| Yesterday | 1 | 4 | 0.00 | -6.00 |
| Last 30 Days | 25 | 33 | 0.00 | -5.35 |
| Season to Date | 95 | 125 | 0.00 | -8.79 |
Carolina +140 over PITTSBURGH
Does anyone even understand how ridiculous this price is on the Hurricanes? Carolina is coming off a 3-2 OT loss to the Canucks in one of the most dominating performances we have seen this entire season by any team. Vancouver looked like they were killing a 60-minute penalty. The ‘Canes outshot the Canucks 40-22 but it was worse than that with a Corsi advantage of 60-33. It’s a rare game when the Hurricanes allow the opposition more than 25 shots on net per game. They are usually allowing in the 20-22 range and that means that their win expectation is as high as any team in this league. This is a deep and talented team that has NHL caliber players in the minors because there is no room for them at this level. The ‘Canes lead the league in fewest minor penalties taken and they lead the league in fewest shots on net. They have picked up 13 out of a possible 18 points over their past nine games and that number could just as easily be 18 out of 18. Carolina has been dominating games all season long and they have not been in better form than they are right now.
Pittsburgh is coming off a 5-4 OT loss in Tampa. They have dropped four of five and they return home from a four-game trip here. There is no question that the Penguins are in better form now than they were for most of the season but that does not mean they’re the better team. We’re not going to break this down piece by piece. The most relevant thing about this game is that the market continues to undervalue the 'Canes in a big way. What that means is that all the value here is on the Hurricanes, a team that has a legit shot to make a deep playoff run this season and that remains the most undervalued team in the league. They really are that good.
Philadelphia +138 over DETROIT
The Red Wings return home from a six-game trip here having won five of those games. Detroit’s only loss during the trip was in Los Angeles against the Kings so its stock is high right now. Thing is, Detroit really didn’t deserve to win any of those six games. They were outshot in all six games with a mere 23, 21, 25, 24, 27 and 25 shots on net respectively. It’s tough enough to return home from a long trip and win when in good form but that’s not the case for the Red Wings. They return home in poor form, having stolen at least four victories because of outstanding goaltending. Over the final five games of said trip, Detroit was held to two goals or less in every game and totaled a measly nine goals.
Philadelphia is in good form. The Flyers played an outstanding game against the Rangers yesterday afternoon but ended on the short end of an OT loss. Prior to that, Philly had won four straight while scoring three goals or more in all of them. The Flyers had 79 shot attempts to New York’s 57. The return of rookie d-man Shayne Gostisbehere was apparent right from the opening faceoff as he led the way with six shots on goal and 11 total attempts. We love that the Flyers are getting off to good starts. The Flyers have scored the game’s first goal in all five games of this current five-game point streak, going 4-0-1. The team that scores the first goal wins a high majority of games and there is a great chance of the Red Wings being flat early. Philadelphia has been on the verge of breaking out all season long. They are now more consistent but more importantly, they are a confident bunch that is seeing the results of their hard work. In a game in which the Flyers may have a better than 50% chance of winning, we once again turn to value.
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