| Range | W | L | P | +/- (Units) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1 | 2 | 0.00 | -1.26 |
| Last 30 Days | 23 | 27 | 0.00 | +3.88 |
| Season to Date | 23 | 27 | 0.00 | +3.88 |
Sharks are 2.06 units to win 2. Other 2 are for 2 units.
San Jose -103 over COLORADO
3:00 PM EST. OT included. The Avalanche return home from a three game trip here. They scored five times in those three games and have now been held to two goals or less in five of their past six games. Over those past six games, Colorado has scored a measly nine goals. If the Avs aren’t scoring they have no shot because they are not good enough defensively or in goal to prevent goals. To make matters worse, Colorado has had a ton of power-play opportunities over that six-game span. In fact, they had 30 PP chances and scored just twice. Put this team in a 5 on 5 situation and they’re averaging just 8½ shots on net per period. Colorado’s management continue to make this team worse every season and this year is no different.
After a really good start that had the Sharks looking like one of the better teams in the NHL in the first week, things have gone downhill since. San Jose has dropped two in a row and five of six. That has its stock very low, which provides us with this great opportunity to get them at a short price. Thing is, the Sharkies have played a tough schedule that includes the Rangers, Kings, Nashville and Dallas in four of their last six. They are a top-10 team in shots allowed per game and they are also a top-5 team in offensive time possession. The Sharkies now take a big step down in class here facing the Avs and we trust they’ll get back on track. .
Winnipeg +145 over MONTREAL
OT included. Yeah, we’re very aware of Carey Price and we’re aware that the Jets will play their third game in four days here and tail end of back-to-backs but we could not care less. Winning provides energy and the Jets are coming off two clean wins over Chicago and Columbus. The Jets are now 4-1 on the road and they have won three of their past four games. Their only loss over that span came against the Kings. That game was 2-1 late before Winnipeg surrendered two empty net goals so the final score was a lot closer than it appears on paper. Andrej Pavelec started last night for the Jets but it’ll be Michael Hutchison today. Hutchinson is only 4-0 with a 1.75 GAA and .949 save percentage. Furthermore, a team of Winnipeg’s caliber should not be offered a price like this, especially against a laboring team like Montreal.
The Habs return home from the dreaded 3-game trip to Western Canada. Montreal salvaged the final game of that trip in Calgary. They lost the first two in Vancouver and Edmonton while surrendering nine goals in the process. The Habs have one good line. Their second line of Lars Ellers, Alex Galchenyuk and Brian Flynn would be Winnipeg’s fifth line. The Habs hot start has them as the NHL’s most overvalued team and while they are a decent collective group, they are not superior to the Jets in any way. This is without question a value play that is as good as it gets and we’re all over it.
Buffalo +188 over N.Y. ISLANDERS
OT included. We mentioned last week the poor atmosphere at the Barclay’s Center and it was in full force again in the Islanders last “home” game against the Hurricanes. Playing at Nassau Coliseum in the past, the Isles had a distinct home ice advantage but this year they do not. The Islanders are not in great form either. They’ve lost three of their past five with one of their victories over that span occurring against the Flames. They have dropped all the way down to 23rd in the league in shots allowed per game while racking up just 26, 19, 22, and 26 shots on net in four of their past five games.
The Sabres have been the dregs of the league for a few years now but this is a team that is far under the radar. We’re convinced that the market has no idea how good this team really is. Buffalo is 3-3 over its past six games. One of those losses came against Pittsburgh in a game the Sabres outshot the Pens, 53-28. In between that game, the Sabres defeated the Flyers twice. When Buffalo lost to Montreal eight days ago, 7-2, they outshot the Canadiens, 36-26. Buffalo ranks 5th in shots allowed per game. They rank 3rd behind Washington and St. Louis in shooting percentage in five-on-five play. The Sabres rank 1st in shots on net per game. The Sabres are the most undervalued team in the NHL and it’s not close. They are priced like one of the worst teams in the league but nothing could be further from the truth. Keep giving us prices like this on Buffalo and we’ll show you a huge profit by the end of the season. The market has not yet adjusted to Buffalo. Huge overlay here.
Incidentally, I like many of you I'm sure, got the Jets at +169 early but for record keeping purposes, I'm using the current number.
