Spoke to 2 guys whose gambling opinions I really trust.
First guy is an experienced boxing trainer. Lives and breathes the fight game. Told me that Mayweather is simply too good to bet against. A much more skilled fighter than Paq. Floyd Jr treats his body as a temple, never smoked, drinks, does drugs. Trains consistently and never once got out of shape. The best defensive fighter maybe of all time. Too proud of his legacy to consider taking a dive (even to set up a rematch). Wants to retire having never been beaten. As in any fight, there's always the possibility that Jr takes one to the chin and gets KO'd.......but he doesn't see it happening. Take Mayweather.
The second guy is a savvy professional sharp who gambles for a living. He says that he is concerned that Mayweather is only 2-1. Doesn't make sense to him. An undefeated master against a guy who's been beaten 5 times. Says Mayweather should be a 4-1 chalk. The sharp's belief is that whenever the odds don't seem to make sense, there's something going on that we don't know about. I asked him if maybe the odds were low because of all the big-time Asian $$ coming in on Paq. He says it would be offset by sharps stateside. My guy doesn't believe that Floyd and Paq would be in on a fix. However, should the fight go the distance (and it's favored to do just that) there is a tremendous vested interest in Paq winning a decision, even if it's a controversial one. If Mayweather were to soundly beat Paq, there will be no great demand for a rematch (worth probably even more than this cash cow.) If Paq wins a close one, tremendous rematch demand. Sharp guy believes Paq can hang in there and throw enough punches to warrant a decision from the notoriously crooked Vegas judges.
Are you confused? I was. So I decided to bet less than I intended........on $$Money. Time will tell.
First guy is an experienced boxing trainer. Lives and breathes the fight game. Told me that Mayweather is simply too good to bet against. A much more skilled fighter than Paq. Floyd Jr treats his body as a temple, never smoked, drinks, does drugs. Trains consistently and never once got out of shape. The best defensive fighter maybe of all time. Too proud of his legacy to consider taking a dive (even to set up a rematch). Wants to retire having never been beaten. As in any fight, there's always the possibility that Jr takes one to the chin and gets KO'd.......but he doesn't see it happening. Take Mayweather.
The second guy is a savvy professional sharp who gambles for a living. He says that he is concerned that Mayweather is only 2-1. Doesn't make sense to him. An undefeated master against a guy who's been beaten 5 times. Says Mayweather should be a 4-1 chalk. The sharp's belief is that whenever the odds don't seem to make sense, there's something going on that we don't know about. I asked him if maybe the odds were low because of all the big-time Asian $$ coming in on Paq. He says it would be offset by sharps stateside. My guy doesn't believe that Floyd and Paq would be in on a fix. However, should the fight go the distance (and it's favored to do just that) there is a tremendous vested interest in Paq winning a decision, even if it's a controversial one. If Mayweather were to soundly beat Paq, there will be no great demand for a rematch (worth probably even more than this cash cow.) If Paq wins a close one, tremendous rematch demand. Sharp guy believes Paq can hang in there and throw enough punches to warrant a decision from the notoriously crooked Vegas judges.
Are you confused? I was. So I decided to bet less than I intended........on $$Money. Time will tell.
