/Florida
Florida State -20/Clemson
BYU -15/Virginia
LSU -10/Mississippi State
Nebraska -7/Miami, FL
 

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Week 5 is now available. I had my first losing week at 3-4, while Mike is still trying to figure out the season, going 4-6 after pulling off the Florida State bet made prior to the Winston suspension. Check out the show at sixthyearseniors.com for details.

ALAN (15-10)
Northwestern +11/Penn State
Vanderbilt +7/Kentucky
Wake Forest +21/Louisville
Texas State +4.5/Tulsa
Colorado +11/California
Missouri +6/South Carolina
North Carolina +14/Clemson
Cincinnati +14.5/Ohio State
Florida Atlantic +5/Texas-San Antonio

MIKE (11-20)
Oklahoma State -13.5/Texas Tech (TH)
Maryland +4.5/Indiana
Baylor -21.5/Iowa State
Wisconsin -33/South Florida
UTEP +26.5/Kansas State
Texas A&M -9.5/Arkansas
Duke +5/Miami, FL
Memphis +18.5/Mississippi
Texas-San Antonio -5/Florida Atlantic
 

"Calling All The Shots"
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Alan......Horrible Number on Vandy!

Vandy isn't +7......more like +17

Maybe just a typo.



---ShotDoc---
 

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It is a typo. Thanks. I'd never take Vandy +7, even against Kentucky. Not that I would trust Kentucky at -7 either.

Vandy +17/Kentucky.
 

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New pod is available at sixthyearseniors.com. Lines are from Monday afternoon when we recorded. Mike swears it's not time to fade him.

ALAN (22-12)
Fresno State +1/San Diego State
Georgia Tech +2/Miami, FL
Old Dominion +17.5/Marshall
Northwestern +10/Wisconsin
South Carolina -5/Kentucky
Notre Dame +2/Stanford
LSU +8/Auburn
Tennessee -2/Florida
Boise State -2/Nevada

MIKE (12-28)
Louisville -2.5/Syracuse
East Carolina -40/SMU
Notre Dame +2/Stanford
Tennessee -2/Florida
Baylor -16.5/Texas
Alabama -7/Mississippi
 

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Broke even last week. New pod went up Monday evening. Lines are from the recording time.

ALAN (26-15)
Central Florida -3.5/BYU
Northwestern +3/Minnesota
Army PK/Rice
Duke +4.5/Georgia Tech
TCU +10/Baylor
UCLA +3/Oregon
Arizona +2.5/USC (hit the money line when it comes up)
North Carolina +16.5/Notre Dame
East Carolina -15/South Florida

MIKE (15-31)
Washington State +17/Stanford
Michigan State -21.5/Purdue
Baylor -10/TCU
Auburn -2.5/Mississippi State
Notre Dame -16.5/North Carolina
 

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