I think the value is in the under, they won a lot of close bang-bang type games last year (Minn, Cle, Det, Hou)
I see them regressing a little bit this year with a fairly difficult schedule. However, Rex beat Brady/Manning/Rivers on the road in the playoffs with Sanchez as his QB so gotta give him credit. Just think it is too tough to win consistently in the NFL without a legit passing game. Their D is good but its not like its the Steelers either.