WEEK 2
Going to go ahead and take USF +17.5 @ Florida -115 1 unit USF has Miami Fl next but that's not a conf game or anything , but Florida on the other hand does have LSU as their next game after the USF game, and they have to travel to LSU so even though they say they never look ahead , maybe we do catch Florida looking ahead a bit and get a cover here,
USF +17.5 1 unit
14-6 14-4 on 1 to 1.5 unit plays 0-2 on half units
+8.2 units
gl 151
Going to go ahead and take USF +17.5 @ Florida -115 1 unit USF has Miami Fl next but that's not a conf game or anything , but Florida on the other hand does have LSU as their next game after the USF game, and they have to travel to LSU so even though they say they never look ahead , maybe we do catch Florida looking ahead a bit and get a cover here,
USF +17.5 1 unit
14-6 14-4 on 1 to 1.5 unit plays 0-2 on half units
+8.2 units
gl 151
already took USF +17.5 yesterday USF did look good at home, and Florida does have to go to LSU the next week after this game, USF's defense played well, as long as their offense can put up some points I think they cover this spread,
also really looking at Michigan +5 wish I jumped on the line of 6 but it dropped yesterday afternoon as I was looking into it, I would rather had 6 but this is a possible play for sure
getting lines as soon as they come out is important, and figuring out where they will move is even more important, they best thing a bettor can do is get the best possible line for what he or her likes, if a team you like is -7 opening line and you think it will go up then you should bet it right then, it you feel it will go down you should wait, but you could fuck yourself if your wrong, it takes a long time to get a good grasp on where lines will move, and no one can always be right, when a half pt can make the diff either way.... its why I took USF now, I feel if anything this line will go down , I could be wrong but the bet is in..... with the way USF looked last week and the fact that Florida has to travel to LSU the following week I think this goes under 17 just my hunch
also really looking at Michigan +5 wish I jumped on the line of 6 but it dropped yesterday afternoon as I was looking into it, I would rather had 6 but this is a possible play for sure
getting lines as soon as they come out is important, and figuring out where they will move is even more important, they best thing a bettor can do is get the best possible line for what he or her likes, if a team you like is -7 opening line and you think it will go up then you should bet it right then, it you feel it will go down you should wait, but you could fuck yourself if your wrong, it takes a long time to get a good grasp on where lines will move, and no one can always be right, when a half pt can make the diff either way.... its why I took USF now, I feel if anything this line will go down , I could be wrong but the bet is in..... with the way USF looked last week and the fact that Florida has to travel to LSU the following week I think this goes under 17 just my hunch
and another game.....USC-28 vs Ga southern I was on Ga southern last week as many were, and the 1st half they did ok, but 2nd half they got beat up on, it was 14-13 at half and Fresno st won 42-14 shutting down Ga southern, and Fresno ran for 350 yds in that game and passed for 176 and they also had 2 int's and still won by 28....Ga Southern only turned it over 1 time so it was Fresno st just doing what ever they wanted, and now you have Ga southern staying out west this week, and going to USC who just put up 73 pts at home, to be honest I do not see how a team can get beat up on and give up 525 yds, and 29 1st downs to just 13 for them, and the time of poss was crazy as Fresno had the ball for 38 mins to just 21 for GS.....this looks like it is going to be a tuff day for ga Southern again, USC is much better than Fresno st, USC threw for 364 yds and ran for 233, GS it seems cannot stop the run at all....I never usually play games with big point spreads but I was on USC last week and it was a very easy win, I do not see why USC should not win this game by 35+ and Fresno st should have won by even more, they had a drive in the 2nd qtr where they fumbled at the 1 going in for a TD, and like I posted after the game Ga southern had 5 drives in the 2nd half 3 were 3 and outs, other 2 were 5 plays not much on offense, I think USC rolls here again...I wish I had looked at this when the lines came out as it has went up 3.5 pts it opened at 24.5 right now at Hard rock they have -27.5 -105 I am taking it I just think its hard for a team to get manhandled and then have to stay out west and then play a better team who just put up 73 points
USC-27.5 could not buy a half this is only line offered but I am fine with it, I think USC would have to turn it over a few times, and just play really bad to not cover here
1 unit
USC-27.5 could not buy a half this is only line offered but I am fine with it, I think USC would have to turn it over a few times, and just play really bad to not cover here
1 unit
well I do like Boston College but for right now I am doing a parlay with BC, with 3 other teams ML....its just a way to get a better payout instead of betting like -115 I am taking Iowa st ML -145 and Tulane ML -400, and N Texas ML -375 with BC +4.5 -140
Tulane ML/N Texas ML/Iowa st ML/BC +4.5 +346 I might still add BC str up
Tulane ML/N Texas ML/Iowa st ML/BC +4.5 +346 I might still add BC str up
well I am going to take Michigan +5 just think this will drop some more before game time and I do like them as I have said, I heard this opened lower and went up to 6 and has since went down some I think 5 is ok, Michigans defense will play well, and I think the young QB does enough here, I see this as a 3 points game or lower , I maybe should have bought a point to get to 3 but for those following I cant expect everyone to do that, and I give Michigan a legit chance here to win unless they turn it over multiple times, but maybe the defense for Michigan can make some big plays
Michigan+5 1 unit
also taking Virginia +3 at NC st I really like the Cav's in this one to maybe win outright also, they have a talented QB they got from N Texas Chandler Morris, he was 19/27 for 264 yds and 2 td's, and he ran for 50 yds so it seems a duo threat here, and they have some very good wr's on this team, they went and got Cam Ross from James Madison, this kid had 124 yds rec and had a 100 yds kickoff return for a TD also, and senior Trell Harris had 3 rec's for 93 yds also , and it seems they have a few rb's to share the load here ...NC ST has won the last 3 meetings, and I think that just adds to Virginia wanting this game, last year they had 3 road wins, this should be a very good game I also favor the OVER in this game, at 53.5 opinion
Virginia +3 1 unit
Had to use my offshore book for these to get better numbers
Date Placed: 09/03/25 11:42:27
Bet Details:
Bet Details:
Michigan+5 1 unit
also taking Virginia +3 at NC st I really like the Cav's in this one to maybe win outright also, they have a talented QB they got from N Texas Chandler Morris, he was 19/27 for 264 yds and 2 td's, and he ran for 50 yds so it seems a duo threat here, and they have some very good wr's on this team, they went and got Cam Ross from James Madison, this kid had 124 yds rec and had a 100 yds kickoff return for a TD also, and senior Trell Harris had 3 rec's for 93 yds also , and it seems they have a few rb's to share the load here ...NC ST has won the last 3 meetings, and I think that just adds to Virginia wanting this game, last year they had 3 road wins, this should be a very good game I also favor the OVER in this game, at 53.5 opinion
Virginia +3 1 unit
Had to use my offshore book for these to get better numbers
Date Placed: 09/03/25 11:42:27
Bet Details:
- 399 Michigan +5 (-110) risk 110.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)
Bet Details:
- 321 Virginia +3 (-122) risk 122.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)
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Also adding Iowa state -2.5 at Hard rock -120 I really like this team, they put up 55 points last week , and they scored 24 in the win in week 1, they put up 530 yds of offense last game vs South Dakota, they are very balanced on offense also, Iowa will be no pushover but I do think Iowa st at home will cover this spread by at least 4 pts I have them winning by 8+ if not more, and this total is just 41.5 I do think this could go over but I am worried about what Iowa can score, I think Iowa st get's theirs Iowa st 31-17 if Iowa can get 17 or else 27-13
- Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Hot: Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Hot: Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
- Cold: Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Cold: Hawkeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
- Cold: Hawkeyes are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hot: Over is 5-0 in Hawkeyes last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cyclones last 4 non-conference games.
- Hot: Under is 4-0 in Cyclones last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Hot: Over is 4-0 in Cyclones last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Hot: Over is 4-0 in Hawkeyes last 4 games in September.
- Hot: Under is 10-2 in Cyclones last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
also adding Navy -21 or 21.5 find the best but I do not think it won't matter, I think Navy wins big, yes UAB scored 52 points against a weak Alabama state team and won by 10, but UAB gave up 42 pts to Alabama st which tells me this is a very weak defense for UAB, and alab st racked up over 500 yds of offense against UAB which is crazy, they threw for 312 against UAB and ran for 203 and I think Navy will score a lot here, their TT is 40.5 and I just do not think UAB will score more than 17-20 and Navy could score 54+ which gives the OVER a pretty good shot also ...again UAB's defense is not very good, Navy should run for over 300 or more in this game and I think their defense is a bit better than Alabama states is 49-20 final
Navy-21 -107 1 unit
Date Placed: 09/03/25 13:32:04
Bet Details:
Navy-21 -107 1 unit
Date Placed: 09/03/25 13:32:04
Bet Details:
- 346 Navy -21 (-107) risk 107.00 win 100.00 (NCAA FB)
