48 Homeruns in today's games

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2nd Half Specialist
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OVERS MONEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Even if someone put a gun to my head, I will not bet under in ANY game. At least for the time being...
 

should have listen to my mother
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I am not sure, but is this not normal in the first weeks?
I remember that in the beginning of the season the ball was flying over the wall like there is no tomorrow. Also you can add to the above mentioned pitchers a lot of other good quality names who are pitching way under expectations. In the end quality will prevail and this will even out.
Imo to bet over like crazy after first 2 weeks is not a good idea.



cheers,


colton
 

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I'll tell you why.

75% of the games today were in the daylight hours. The weather over much of the country was warmer and humid that it has been over the last few days. Couple that with a weather front leaving many areas, and you have a jetstream with winds.

Aka, baseball killing weather. But to actually go against my own theory -- appears that 21 of the 48 homeruns were hit at night.
 

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Home team - temperature (HR)

Atlanta - 78 (6 HR)
Arizona - 78 (2 HR)
San Francisco (Night) - 64 (2 HR)
San Francisco (Day) - 61 (1 HR)
Chicago (NL) - 74 (4 HR)
St Louis - 79 (1 HR)
Pittsburg - 78 (4 HR)
Washington - 79 (5 HR)
Florida - 78 (2 HR)
Boston - 68 (2 HR)
Minnesota - indoors (2 HR)
Tampa - indorrs (5 HR)
Cleveland - 68 (4 HR)
New York - 73 (4 HR)
Detroit - 75 (4 HR)

Those temperatures are much warmer than last week, and even several degrees difference from the start of the week.
 

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Tomorrow's Newspaper said:
So, is it the pitching? Or is it the Umpiring? Or a combination. Or a fluke. I guess only time will really tell

It's the Illegal Immigrants. Damn, they're from every where... Columbia, Venezuela, Dominican Republic, Mexico, Japan, Korea, Australia(?), they're taking over the joint. :nohead:

The ones from South America, they're awake earlier (gotta cut the grass, mow the lawn early before dawn to stay outta the heat), so by noon they're already in 5th gear, ready to roll. And the ones from Asia, for them, nitetime in America is daytime in theirs... so they're MORE awake.

That explains the daytime, and nitetime homerun phenommena as more and more players are awake and ready to let 'er rip.

Opps, wrong thread. :puppy:
 

Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser
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spreadbeater said:
Because the ball is juiced. Pretty obvious if you ask me. I mean all of these pitchers that have been great in the past, have been getting killed this year. Smoltz, Hudson, Milwood, Garland, Petitte....I mean the list goes on and on. What are your thoughts TN?

Because the pitchers listed above are almost as old as me:missingte
 

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You guys are putting WAAAAAY too much thought into this.

First off, despite popular belief, there was not a major deflation last year of home runs!

National League Stats Past 10 seasons

1995 - 0.96 HR/Game
1996 - 0.98 HR/Game
1997 - 0.96 HR/Game
1998 - 0.99 HR/Game
1999 - 1.13 HR/Game
2000 - 1.17 HR/Game
2001 - 1.15 HR/Game
2002 - 1.01 HR/Game
2003 - 1.05 HR/Game
2004 - 1.11 HR/Game
2005 - 1.01 HR/Game

There was not a major dropoff last season. American League numbers were simiilar as well. Except for very minor and statistically irrelevant spikes in 1996 and 2000 to 1.22 and 1.20 HR's/Game in the AL, The home run per game totals have been steady between 1.08/1.16 for a decade!!


#2. Tomorrow's Newspaper.. Pitching is ALWAYS weaker pre-all star break. Not sure where you heard the "pitching comes before batting early in the season", but I can assure you it's a crock, and I have the stats to prove it.

Last season, 10 teams hit atleast 100 home runs Pre-All Star break (Leaguewide average 89.5 Pre-Break) Only 4 teams hit 100 home runs post-all star break (Leaguewide average 77.7 Post-Break). Each team hit 12 less homeruns post all-star last year. I can assure you that this is the trend every season, with April always being the highlighted month for home runs.


Much ado about nothing. I've noticed alot of handicappers who are coming off great seasons that are questioning what's going on with steroids, juiced balls, umpires, etc as if it's affecting their results/handicapping because they are having poor results early in the season.

It's time we quit making excuses and start looking at ourselves instead of trying to blame our struggles on various cockeyed theories and conspiracies.
 

Da Bears!!!!!!!
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Sekrah said:
You guys are putting WAAAAAY too much thought into this.

First off, despite popular belief, there was not a major deflation last year of home runs!

National League Stats Past 10 seasons

1995 - 0.96 HR/Game
1996 - 0.98 HR/Game
1997 - 0.96 HR/Game
1998 - 0.99 HR/Game
1999 - 1.13 HR/Game
2000 - 1.17 HR/Game
2001 - 1.15 HR/Game
2002 - 1.01 HR/Game
2003 - 1.05 HR/Game
2004 - 1.11 HR/Game
2005 - 1.01 HR/Game

There was not a major dropoff last season. American League numbers were simiilar as well. Except for very minor and statistically irrelevant spikes in 1996 and 2000 to 1.22 and 1.20 HR's/Game in the AL, The home run per game totals have been steady between 1.08/1.16 for a decade!!


#2. Tomorrow's Newspaper.. Pitching is ALWAYS weaker pre-all star break. Not sure where you heard the "pitching comes before batting early in the season", but I can assure you it's a crock, and I have the stats to prove it.

Last season, 10 teams hit atleast 100 home runs Pre-All Star break (Leaguewide average 89.5 Pre-Break) Only 4 teams hit 100 home runs post-all star break (Leaguewide average 77.7 Post-Break). Each team hit 12 less homeruns post all-star last year. I can assure you that this is the trend every season, with April always being the highlighted month for home runs.


Much ado about nothing. I've noticed alot of handicappers who are coming off great seasons that are questioning what's going on with steroids, juiced balls, umpires, etc as if it's affecting their results/handicapping because they are having poor results early in the season.

It's time we quit making excuses and start looking at ourselves instead of trying to blame our struggles on various cockeyed theories and conspiracies.


This season has been a dream come true so far. I never bet the under in any game. It is either an over bet or a no-bet.
 

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mrpotter.. i've been doing just fine playing team total unders.. 3-0 last two days with Tigers and Orioles on Wednesday and Diamondbacks last night.

There's opportunities out there for either side. The only trend I see is struggling handicappers grasping at any excuse they can find to explain their woes during Week 2 of the season, when they need to just sit back, relax, and keep doing what they've been doing for years as successful cappers.
 

Da Bears!!!!!!!
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Sekrah said:
mrpotter.. i've been doing just fine playing team total unders.. 3-0 last two days with Tigers and Orioles on Wednesday and Diamondbacks last night.

There's opportunities out there for either side. The only trend I see is struggling handicappers grasping at any excuse they can find to explain their woes during Week 2 of the season, when they need to just sit back, relax, and keep doing what they've been doing for years as successful cappers.


I agree with you 100%. What we are seeing is the result of poor pitching and not a juiced ball!!
 

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Sekrah said:
mrpotter.. i've been doing just fine playing team total unders.. 3-0 last two days with Tigers and Orioles on Wednesday and Diamondbacks last night.


Me too. The Team Totals have been golden. I think I am 10-2 this week in TT's with more a flying tonight..
 

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Sekrah said:
mrpotter.. i've been doing just fine playing team total unders.. 3-0 last two days with Tigers and Orioles on Wednesday and Diamondbacks last night.

There's opportunities out there for either side. The only trend I see is struggling handicappers grasping at any excuse they can find to explain their woes during Week 2 of the season, when they need to just sit back, relax, and keep doing what they've been doing for years as successful cappers.

I think you read too much into this. The point TN raised is all about HRs just the first couple of weeks of the season, he's not saying that's the trend or that it'll be for whole 2006 season. Everything will balance out in the end... and when it's all over with, you'll see the numbers fall back inline with the stats you're showing.

He's not blaming the HRs for his woes... and the steroids, and juice, and other conspiracy theories, anybody who believes in them needs to see a shrink. :nohead:

And for your team totals plays... very impressive, but you are also very experience to know that no one hits 90% rate over the long season. Of course your hit ratio will balance out as well, meanwhile enjoy the streak and hope it'll continue as long as possible ... :thumbsup2:
 

Triple digit silver kook
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Journeyman said:
ball is juiced... MLB covering up after last years power outage.

Any opinion about playing the grand pepperoni OVER daily until the hitting shows signs of slowing?

Ppeter discussed this and I agree with the idea....would like your and others opinion.

Some people who maybe dont have bankroll to play ever game over could simply play the pepperoni over each day.

Friday pepperoni as of this post is 142
 

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