2 game home dog chase

[letsgohoosiers]

Something I was fiddling around with last night and stumbled across.

Bet via 2 game chase on any home team that is a dog in both the first and second game.

Chase Records:

2004: 108-66 (+1467)
2005: 96-49 (+2974)
2006: 112-48 (+4976)
2007: 91-50 (+1557)
2008: 90-39 (+3438)
2009: 45-18 (+1845)

Game 1: 368-444 +2769
Game 2: 174-270 -3912

Not something that's going to make you instantly rich, but a good safe system that produces 15%+ ROI every year and isn't too complicated.

I'll keep an eye out to see if I can find anything better. I'm sure there's something else out there.

 

[powerz]

if you send me a private message - I can give you some additional info on this system

 

[letsgohoosiers]

if you send me a private message - I can give you some additional info on this system

Post the info! Ain't no need to keep it private! :toast:

 

[letsgohoosiers]

It would be wise to actually chase the 3rd game as well.

Record is 133-113 +4270 on home teams in the 3rd game of the series that had lost game 1 and 2 as home dogs.

 

[powerz]

unless the info is from a different forum....

search Jkaul at Sfox

 

[Mistermj]

unless the info is from a different forum....

search Jkaul at Sfox

That wouldn't be the same...JKaul filters his dog chases quite a bit.

 

[Freddygot1]

where do you find out the odds for all 3 games?

my book only has current day, and sometimes the next day but not the 3rd, wheres the best site to see that info?

also anyone ever done this?

if it holds true, man we got a couple good 2 chase systems, this one and mjs system.

 

[Mistermj]

where do you find out the odds for all 3 games?

my book only has current day, and sometimes the next day but not the 3rd, wheres the best site to see that info?

also anyone ever done this?

if it holds true, man we got a couple good 2 chase systems, this one and mjs system.

where do you find out the odds for all 3 games?

That is one of the problems...you have to guess sometimes.

This link might help:


http://fantasybaseball.usatoday.com/content/probables.asp?sport=MLB

 

[Freddygot1]

dunno how this would pan out but could possibly play it this way,

watch game 1 of any home dogs, then if they happen to lose game 1, look at the next 2 days odds, gm 2 and gm3 which are available via your online book, then play 2 game chase with games 2 and 3?

thoughts?

 

[letsgohoosiers]

where do you find out the odds for all 3 games?

my book only has current day, and sometimes the next day but not the 3rd, wheres the best site to see that info?

also anyone ever done this?

if it holds true, man we got a couple good 2 chase systems, this one and mjs system.

All that matters in the above system is that they're home dogs in game 1 and game 2. If they're dogs or not in game 3 doesn't matter - you'd play them anyways.

MJ's is better for those looking for a higher percentage clip. This isn't really something I meant to track, was just messing around last night on SportsDatabase and found it.

 

[powerz]

game two lines are out the middle of the afternoon of day of game one....


you would know if they are dogged in Game 1 and 2 it is also easy to look at head at the third game and the pitching matchup to determine if they would be dogged in game 3.

80% of the line is based on starting pitching but only 40% of out comes are SP.

 

[Mistermj]

game two lines are out the middle of the afternoon of day of game one....


you would know if they are dogged in Game 1 and 2 it is also easy to look at head at the third game and the pitching matchup to determine if they would be dogged in game 3.

80% of the line is based on starting pitching but only 40% of out comes are SP.

That doesn't sound like much...but when you post plays day after day to a forum...that is the kind of extra work that becomes a grind vs. just being able to look at the odds instantly.

Just sayin.

 

[powerz]

not sure what you are "just saying"

I was trying to say - Before you even bet game 1 of a baseball series you will know the game 2 odds & if they are dogged or not.

 

[Mistermj]

not sure what you are "just saying"

I was trying to say - Before you even bet game 1 of a baseball series you will know the game 2 odds & if they are dogged or not.

I'm sayin...that's a lot of damn monkeying around, just to run a system.

If you have to wait until the middle of the afternoon to bet some game 1's...while first checking for game 2 odds.

That makes the implementation much more difficult...for many people...and to post a system in a forum...IF anyone was going to do that.

Thats all...just a heads up...it won't be quite as easy as it sounds.