I started a thread about this a couple years ago and had a pretty good run just playing 3 games a week. I don't know what the actual public consensus is on these games, it's just the same teams that I see repeated over and over in all of these forums, including my own website where we have a handicapping contest every week..I'm not at all saying that these teams won't cover. I'm just saying these look like the games where there could be a public bloodbath if they don't cover.
Wisconsin -27...I actually liked the early -21 number on this game myself. If Bowling Green lays down after a tough game last week you'll probably be alright. But if they come to play, Wisky may not have the lockdown defense to get this cover. Taking
Bowling Green +27
Texas A&M -33.5...I admit this does look like a good bet. But this line has gone up 4.5 points from the opening number. This bet is based on the Aggies taking care of business and not looking ahead to next week. One other unknown here is how hard SMU will play for their new interim coach. Will they have a new attitude like USC did after Kiffin was kicked out at USC last year, or do they just write this season off. Or will it make a difference either way? This is actually SMU's first home game of the season. So who knows what the excitement factor will be minus June Jones, who has been dead weight around there for years. Taking SMU +33.5
Missouri -13.5....I've probably seen Missouri's name kicked around these forums as much as I have A$M. To me, this is a tossup line. By all rights if you go by the score of Mizzou's previous games, and the way Indiana has played so far this season, the Tigers should cover 2 TD's. But taking a closer look at Missouri, they only outgained UCF 322-299, South Dakota 393-365 and Toledo 502-410. Yet the scores were 38-18, 49-24 & 38-10. So the scores didn't come close to reflecting what happened in the game. And what happened was turnovers. South Dakota had 3 turnovers to 0 for Mizzou. Mizzou and Toledo were even in turnovers and UCF turned the ball over 4 times to Mizzou's 1. So the Tigers are +6 in TO margin just 3 games into the season. They are also facing their biggest point spread over an FBS opponent. So in all liklihood, in order to keep these illusionary covers going Mizzou will again probably have to be on the plus side in turnovers. If Indiana plays a clean game for once, then good luck. Taking Indiana +13.5
Wisconsin -27...I actually liked the early -21 number on this game myself. If Bowling Green lays down after a tough game last week you'll probably be alright. But if they come to play, Wisky may not have the lockdown defense to get this cover. Taking
Bowling Green +27
Texas A&M -33.5...I admit this does look like a good bet. But this line has gone up 4.5 points from the opening number. This bet is based on the Aggies taking care of business and not looking ahead to next week. One other unknown here is how hard SMU will play for their new interim coach. Will they have a new attitude like USC did after Kiffin was kicked out at USC last year, or do they just write this season off. Or will it make a difference either way? This is actually SMU's first home game of the season. So who knows what the excitement factor will be minus June Jones, who has been dead weight around there for years. Taking SMU +33.5
Missouri -13.5....I've probably seen Missouri's name kicked around these forums as much as I have A$M. To me, this is a tossup line. By all rights if you go by the score of Mizzou's previous games, and the way Indiana has played so far this season, the Tigers should cover 2 TD's. But taking a closer look at Missouri, they only outgained UCF 322-299, South Dakota 393-365 and Toledo 502-410. Yet the scores were 38-18, 49-24 & 38-10. So the scores didn't come close to reflecting what happened in the game. And what happened was turnovers. South Dakota had 3 turnovers to 0 for Mizzou. Mizzou and Toledo were even in turnovers and UCF turned the ball over 4 times to Mizzou's 1. So the Tigers are +6 in TO margin just 3 games into the season. They are also facing their biggest point spread over an FBS opponent. So in all liklihood, in order to keep these illusionary covers going Mizzou will again probably have to be on the plus side in turnovers. If Indiana plays a clean game for once, then good luck. Taking Indiana +13.5
