0-2-1 (-11 u)
***** San Jose st +12.5 (over Hawaii) *****
This spread is off!! This time I'm not expecting much from Hawaii, especially now on the road. They didn't do a whole lot last week with QB Timmy Chang being sick. One can only hope he'll be sick this week, now that I'm picking against them. No, I kid, it won't matter this week, because the road often makes them sick enough. With my luck, San jose st's qb will be sick this time, but you can never predict that kind of stuff, so lets move on to the analysis.....
Hawaii is only 1-3 on the road. Lost to usc by 29, lost to unlv by 11, lost to Tulsa by 11. Only win was against Louis tech and they had to come back and win that game. And after the usc game, they have never outscored their opponents in the second half on the road, which tells me, they will have a hard time holding their opponents down in the second half, obviously. Does this call for a second half play? Heck no, I'm not going to get burned like last week. No more half or halves plays again.
For San Jose st, they are 2-1 at home. Only wins was against Grambling and smu. They lost to Nevada by 12. They lost all of their away games. Seems pretty pathetic, but they have been improving as the season goes along, and that's a good sign. If you look at their first 3 games, at home easy win vs grambling, then they got blown out by Florida and Stanford on the road, but then their next 4 games, they show some character staying within 12 pts vs nevada at home, staying within 4 pts vs Rice on the road, beating smu at home, and getting blown by boise st on the road. Okay, the boise st game, they look pathetic, but as you seen Thursday night, Boise st can make any average to poor team look very pathetic. And since san jose st was on the road in boise st, that's understandable. Even Hawaii would get beat by atleast 20 pts if they had to go to Boise st.
What it basically comes down to, is that, yes, San jose st is a bad team, however, they are improving and showing more character. And Hawaii turns sour on the road.
The spread is off because san jose st got blitz by boise st last week, and with the combination of Hawaii proving they could win on the road against louis tech last week also.
Hawaii may pull out the win, but they have no business being double digit favs on the road. Just like how when teams have to travel all the way to hawaii, hawaii has the huge advantage because of staying at home, but on the other hand, when hawaii has to travel all the way to the other 49 states, now they become a huge dis-advantage. Any wonder why opponents look bad playing against Hawaii on the island and suddenly hawaii looks bad against opponents when the game is in the other 49 states.
Hawaii merely becomes an average team, and now that San jose st is at home, they turn from a bad team to an average team. So I look at this as 2 average teams playing each other and looks pretty even to me, but ofcourse Hawaii has more talent so they will be favorite, but again, 12.5 point favs?? I don't think so.
Check these two trends out:
In exception against Boise st, the class of the wac, san jose st has never lost by more than 12 pts at home last season and this season. And.....
Last season and this season, with Timmy Chang at qb, in exception against Utep early last season, Hawaii never won by more than 10 pts on the road.
Conclusion:
Hawaii has qb chang and San jose st has qb Rislov again this season. These two dueled it out in hawaii last season with san jose st losing by single digits. This is a revenge game for san jose st. This time, the game is in San jose st, and I see another duel to the end.
[This message was edited by glennlovecolleen3 on October 31, 2003 at 06:30 AM.]
***** San Jose st +12.5 (over Hawaii) *****
This spread is off!! This time I'm not expecting much from Hawaii, especially now on the road. They didn't do a whole lot last week with QB Timmy Chang being sick. One can only hope he'll be sick this week, now that I'm picking against them. No, I kid, it won't matter this week, because the road often makes them sick enough. With my luck, San jose st's qb will be sick this time, but you can never predict that kind of stuff, so lets move on to the analysis.....
Hawaii is only 1-3 on the road. Lost to usc by 29, lost to unlv by 11, lost to Tulsa by 11. Only win was against Louis tech and they had to come back and win that game. And after the usc game, they have never outscored their opponents in the second half on the road, which tells me, they will have a hard time holding their opponents down in the second half, obviously. Does this call for a second half play? Heck no, I'm not going to get burned like last week. No more half or halves plays again.
For San Jose st, they are 2-1 at home. Only wins was against Grambling and smu. They lost to Nevada by 12. They lost all of their away games. Seems pretty pathetic, but they have been improving as the season goes along, and that's a good sign. If you look at their first 3 games, at home easy win vs grambling, then they got blown out by Florida and Stanford on the road, but then their next 4 games, they show some character staying within 12 pts vs nevada at home, staying within 4 pts vs Rice on the road, beating smu at home, and getting blown by boise st on the road. Okay, the boise st game, they look pathetic, but as you seen Thursday night, Boise st can make any average to poor team look very pathetic. And since san jose st was on the road in boise st, that's understandable. Even Hawaii would get beat by atleast 20 pts if they had to go to Boise st.
What it basically comes down to, is that, yes, San jose st is a bad team, however, they are improving and showing more character. And Hawaii turns sour on the road.
The spread is off because san jose st got blitz by boise st last week, and with the combination of Hawaii proving they could win on the road against louis tech last week also.
Hawaii may pull out the win, but they have no business being double digit favs on the road. Just like how when teams have to travel all the way to hawaii, hawaii has the huge advantage because of staying at home, but on the other hand, when hawaii has to travel all the way to the other 49 states, now they become a huge dis-advantage. Any wonder why opponents look bad playing against Hawaii on the island and suddenly hawaii looks bad against opponents when the game is in the other 49 states.
Hawaii merely becomes an average team, and now that San jose st is at home, they turn from a bad team to an average team. So I look at this as 2 average teams playing each other and looks pretty even to me, but ofcourse Hawaii has more talent so they will be favorite, but again, 12.5 point favs?? I don't think so.
Check these two trends out:
In exception against Boise st, the class of the wac, san jose st has never lost by more than 12 pts at home last season and this season. And.....
Last season and this season, with Timmy Chang at qb, in exception against Utep early last season, Hawaii never won by more than 10 pts on the road.
Conclusion:
Hawaii has qb chang and San jose st has qb Rislov again this season. These two dueled it out in hawaii last season with san jose st losing by single digits. This is a revenge game for san jose st. This time, the game is in San jose st, and I see another duel to the end.
[This message was edited by glennlovecolleen3 on October 31, 2003 at 06:30 AM.]
