NOTES regarding the New Jersey selection which is currently available at +8.5
Pacers when playing After a Key Opponent are just 10-15 SU and 8-17 ATS
In this case, they're coming off the game vs division rival Cleveland and better yet, they pulled an upset.
The "ats" numbers above are for all...at -8.5 it's likely cut down another few games and I'd be surprised if they covered that number more than five times in 25 when presented with this scheduling role.
Pacers when playing After a Key Opponent are just 10-15 SU and 8-17 ATS
In this case, they're coming off the game vs division rival Cleveland and better yet, they pulled an upset.
The "ats" numbers above are for all...at -8.5 it's likely cut down another few games and I'd be surprised if they covered that number more than five times in 25 when presented with this scheduling role.
WEDNESDAY, Nov 12
Let's get back in the saddle
HOUSTON ROCKETS +145 at Phoenix
VANCOUVER NUCKS -175 vs Colorado
Lay 12
Pays 34.20
============
Houston over past 2+ seasons is 30-11 when playing Away After an Away game.
Phoenix, past season+ is 9-11 at Home versus teams from top half of the league
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Colorado Avalanche are 3-19 since beginning of last season when playing Away After Home.
Let's get back in the saddle
HOUSTON ROCKETS +145 at Phoenix
VANCOUVER NUCKS -175 vs Colorado
Lay 12
Pays 34.20
============
Houston over past 2+ seasons is 30-11 when playing Away After an Away game.
Phoenix, past season+ is 9-11 at Home versus teams from top half of the league
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Colorado Avalanche are 3-19 since beginning of last season when playing Away After Home.
FRIDAY, Nov 14
CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS -195 vs St Louis
SACRAMENTO KINGS +160 vs Phoenix
Lay 11
Pays 32.27
============
Chicago's coming off a tough HomeLoss should help insulate them from a possible letdown versus what may be the weakest team in the West. Blues are just 1-4 this year vs Top10 teams and 15-30 going back to beginning of last season. Home/Away numbers in this one very strong with StLouis being outscored 3.00 - 4.50 while Hawks are 4.00 - 1.78
--
Sacramento playing first game Home After Away is 15-3 since beginning of last season (1-0 so far this season) and tonight they host one of league's most perenially weak defensive teams.
I would have played the point spread, but the overnight number of 7 has plunged to 4 so since I already have the +7 in an NBA play made last night, we'll see if we can grab the straight up dog win in this parlay.
CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS -195 vs St Louis
SACRAMENTO KINGS +160 vs Phoenix
Lay 11
Pays 32.27
============
Chicago's coming off a tough HomeLoss should help insulate them from a possible letdown versus what may be the weakest team in the West. Blues are just 1-4 this year vs Top10 teams and 15-30 going back to beginning of last season. Home/Away numbers in this one very strong with StLouis being outscored 3.00 - 4.50 while Hawks are 4.00 - 1.78
--
Sacramento playing first game Home After Away is 15-3 since beginning of last season (1-0 so far this season) and tonight they host one of league's most perenially weak defensive teams.
I would have played the point spread, but the overnight number of 7 has plunged to 4 so since I already have the +7 in an NBA play made last night, we'll see if we can grab the straight up dog win in this parlay.
Are We Having a Good Time Yet?
SATURDAY, Nov 15
MARYLAND TERPS +130 vs NCarolina
NY RANGERS -1.5 (+210) vs Boston
Lay 6
Pays 34.92
Terps a nice live home dog with what looks to be a better rushing game for/against and a very sturdy defense.
Meanwhile, the Bruins are smokin', but their win Thursday extends their PositiveScoringDifferential to 15 - the highest they've had in past 3+ seasons so we're going to try and catch the reversion to center and will stay with their opponents until we do.
SATURDAY, Nov 15
MARYLAND TERPS +130 vs NCarolina
NY RANGERS -1.5 (+210) vs Boston
Lay 6
Pays 34.92
Terps a nice live home dog with what looks to be a better rushing game for/against and a very sturdy defense.
Meanwhile, the Bruins are smokin', but their win Thursday extends their PositiveScoringDifferential to 15 - the highest they've had in past 3+ seasons so we're going to try and catch the reversion to center and will stay with their opponents until we do.
No one, including me, knows for sure.
But it's very unusual for any NHL team to get up to a +15 Scoring Margin* and I'm willing to take a shot they break their streak here on the road vs a team in the top half of the conference.
====
*ScoringMargin within my capping lingo refers to a stretch of either Wins or Losses and the composite margin therein.
In this case, Boston on a win streak and since they last lost a game (a "negative margin") they have outscored opponents by 15.
In the NHL, that's HUGE. Many teams will peel off win streaks of four, five, six and sometimes more games.
But usually 2/3 of wins are by one goal, so a five game streak would probably have a positive ScoringMargin between 5-8 goals.
Just saying the wider that gap gets, the more the pressure increases for them to lose at least ONE time to break the ever increasing plus scoring margin.
(or minus negative margin in the case of a losing streak)
But it's very unusual for any NHL team to get up to a +15 Scoring Margin* and I'm willing to take a shot they break their streak here on the road vs a team in the top half of the conference.
====
*ScoringMargin within my capping lingo refers to a stretch of either Wins or Losses and the composite margin therein.
In this case, Boston on a win streak and since they last lost a game (a "negative margin") they have outscored opponents by 15.
In the NHL, that's HUGE. Many teams will peel off win streaks of four, five, six and sometimes more games.
But usually 2/3 of wins are by one goal, so a five game streak would probably have a positive ScoringMargin between 5-8 goals.
Just saying the wider that gap gets, the more the pressure increases for them to lose at least ONE time to break the ever increasing plus scoring margin.
(or minus negative margin in the case of a losing streak)
