Yes I had over 219.5 which I took in the 3rd quarter when no one could miss a shot. I had fair value on the total around 223.5 so pressed the button.
I really enjoyed this game. I thought I was well on the way to Cincinatti until the last minute. Made up for Monday where I had 3 bets miss by 0.5pt each.
I also thought took a play on Golden State total over 225.5, but must odds must have changed and didn't go through. After I checked at end of 3rd Quarter I could have rebought for at the same number but as it was looking like a blowout I passed.
If you interested or have any suggestions
The odds I get on each bet are equivalent to -117.5 so I am not sure if beatable over long run. My target is 62% win rate. I'm currently at 56% ie 19 out of 34 bets but if I adjust for misclicks [got to move fast before the line moves] it comes out at 22/36 or 61% which is close enough to get me interested. I have never bet totals before so it has been a bit of a learning curve.
I realize it is only a very small sample size and I am making no claims to success.
I really enjoyed this game. I thought I was well on the way to Cincinatti until the last minute. Made up for Monday where I had 3 bets miss by 0.5pt each.
I also thought took a play on Golden State total over 225.5, but must odds must have changed and didn't go through. After I checked at end of 3rd Quarter I could have rebought for at the same number but as it was looking like a blowout I passed.
If you interested or have any suggestions
The odds I get on each bet are equivalent to -117.5 so I am not sure if beatable over long run. My target is 62% win rate. I'm currently at 56% ie 19 out of 34 bets but if I adjust for misclicks [got to move fast before the line moves] it comes out at 22/36 or 61% which is close enough to get me interested. I have never bet totals before so it has been a bit of a learning curve.
I realize it is only a very small sample size and I am making no claims to success.
Thanks for the info.
Thanks for taking the time to reply
I use NZ TAB which is pretty sucky for odds but it is easy to make cash withdrawals.
I started to have a look at the offshore sports books and it made my head hurt. But after 5 hours of research it is a very interesting topic which I was completely unaware of. A lot of bs info out there. Pinnacle look pretty good they have some good articles.
It seems like a lot of other sites use the Pinnacle API to set their odds rather than set their own odds. This is cheap for them but leaves them open to arbing vs live Pinnacle odds because of time delay etc. And they manage this by ditching any clients they suspect of doing this. Pinnacle seem to like and even encourage people to do this as they are usually on right side and it hurts their competition.
Bonuses seem to be set up to encourage players maximize and the lose their initial deposit followed up with offer of reload bonus [low risk for book as client is now a confirmed loser].
Anyway time to get get cracking on today's action, but sports betting is turning out to be a lot more complex than I thought.
Thanks for taking the time to reply
I use NZ TAB which is pretty sucky for odds but it is easy to make cash withdrawals.
I started to have a look at the offshore sports books and it made my head hurt. But after 5 hours of research it is a very interesting topic which I was completely unaware of. A lot of bs info out there. Pinnacle look pretty good they have some good articles.
It seems like a lot of other sites use the Pinnacle API to set their odds rather than set their own odds. This is cheap for them but leaves them open to arbing vs live Pinnacle odds because of time delay etc. And they manage this by ditching any clients they suspect of doing this. Pinnacle seem to like and even encourage people to do this as they are usually on right side and it hurts their competition.
Bonuses seem to be set up to encourage players maximize and the lose their initial deposit followed up with offer of reload bonus [low risk for book as client is now a confirmed loser].
Anyway time to get get cracking on today's action, but sports betting is turning out to be a lot more complex than I thought.
