2 Monday w/analysis

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RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Yesterday010.00-2.00
Last 30 Days19410.00-33.74
Season to Date801090.00-11.98

Both are for 2 units and one of these days, I'm going to win a game

Detroit -102 over NEW JERSEY

OT included. The Devils have won three in a row over Carolina, Ottawa and Dallas. New Jersey is almost always a tough out because of the structured defensive system that they employ. They rank second in the league in Corsi against and they also get outstanding goaltending from Cory Schneider. Combine the Devils Corsi against numbers with great goaltending and you get a team that has a chance to win every night. However, what the Devils don’t have is the ability to put away teams and that means the opposition always has a chance too, making the Devils a risky favorite. The Devils are a team on the rise but this one is more about backing the Red Wings then it is about fading the Devils.

What the hell? The Red Wings are playing poorly. They’re coming off an underserving win in Buffalo in a game they were outshot in 35-23. Prior to that, Detroit had lost three in a row and seven of nine. The Red Wings have too much talent to play so poorly over an extended period and now it’s time to wake up. There is not a lot that separates the teams in the East. Prolonged funks will result in a quick descent in the standings and closer to missing the playoffs. Three points separates Detroit from falling five positions in the standings. This is now a crucial time for the Red Wings because they’re in the midst of a six game road trip with this being the second game of said trip. Again, it’s time to wake up. Detroit is 0-2 against the Devils this season. That’s another reason that Detroit figures to wake up. The Red Wings are full of experienced players that can lead by example and we’re sure they all know the importance of these next few games. More importantly, they all know the importance of playing hard, working hard and giving 100% each and every shift. Now would be the time to employ that against a team that has beaten them twice and is without two of its top players (Mike Cammelleri and Patrik Elias).

Arizona +135 over VANCOUVER
OT included. The Canucks are one of the riskiest and unappealing favorites one can bet on. Vancouver has been outshot in five straight games and in 16 of its past 19 games. When they do win, it’s not because they’re outplaying the opposition. The Canucks work hard and we give them credit for winning hockey games with the least amount of talent in the NHL but in no way can they be trusted spotting prices. The Canucks rank 26th and 18th in Corsi for and against respectively. They’ve scored two goals or less in four straight and 11 of their last 14 games. When we can take back a price against a team that has a better chance of scoring two goals or less than three or more, you can pencil us in almost every time and we absolutely make no exceptions here.

The Coyotes are getting solid goaltending from Louis Domingue. Domingue has a .923 save percentage and has allowed just 16 goals against in eight games. Arizona has won five of its past seven games. They Coyotes have scored 12 goals over their past three games and three or more in seven of its past nine games. Because the market doesn’t see or watch this visitor often, they are constantly undervalued and overlooked. This is one of the more feisty teams in the NHL. Whether the ‘Yotes are up two or down two they just keep working relentlessly and tirelessly until the final buzzer goes off. The Coyotes certainly have flaws but what they do have is youth, enthusiasm, goal scorers, point producers, two outstanding offensive defensemen and the desire to win. Now half a season in, Arizona’s young players have gained some invaluable experience and so this is a team we would not sleep on in the second half. Against Vancouver, we wouldn’t pass on a tag either. Give the Coyotes a better than 50% chance of winning here, making them a truly solid value play.
 

seer
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if det has inferior tally on the shots taken per game - and also in this game nj has the shot adv when looking at hm and away numbers why is det a play?
sure they have talent but as u mentioned cameleri is now a top 20 pt leader. so now that they have him....

also i am surprised u never too carolina. seems that has been ur go to team since the beginning. now it is starting to pay off for them and u dismiss the plus side money? i am playing car as my pod
 
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if det has inferior tally on the shots taken per game - and also in this game nj has the shot adv when looking at hm and away numbers why is det a play?
sure they have talent but as u mentioned cameleri is now a top 20 pt leader. so now that they have him....

also i am surprised u never too carolina. seems that has been ur go to team since the beginning. now it is starting to pay off for them and u dismiss the plus side money? i am playing car as my pod


It seems to me Sherwood gave at least 4 reasons why he's on the Red Wings today.

Re the Canes he has been high at times on the Oilers (& Sabres btw) this season too.

Best of Luck.
 

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There is the sweep. I have a feeling your going to go on a nice run. Great night. Thanks Sherwood.
 

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if det has inferior tally on the shots taken per game - and also in this game nj has the shot adv when looking at hm and away numbers why is det a play?
sure they have talent but as u mentioned cameleri is now a top 20 pt leader. so now that they have him....

also i am surprised u never too carolina. seems that has been ur go to team since the beginning. now it is starting to pay off for them and u dismiss the plus side money? i am playing car as my pod

Very simple reason I wasn't on 'Canes. Talbot is much better than Ward and when I bet Ward I want a much better price. Goalies decide a ton of games.
 

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It seems to me Sherwood gave at least 4 reasons why he's on the Red Wings today.

Re the Canes he has been high at times on the Oilers (& Sabres btw) this season too.

Best of Luck.

Thank you X
 

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I think it's been twice now that Seer has come in here and shot down two of your picks. Guess what you won both of them Sherwood. Who is getting the last laugh.
 

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