I'm a homer and lean under here. Fact is, if history tells us anything, there will be at least one (more like three) catastrophic injury. While I disagree with the line-up being below average, does it have a problem of being too lefty? Yes.
Our bullpen isn't as bad as it appears. Not great by any means but definitely serviceable. Contrares has found a good home in our pen, still hitting mid-90s with life. Madson is a top set-up guy and Lidge appears to have righted the ship for good (but who the fuck knows with this guy).
Braves will be a scare this year but the rest of the NL East is still weak.
I'd peg my Phils for around 94 wins.