well again sorry for not posting Kennesaw st here last night , sometimes I just do not think again at COVERS.COM under RUM151
WEEK 9 early thoughts and I had to break it into 2 threads this site and their limits
well looking ahead I am not changing my Mind, I do like VANDY -2.5 yes we have Missouri still on the road, but I think Vandy is just the better team here and at home with that crowd, and here is a little tip, last week Vandy was -2.5 ML was -130 today its -150 , I am hoping that this line drops or the ML drops but I am going to be on Vandy here for sure
also MISS ST +7 this bet is in already, I think it opened maybe at 7.5 depends on the book, but at some books right now it is 6.5, Texas did not look good last week again, and Miss st has been getting better, and I think they should have won that game at Florida last game, that late INT was horrible, I think this week they are ready, and Texas just does not look very good, this offense for Miss st is much better than Kentucky's was
MIss st +7 1.5 units
also I am again looking into S Miss at home vs ULM at -12.5 I think S Miss has been playing really well, I can forgive the late comebacks to Ga south, after they were up like 24 late in the 3rd, I wrote about them last week -3.5 to a weak team, it was back to back road games but I still thought laying 3-4 was a good play, some did not agree, and I never went back to it and they won 22-10 which is a good cover in my opinion , I will be watching this line, if I can get under 11 I would like it more,
also I think many will be on Iowa st, of course its that they had a week off to prepare , has anyone ever lost after a week off to prepare??? lol but people do love that, anyway I am not so sure about this, BYU has been playing really well and Iowa st is coming off of 2 str losses, and the line is only -2.5 here which I think is kind of low for being at home off a bye week, and BYU coming after after the UTAH game, but it can also be what's next? as Iowa st has Arizona st coming to town after this game and BYU has a week off after this game and they have Texas Tech coming to BYU, that should be a good one also, as of now I could see going either way, much to look into for sure, but I could also see taking BYU at +3 or 3.5
And we have many I think will be liking Wake Forest at home playing SMU, and they will be a home dog, now again I think this could be a tuff game to pick again, of course its the back to back road games for SMU, but talk about small travel plans, they are going from Clemson to Wake forest, which is a very short travel, and SMU just played a very good game vs Clemson, and Clemson did open at like -9.5 and it dropped to like 3.5 and SMU did win str up and Clemson had been playing really good ball up to last game, SMU held Clemson to 35 yds rushing at home, they forced Clemson to play 1 dimensional , I would think SMU would stay in state and be ready Saturday, interesting to watch this line also
and we have another strange line TOLEDO at WSU WSU-1 now I am sure when most seen this they wondered is this the right line, as most Know WSU has been playing really well last 2 games as they lost to Ole Miss by just 3 points and then lost by just 2 pts to Virginia both on the road, but remember the 3 pt loss at Ole Miss was right before Ole Miss had to travel to GEORGIA, so I am sure there was a little bit of look ahead there for Ole Miss and then the 2 pt loss at Virginia was right after a big win by Virginia at Louisville, which was a BIG win and then right before the N Car game which is normally a rivalry game so there is some reasoning there, but why 1 pt??? you have WSU playing well on the road and TOLEDO who has not won on the road yet this year, and now traveling a long way to play, and Toledo is horrible as a big favorite but if you been watching this team the last 2-5 years they do play well when they travel to BIG Conf schools to play as they should have beaten N Dame a few years back at ND, and they did beat Miss St last year n the road, and this line has been out now for a few hours and why has it not went to -3 already, its not give away money day at the books but sure they could win easily just beware
I like USF -4 at Memphis it has went up I think, now if Memphis did not lose the last game to UAB what do you think this line would be?? my guess Mempis -4 and to be honest I wish Memphis did win last game because I had this game circled, I was going to take USF + the points here for sure, but now they are favored, and I still like them , Memphis has won 7 of the last 8 vs USF, and the last 4 Memphis has been at least a 10 pt favorite, this line could have been a pick'em but there is a injury to Lewis the QB for Memphis , and USF might be without Nimrod their leading WR, to be honest I would have probably went with USF anyway on the road so even if Lewis plays I might be on them
also again looking at TROY at home -9.5 they are just playing well right now , Now TROY has won 4 in a row and 3 of those were on the road, and Louisiana has struggled but their defense has kept the games closer losing by 10 at James Madison and by 12 at home to S MIss, now on the road at Troy, I just do not see Louisiana scoring much only ? is what can their defense do to slow down TROY, if TROY scores 24 -27 they cover that's my opinion
also can this be the game where Auburns offense finally scores a bunch of points?? and is this the game where Arkansas finally finds a way to not lose buy 3-4 points and get a win at home, the line is Auburn -1.5 57 so this total is a bit low, but can Auburn's defense find a way to slow down Arkansas?? well Texas AM's defense couldn't only one has been N Dames, but Arkansas did turn it over a lot there I think this goes OVER the total of 57
others looking at a very good SD st team at Fresno laying 3 they have been playing well and both off a bye week, but Fresno got hammered at col st 21-49 and SD st won big and I was on them that game 44-10, want to look at common opponents SD ST beat Nevada 44-10 and beat Col st 45-24 and Fresno lost to Col st 21-49 and they beat Nevada 20-17 I like SD st here laying the small number a lot
gl all will have more through the week
151
this was all posted Monday evening