2109 Spann wins inside distance -150 vs Not Spann inside distance 1.5/1
2102 Ryan Spann -365 vs Sam Alvey 5.11/1.4/0
Spann is an up and comer and has the height/reach advantage. He has good striking with KO power. I expect a finish here, but Alvey is plenty tough and a solid counter striker. He’s had a couple close questionable losses lately but typically he does get hit. He’s on a 3 fight losing streak. This could be one of if not THE last fight he has in UFC. Only way I see Spann losing is if he gets too aggressive and Alvey lands a counter. The price for Spann is pretty high although some late money has dropped it from -420 to -370 or so. I'll sprinkle a little ITD to soften the chalk.
Mitchell is a great prospect and one of my favorite young fighters, but I think maybe this could be a learning lesson for him. I expect it to go like his fight with Brad Katona. Bryce’s cardio is questionable and if the fight gets to a third round I see Rosa winning it easily. Rosa is going to be his toughest opponent yet. Rosa has proven to have good cardio and can handle his own on the ground. Neither guy is a great striker on the feet. This should be a great fight and either guy could find a sub early on. It’s going to be interesting to see if Bryce has improved considering how quick he got that twister in his last fight. I think working with ATT gives Rosa another advantage as well.
[FONT="]Wow, Mitchell has made huge progress and appears the real deal..one to watch for sure[/FONT]
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Luque -265
5.3/2
Niko Price/Vicente Luque Over 1½ -115
1.38/1.2
[FONT="]Luque has shown real skill and killer instinct and while he is coming off a loss to Wonderboy he did a hell of a lot better then I thought he was going to. I like Price, he's got a an ability to generate force at awkward angles but he's far too wild and hittable (see Price vs Geoff Neal or the 1st Luque). Price is dangerous but I think he's just too wild and loose for a sharp guy like Luque. This one looks pretty easy on paper.[/FONT]
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[/FONT] [FONT="].Waterson should be favored here imho, so it's an easy call at this price. Just a better striker, more leg strength and better takedown defense. She also seems to want it more. Love the +125 value.[/FONT] [FONT="]
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