These are first round tournement trends I picked up last year, so the ats numbers are through 2013, but don't include last years tournement. If any of you over-achievers want to go back and look up these numbers for last years tournement to update them for everyone that would be great. Either way, here's what I have. A couple of the plays are at odds with eachother so I backed those out and at the bottom are my plays for round one based on these numbers:
• Favorites of 20 or more points are 2-8 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win:
Albany NY + 21.5
Weber St. +20
• Underdogs getting four or more points playing off a SU conference tourney win as a dog of six or more points are 7-27-1 ATS last 12 years:
UNC -4
Creighton -14
Wisconsin -14
Nova -16.5
FIRST ROUND NOTES
• No. 1 seeds favored by fewer than 25 points off back to back SU wins are 12-2 ATS:
Florida -21.5
Virginia -21
Wichita St - Pending
• No. 2 seeds are 9-24-4 ATS vs. foes off a SU win:
Kansas St. +5
Wofford +16
Wisconsin Milwaukee +16.5
American +14
• No. 3 seeds off a SU favorite loss are 32-1 SU & 24-8-1 ATS (10-2 last seven years):
Syracuse -13
Duke -12.5
Creighton -14
• No. 4 seeds are 27-13 ATS when favored by fewer than nine points (11-4 last seven years):
SDSU -6.5
• No. 7 seeds are 1-7 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU losses:
Arizona State +2
So I will be on:
-Weber St. +20
-UNC -4
-Creighton -14
-Virginia -21
-Kansas State +5
-Wofford +16
-Syracuse -13
-Duke -12.5
-SDSU -7
-AZ State +2
Wichita State if under -25
:smokingbb
• Favorites of 20 or more points are 2-8 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win:
Albany NY + 21.5
Weber St. +20
• Underdogs getting four or more points playing off a SU conference tourney win as a dog of six or more points are 7-27-1 ATS last 12 years:
UNC -4
Creighton -14
Wisconsin -14
Nova -16.5
FIRST ROUND NOTES
• No. 1 seeds favored by fewer than 25 points off back to back SU wins are 12-2 ATS:
Florida -21.5
Virginia -21
Wichita St - Pending
• No. 2 seeds are 9-24-4 ATS vs. foes off a SU win:
Kansas St. +5
Wofford +16
Wisconsin Milwaukee +16.5
American +14
• No. 3 seeds off a SU favorite loss are 32-1 SU & 24-8-1 ATS (10-2 last seven years):
Syracuse -13
Duke -12.5
Creighton -14
• No. 4 seeds are 27-13 ATS when favored by fewer than nine points (11-4 last seven years):
SDSU -6.5
• No. 7 seeds are 1-7 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU losses:
Arizona State +2
So I will be on:
-Weber St. +20
-UNC -4
-Creighton -14
-Virginia -21
-Kansas State +5
-Wofford +16
-Syracuse -13
-Duke -12.5
-SDSU -7
-AZ State +2
Wichita State if under -25
:smokingbb
