So the math tells me that the dogs will be barking in the AFC. As far as the NFC is concerned, the math is very tight. The current lines are NO -8 and LAR -7. My math says the lines without home field adjustments should be NO -6.5 and LAR -6. If I add the customary 3 pt for the home team the lines become NO -9.5 and LAR -9. Not enough room. I might play a couple of teasers, but as far as ATS I will pass. I do have a couple of totals, but I am waiting to see which way the line swings till Saturday. I’m leaning over on the LAR games and I see the line going slowly down. Also leaning for under on the NO game and the line is moving up.
Before I post the picks for today, there is a bit of behind the math.
So, my system usually works with at least 5-6 games to calculate from. I use the last 5-6 games that the teams have been played.
With that in mind, for this week I’ve used the last 7 games. Based on the current form the math spits out these results.
LA Rams -5.5
Total 47
New England-7.5
Total 53
Since I’ve got burned by the ATS last week, I’ve decided to do the math on the road teams road results and home teams home results. 2 lines have changed drastically, 2 of them stay somewhat the same
LA Rams -1
Total 53
KC -17!!!
Total 45.5!!!
The current lines are
NO -3
Total 56.5
KC -3
Total 56
So, my system usually works with at least 5-6 games to calculate from. I use the last 5-6 games that the teams have been played.
With that in mind, for this week I’ve used the last 7 games. Based on the current form the math spits out these results.
LA Rams -5.5
Total 47
New England-7.5
Total 53
Since I’ve got burned by the ATS last week, I’ve decided to do the math on the road teams road results and home teams home results. 2 lines have changed drastically, 2 of them stay somewhat the same
LA Rams -1
Total 53
KC -17!!!
Total 45.5!!!
The current lines are
NO -3
Total 56.5
KC -3
Total 56
