21 Days Until Xmas $$$$$

[NorthernStar]

I have a NBA totals program with data from over 7,000 games. It s performing very well and thought I would share before Xmas. For simplicity there are plays in games, first halfs and often times a correlation with the total and either the home team or visitor. So I will have 3 categories that I will track. The side plays will be rated 3, 4 or 5. All parlays will be 2 because it was not how the program was designed and is just a by product. Goal on the parlays is to hit above 30%. I am going to post on twitter too for the first time.....not sure if posting twitter account is allowed but add 126.

I just updated my record and I will be back later today with my plays. I like to let the lines settle slightly before running the program.

Game Plays

5* 2-3
4* 0-0
3* 1-0

First Half Plays

5* 1-0
4* 1-0
3* 2-0

Parlays

2* 2-3

As Always Good Luck

Northern Star

 

[NorthernStar]

Not sure what happened in those last two threads but this is the one I will be running with.

Quick comment on yesterdays games. With any bet I make....sometimes you are the right side and win. Sometimes you are on the right side and lose. Same for being on the wrong side. The way I judge if I was on the right side is if I had an opportunity to increase my bet at some point in the game...would I? If the answer is yes then I think I was on the right side.

Yesterday I lost a couple of close games....but I would have increased my original bet during the game if I could have.

Use good money management and I will be back later with the selections.

As Always Good Luck

Northern Star

 

[KingEleven]

good luck today NS

 

[BIlls68]

Thx ! I'm riding!

 

[NorthernStar]

Only 4 games but a few look good.

Start with full game.
5* OKC Under 214.5 (this is the same as Char Under yesterday) 31-17 last 3 years
3* NY over 209 this is 31-21 last 3 years and 80-57 last 7 years

First Half
5* NY over 107 is 35-18 last 3 years and 65-45
3* OKC Under 108.5 31-19 last 3 years

Parlay
OKC & Under game has hit 21 of 48

As Always Good Luck

Northern Star

 

[BIlls68]

Thx!

 

[BIlls68]

2 up!

 

[predman]

Nice
Damn I missed it!!
BOL

 

[BIlls68]

Lego mang!

 

[BIlls68]

21 days till Christmas

 

[BIlls68]

Almost went crazy and slammed it all lol but I'm following your system like a wise man

 

[blackchina]

do you feel with stats wouldnt they be irrelavent. some teams have changed players so how do you adjust for that? i'm just curious about your system. Good luck today

 

[NorthernStar]

do you feel with stats wouldnt they be irrelavent. some teams have changed players so how do you adjust for that? i'm just curious about your system. Good luck today

I look at totals in 4 ways and only one of the 4 will player/coaching change have an impact. Even with that the basics of the team are still there.....so the majority of players on the Timberwolves still match up basically the same with the players on Golden State. I think the bigger impact on totals than the player change is the coaching change. Coaches want to play a certain style which in effect changes the pace of play. The program adapts to that very quickly. Even though I quote stats for 7 years....it is just how the results have been for 7 years....I dont look at how the Minnesota and Golden State performed against each other 7 years ago to make my decision.

Northern Star

 

[blackchina]

one huge change was D'Antoni with Houston, books prob adjust their lines by now but they are scoring like crazy.

thanks