Yesterday 1 1 0 +0.06 Units
Last 30 Days 34 32 0 +19.02 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2012) 56 65 0 -0.20 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise
Chicago +124 over TAMPA BAY
1:10 PM. The offering here makes no sense. The White Sox are the hottest team in baseball. They’ve won seven in a row and they’re demolishing every pitcher they face. James Shields was their latest victim in last night’s 7-2 romp. Over the course of this streak, the South Side has hit .320 with 15 home runs and has outscored opponents 61-27. Alex Cobb has an elite groundball rate of 59% but it is accumulated over a small sampling of 12 IP. He was in the minors and got the call up due to the injury to Jeff Niemann. Cobb has a poor BB/K ratio of 6/8 and it is not uncommon for him to throw an inordinate amount of pitches per inning as control issues remain. Jose Quintana doesn’t possess any eye-popping pitch or offer much in the way of projection, but he gets the job done by throwing strikes, mixing pitches and inducing ground balls. The Rays are hitting a wretched .191 over their past five games, which is the worst mark in the majors over that stretch. Tampa may have a slight edge on the hill but the White Sox have a huge edge at the dish and in the all-important state of mind category. Play: Chicago +124 (Risking 2 units).
San Diego +121 over CHICAGO
2:20 PM. The Cubs have won just one of Ryan Dempster’s eight starts and despite a 2.14 ERA, the righty remains winless. While Dempster has certainly deserved a better record, he remains a frustrated pitcher that is sure to see his unsustainable ERA rise. Not only is he irritated but his teammates are pressing at the plate when he’s out there in a desperate attempt to get him some run support. Now, Dempster will face a Padres club that has basically owned him. Current Padres batters have 33 hits in 97 career AB’s against Dempster for a combined BA of .340, a .396 OBP and a sick .912 OPS. Anthony Bass has had two rough outings in nine starts. His 3.55 ERA and 1.23 WHIP come with full skill support. He has a 50% groundball rate, 55 K’s in 58 innings and a 3.40 xERA. At the age of 24, Bass is a different pitcher this year. He’s gone from a two-pitch pitcher to a four pitch pitcher by adding a cutter and using his changeup more frequently (14.5 % this season as oppose to 7% last season) than he did a year ago. Clear signs of maturing and with his talent, the youngster offers value against a guy who simply cannot find the “W” column. Play: San Diego +121 (Risking 2 units).
Baltimore +117 over TORONTO
Brandon Morrow is as erratic as he is good. He goes from dominating a line-up to getting torched as frequently as any pitcher in the game. Morrow has given up six runs in two of his last three starts, including his latest outing where he didn't make it out of the first inning against the Rangers. His record at home over the years has been extremely unstable and this year is no different with a 2-2 mark and a 4.36 ERA. Current Orioles have 29 hits in 106 AB’s (.274) against Morrow and eight of those hits have gone yard. These two have already played eight games against one another this year and the O’s have outscored the Jays 16-1 in the eighth and ninth innings. Against Jason Hammel in 85 combined AB’s, current Jays hitters have one jack against him and a .241 BA. Hammel has an solid groundball rate of 57%. His 2.78 ERA is right in line with his 3.01 xERA and the Orioles have won seven of his nine starts. We’ll keep riding him when offered a tag. Play: Baltimore +117 (Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 34 32 0 +19.02 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2012) 56 65 0 -0.20 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise
Chicago +124 over TAMPA BAY
1:10 PM. The offering here makes no sense. The White Sox are the hottest team in baseball. They’ve won seven in a row and they’re demolishing every pitcher they face. James Shields was their latest victim in last night’s 7-2 romp. Over the course of this streak, the South Side has hit .320 with 15 home runs and has outscored opponents 61-27. Alex Cobb has an elite groundball rate of 59% but it is accumulated over a small sampling of 12 IP. He was in the minors and got the call up due to the injury to Jeff Niemann. Cobb has a poor BB/K ratio of 6/8 and it is not uncommon for him to throw an inordinate amount of pitches per inning as control issues remain. Jose Quintana doesn’t possess any eye-popping pitch or offer much in the way of projection, but he gets the job done by throwing strikes, mixing pitches and inducing ground balls. The Rays are hitting a wretched .191 over their past five games, which is the worst mark in the majors over that stretch. Tampa may have a slight edge on the hill but the White Sox have a huge edge at the dish and in the all-important state of mind category. Play: Chicago +124 (Risking 2 units).
San Diego +121 over CHICAGO
2:20 PM. The Cubs have won just one of Ryan Dempster’s eight starts and despite a 2.14 ERA, the righty remains winless. While Dempster has certainly deserved a better record, he remains a frustrated pitcher that is sure to see his unsustainable ERA rise. Not only is he irritated but his teammates are pressing at the plate when he’s out there in a desperate attempt to get him some run support. Now, Dempster will face a Padres club that has basically owned him. Current Padres batters have 33 hits in 97 career AB’s against Dempster for a combined BA of .340, a .396 OBP and a sick .912 OPS. Anthony Bass has had two rough outings in nine starts. His 3.55 ERA and 1.23 WHIP come with full skill support. He has a 50% groundball rate, 55 K’s in 58 innings and a 3.40 xERA. At the age of 24, Bass is a different pitcher this year. He’s gone from a two-pitch pitcher to a four pitch pitcher by adding a cutter and using his changeup more frequently (14.5 % this season as oppose to 7% last season) than he did a year ago. Clear signs of maturing and with his talent, the youngster offers value against a guy who simply cannot find the “W” column. Play: San Diego +121 (Risking 2 units).
Baltimore +117 over TORONTO
Brandon Morrow is as erratic as he is good. He goes from dominating a line-up to getting torched as frequently as any pitcher in the game. Morrow has given up six runs in two of his last three starts, including his latest outing where he didn't make it out of the first inning against the Rangers. His record at home over the years has been extremely unstable and this year is no different with a 2-2 mark and a 4.36 ERA. Current Orioles have 29 hits in 106 AB’s (.274) against Morrow and eight of those hits have gone yard. These two have already played eight games against one another this year and the O’s have outscored the Jays 16-1 in the eighth and ninth innings. Against Jason Hammel in 85 combined AB’s, current Jays hitters have one jack against him and a .241 BA. Hammel has an solid groundball rate of 57%. His 2.78 ERA is right in line with his 3.01 xERA and the Orioles have won seven of his nine starts. We’ll keep riding him when offered a tag. Play: Baltimore +117 (Risking 2 units).